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Austin Peay vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 71-56
42-16 29-40
Position#175
Record8-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#342
Record3-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Austin Peay v Tennessee State
03 Dec 2022
AUST77
TENN61
12 Feb 2022
AUST54
TENN52
30 Jan 2021
AUST71
TENN56
23 Jan 2020
AUST99
TENN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#180
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A09/12
NCAA
McKendree
#382
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#255
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
18-41
39-46
40-35
42-33
34-34
36-42
33-39
41-31
35-33
33-26
32-42
43-38
35-29
39-42
38-33
34-36
32-28
38-48
40-39
36-42
145.5Avg total
71.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.670.5144.1+3.157%
Season at home (10)76.070.4146.4+5.650%
Season away (4)67.870.8138.5-3.075%
Last 10 (10)71.873.7145.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)73.475.4148.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.879.5149.2-9.825%
vs Similar (11)70.772.6143.4-1.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.266.1146.3+14.187%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A02/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H20/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H23/01
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-25
35-41
33-35
26-33
28-31
38-35
33-30
41-32
30-27
34-38
27-34
44-40
30-35
29-28
27-25
38-42
30-24
35-30
22-31
31-42
132.7Avg total
65.2Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)66.869.9136.7-3.121%
Season at home (8)67.267.0134.2+0.238%
Season away (6)66.273.8140.0-7.70%
Last 10 (10)65.267.5132.7-2.320%
Last 5 (5)62.666.2128.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.975.1138.0-12.28%
vs Similar (15)67.565.9133.4+1.547%
vs Weaker (3)78.368.0146.3+10.367%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.0-1.0
Austin PeayTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#180
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A09/12
NCAA
McKendree
#382
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#255
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H16/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H02/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
33.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.469.8+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.934.172.0+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)34.332.266.6+2.158%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.369.0-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.269.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.240.569.8-11.225%-
vs Similar (11)33.934.468.3-0.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.330.771.0+9.587%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H22/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A02/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H23/01
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A29/01
NCAA
58.5Avg total
28.8Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.463.5-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.929.661.4+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)30.235.665.8-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)28.829.758.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)27.229.857.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.234.364.5-4.225%-
vs Similar (15)31.431.062.4+0.453%-
vs Weaker (3)33.331.364.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Austin Peay wins
1
Tennessee State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/21HBelmont76-81
23/01/21HJacksonville State70-76
22/01/21HTennessee Tech72-69
09/01/21AEastern Illinois74-71
02/01/21HEastern Kentucky75-80
31/12/20ATennessee State68-59
22/12/20HMurray State74-70
16/12/20HFlorida A&M70-76
15/12/20HMcKendree82-68
09/12/20AMurray State57-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/21AMurray State53-73
23/01/21HEastern Illinois65-54
22/01/21HSiu Edwardsville65-67
20/01/21HSoutheast Missouri State59-63
17/01/21ATennessee Tech71-74
15/01/21AJacksonville State64-65
08/01/21HUT Martin74-62
02/01/21ASoutheast Missouri State79-83 OT
31/12/20HAustin Peay59-68
22/12/20HChattanooga Mocs63-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %57%50%75%
Points / game73.676.067.8
Allowed / game70.570.470.8
Point differential+3.1+5.6-3.0
Avg total144.1146.4138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %21%38%0%
Points / game66.867.266.2
Allowed / game69.967.073.8
Point differential-3.1+0.2-7.7
Avg total136.7134.2140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky1513287%84.270.5+13.7
2 North Alabama1310377%78.264.8+13.5
3 Bellarmine149564%75.165.2+9.9
4 Lipscomb2012860%73.268.2+5.0
5 Austin Peay148657%73.670.5+3.1
6 Florida Gulf Coast137654%70.868.2+2.7
7 Jacksonville179853%68.768.6+0.1
8 Stetson145936%67.069.6-2.6
9 North Florida1761135%70.174.9-4.8
10 Queens Royals31233%70.370.0+0.3
11 Central Arkansas1421214%69.083.5-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State1812667%66.762.8+3.9
2 UALR168850%71.269.9+1.3
3 Siu Edwardsville115645%68.573.5-4.9
4 UT Martin145936%66.278.1-11.9
5 Southeast Missouri State1551033%68.171.7-3.5
6 Eastern Illinois1751229%69.575.0-5.5
7 Tennessee State1431121%66.869.9-3.1
8 Western Illinois1421214%70.178.5-8.4
9 Tennessee Tech1721512%64.477.5-13.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay422971
Tennessee State164056
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