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Austin Toros Spurs vs Memphis Hustle Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 116-107
Projected total 223.7
Scheduled
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game113.0
Vs
75%
25%
■ AUST 75%■ MEMP 25%
Pythia win probability
Position#20
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Austin Toros Spurs v Memphis Hustle
09 Dec 2026
AUST v MEMP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
AUST v MEMP
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
AUST121
MEMP118
22 Feb 2026
AUST102
MEMP97
07 Dec 2024
AUST96
MEMP100
06 Dec 2024
AUST114
MEMP100
20 Jan 2024
AUST108
MEMP117
18 Jan 2024
AUST114
MEMP115
02 Dec 2022
AUST116
MEMP117
15 Nov 2022
AUST102
MEMP99
21 Jan 2022
AUST114
MEMP107
13 Nov 2019
AUST97
MEMP113
05 Jan 2019
AUST97
MEMP110
08 Dec 2018
AUST106
MEMP120
01 Feb 2018
AUST115
MEMP120
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The Austin Toros Spurs will host the Memphis Hustle on 15 November 2026 in the NBA G League, and the Pythia model names the Spurs the clear favourite, rating them 75% to win largely because they are undefeated 2-0 this season, averaging 118.5 points per game while allowing 113.0, and sit in fourth place, whereas the Hustle are 1-2, averaging 109.7 points and conceding 108.0, positioned twentieth. Austin's single home game is a 1-0 win, 117.0 points for, 110.0 against, and their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 117-110 victory over Birmingham Squadron at home on 8 November and a 120-116 win over Rio Grande Valley Vipers away on 6 November, but a 106-117 loss to the same Vipers on 31 March; Memphis' last five contain two wins and three losses, with a 103-108 loss to Oklahoma City Blue at home on 13 November, a 128-115 win over the same Blue on 12 November, and a 98-101 defeat to Osceola Magic on 10 November. Their head-to-head record stands 10 meetings, 6-4 in favour of Austin, with the last encounter on 1 March 2026 ending 121-118 to the Spurs. Pythia projects a 116-107 score, 223.7 total points, and a 27% chance of the over on the 235.5 line, while the Spurs have a 75% probability of covering the spread; the game carries a 4% overtime likelihood.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Toros Spurs win
75.0%fair 1.33
Best odds1.38
Implied68.0%
Edge+7.0pp
Memphis Hustle win
25.0%fair 4.00
Best odds2.93
Implied32.0%
Edge-7.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin Toros SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stockton Kings
#6
L
104-106
104
106
-2
H15/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
L
116-119
116
119
-3
A17/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
121-107
121
107
+14
A20/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
117-97
117
97
+20
A22/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H26/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H28/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
118-86
118
86
+32
H29/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
106-117
106
117
-11
A01/04
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#19
W
120-116
120
116
+4
A07/11
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#14
W
117-110
117
110
+7
H08/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
25-27
17-27
40-31
20-34
38-33
32-23
26-29
35-36
22-20
32-23
32-28
25-26
40-24
24-27
28-20
24-17
26-32
25-32
24-12
26-28
16-20
27-30
32-28
33-19
32-26
27-16
26-25
20-36
29-32
29-22
28-27
40-26
32-32
22-28
26-30
21-22
46-42
20-19
30-27
217.6Avg total
111.9Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)118.5113.0231.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)117.0110.0227.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)120.0116.0236.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)111.9105.7217.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)112.4107.0219.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)112.4109.3221.7+3.160%
vs Weaker (15)113.1108.0221.1+5.173%
This opponent (Memphis Hustle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis HustleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
122-125
122
125
-3
A15/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
127-109
127
109
+18
A15/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
W
126-121
126
121
+5
H19/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
115-108
115
108
+7
H22/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
115-125
115
125
-10
H22/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
107-121
107
121
-14
A27/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
W
120-118
120
118
+2
A29/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
H11/11
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
128-115
128
115
+13
H13/11
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
103-108
103
108
-5
H14/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
27-30
28-38
39-33
31-25
32-29
25-29
39-26
29-36
31-28
31-30
35-27
36-31
28-32
33-15
18-30
25-37
35-37
25-28
30-23
21-30
26-32
33-30
27-29
27-32
38-23
25-35
30-28
27-30
16-31
31-17
24-23
32-26
38-34
31-22
27-33
–
–
–
–
231.2Avg total
116.1Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)109.7108.0217.7+1.733%
Season at home (3)109.7108.0217.7+1.733%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)116.1115.1231.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)111.2112.6223.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)112.6118.8231.4-6.232%
vs Similar ◀ (9)115.9115.9231.8+0.044%
vs Weaker (2)115.5111.5227.0+4.050%
This opponent (Austin Toros Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 230.5
Over 230.5
35.9%
Under 230.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 235.5 · main line
Over 235.5
26.7%
@ 1.87-23.3pp
Under 235.5
73.3%
@ 1.87+23.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.87
Over/Under 240.5
Over 240.5
18.8%
Under 240.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Austin Toros Spurs total 118.5
Over 118.5
42.7%
@ 1.52-17.7pp
Under 118.5
57.3%
@ 2.32+17.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.32
Austin Toros Spurs total 122.5 · main line
Over 122.5
29.9%
@ 1.87-19.6pp
Under 122.5
70.1%
@ 1.83+19.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.83
Austin Toros Spurs total 126.5
Over 126.5
19.2%
@ 2.39-19.2pp
Under 126.5
80.8%
@ 1.49+19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.39
Under
1xBet
1.49
Memphis Hustle total 109.5
Over 109.5
42.8%
@ 1.52-17.4pp
Under 109.5
57.2%
@ 2.30+17.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.30
Memphis Hustle total 113.5 · main line
Over 113.5
30.3%
@ 1.88-18.9pp
Under 113.5
69.7%
@ 1.82+18.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.82
Memphis Hustle total 117.5
Over 117.5
19.7%
@ 2.39-18.7pp
Under 117.5
80.3%
@ 1.49+18.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.39
Under
1xBet
1.49

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Austin Toros Spurs -3
AUST -3
68.8%
MEMP +3
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
AUST
No market prices yet.
MEMP
No market prices yet.
Spread Austin Toros Spurs 0
AUST 0
75.0%
MEMP 0
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
AUST
No market prices yet.
MEMP
No market prices yet.
Spread Austin Toros Spurs +3
AUST +3
81.0%
MEMP -3
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
AUST
No market prices yet.
MEMP
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
Austin Toros SpursMemphis Hustle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Austin Toros SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stockton Kings
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A17/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A20/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A22/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H29/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A01/04
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#19
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A07/11
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#14
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H08/11
NBA - G League
112.5Avg total
57.2Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 117.5
Last 30 (30)56.656.2112.9+0.447%40%
Last 30 at home (13)54.353.2107.5+1.146%31%
Last 30 away (17)58.458.5116.9-0.147%47%
Last 10 (10)57.255.3112.5+1.960%30%
Last 5 (5)59.056.6115.6+2.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.557.1113.6-0.540%47%
vs Weaker (15)56.755.4112.1+1.353%33%
This opponent (Memphis Hustle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis HustleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A15/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A15/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H19/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H22/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H22/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A27/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A29/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H11/11
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H13/11
NBA - G League
119.3Avg total
58.6Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 117.5
Last 30 (29)57.359.6116.9-2.341%45%
Last 30 at home (15)56.460.5116.9-4.133%47%
Last 30 away (14)58.258.6116.8-0.450%43%
Last 10 (9)58.660.8119.3-2.256%56%
Last 5 (5)57.062.4119.4-5.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)55.859.3115.1-3.537%37%
vs Similar ◀ (9)59.060.2119.2-1.244%56%
vs Weaker (1)70.060.0130.0+10.0100%100%
This opponent (Austin Toros Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Austin Toros Spurs -4.5 · main line
AUST -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
MEMP +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 117.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Austin Toros Spurs 1st half total 60.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Memphis Hustle 1st half total 56.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Spread Austin Toros Spurs -5.5
AUST -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
MEMP +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.73
1st half Spread Austin Toros Spurs -3.5
AUST -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
MEMP +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Over/Under 115.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.68
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
AUST
no forecast
@ 1.49
Draw
no forecast
@ 13.00
MEMP
no forecast
@ 2.78

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 234.571.6%1.92
1xBet
1.92
----+23.5pp
Austin Toros Spurs under 123.573.0%1.71
1xBet
1.71
----+19.6pp
Memphis Hustle under 114.572.6%1.71
1xBet
1.71
----+19.1pp
Austin Toros Spurs (regulation)72.8%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+9.1pp
Austin Toros Spurs win75.0%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+7.0pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 12 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBirmingham Squadron117-110
07/11/26ARio Grande Valley Vipers120-116
01/04/26ARio Grande Valley Vipers106-117
29/03/26HMexico City Capitanes118-86
28/03/26HRip City Remix101-106
26/03/26HRip City Remix99-93
22/03/26ANoblesville Boom117-97
20/03/26ANoblesville Boom121-107
17/03/26ACollege Park Skyhawks116-119
15/03/26HStockton Kings104-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOklahoma City Blue103-108
13/11/26HOklahoma City Blue128-115
11/11/26HOsceola Magic98-101
29/03/26ARio Grande Valley Vipers120-118
27/03/26ARio Grande Valley Vipers107-121
22/03/26HOklahoma City Blue115-125
22/03/26HOklahoma City Blue115-108
19/03/26HStockton Kings126-121
15/03/26AMexico City Capitanes127-109
15/03/26AMexico City Capitanes122-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Toros Spurs
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game118.5117.0120.0
Allowed / game113.0110.0116.0
Point differential+5.5+7.0+4.0
Avg total231.5227.0236.0
Over 235.550%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Memphis Hustle
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game109.7109.7-
Allowed / game108.0108.0-
Point differential+1.7+1.7-
Avg total217.7217.7-
Over 235.533%33%-
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wisconsin Herd220100%142.0127.0+15.0
2 Osceola Magic330100%102.393.7+8.7
3 Sioux Falls Skyforce330100%132.7124.0+8.7
4 Austin Toros Spurs220100%118.5113.0+5.5
5 San Diego Clippers54180%122.0119.6+2.4
6 Maine Celtics43175%120.0108.2+11.8
7 Long Island Nets43175%117.0109.5+7.5
8 Windy City Bulls43175%119.8112.8+7.0
9 South Bay Lakers43175%115.8109.2+6.5
10 Delaware Blue Coats32167%131.0127.7+3.3
11 Stockton Kings32167%125.3125.3+0.0
12 Greensboro Swarm53260%113.2106.0+7.2
13 Mexico City Capitanes53260%95.694.2+1.4
14 Birmingham Squadron21150%104.5101.5+3.0
15 Motor City Cruise21150%129.5128.0+1.5
16 College Park Skyhawks42250%118.8125.0-6.2
17 Noblesville Boom52340%119.0120.0-1.0
18 Raptors 90552340%117.8123.4-5.6
19 Rio Grande Valley Vipers31233%102.799.3+3.3
20 Memphis Hustle31233%109.7108.0+1.7
21 Salt Lake City Stars31233%104.7104.7+0.0
22 Santa Cruz Warriors31233%116.0117.0-1.0
23 Rip City Remix31233%113.0116.3-3.3
24 Texas Legends31233%95.3101.0-5.7
25 Grand Rapids Gold41325%112.8116.8-4.0
26 Iowa Wolves41325%118.8128.8-10.0
27 Oklahoma City Blue51420%93.4103.0-9.6
28 Valley Suns3030%115.0123.3-8.3
29 Cleveland Charge2020%132.0145.0-13.0
30 Westchester3030%94.0107.7-13.7
31 Capital City Go-Go2020%120.0134.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.
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