The Austin Toros Spurs will host the Memphis Hustle on 15 November 2026 in the NBA G League, and the Pythia model names the Spurs the clear favourite, rating them 75% to win largely because they are undefeated 2-0 this season, averaging 118.5 points per game while allowing 113.0, and sit in fourth place, whereas the Hustle are 1-2, averaging 109.7 points and conceding 108.0, positioned twentieth. Austin's single home game is a 1-0 win, 117.0 points for, 110.0 against, and their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 117-110 victory over Birmingham Squadron at home on 8 November and a 120-116 win over Rio Grande Valley Vipers away on 6 November, but a 106-117 loss to the same Vipers on 31 March; Memphis' last five contain two wins and three losses, with a 103-108 loss to Oklahoma City Blue at home on 13 November, a 128-115 win over the same Blue on 12 November, and a 98-101 defeat to Osceola Magic on 10 November. Their head-to-head record stands 10 meetings, 6-4 in favour of Austin, with the last encounter on 1 March 2026 ending 121-118 to the Spurs. Pythia projects a 116-107 score, 223.7 total points, and a 27% chance of the over on the 235.5 line, while the Spurs have a 75% probability of covering the spread; the game carries a 4% overtime likelihood.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 118.5 | 113.0 | 231.5 | +5.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 117.0 | 110.0 | 227.0 | +7.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 120.0 | 116.0 | 236.0 | +4.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 111.9 | 105.7 | 217.6 | +6.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 112.4 | 107.0 | 219.4 | +5.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 112.4 | 109.3 | 221.7 | +3.1 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 113.1 | 108.0 | 221.1 | +5.1 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 109.7 | 108.0 | 217.7 | +1.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 109.7 | 108.0 | 217.7 | +1.7 | 33% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 116.1 | 115.1 | 231.2 | +1.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 111.2 | 112.6 | 223.8 | -1.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 112.6 | 118.8 | 231.4 | -6.2 | 32% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 115.9 | 115.9 | 231.8 | +0.0 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 115.5 | 111.5 | 227.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 117.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 56.6 | 56.2 | 112.9 | +0.4 | 47% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 54.3 | 53.2 | 107.5 | +1.1 | 46% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 58.4 | 58.5 | 116.9 | -0.1 | 47% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 57.2 | 55.3 | 112.5 | +1.9 | 60% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 59.0 | 56.6 | 115.6 | +2.4 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 56.5 | 57.1 | 113.6 | -0.5 | 40% | 47% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 56.7 | 55.4 | 112.1 | +1.3 | 53% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 117.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 57.3 | 59.6 | 116.9 | -2.3 | 41% | 45% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 56.4 | 60.5 | 116.9 | -4.1 | 33% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 58.2 | 58.6 | 116.8 | -0.4 | 50% | 43% |
| Last 10 (9) | 58.6 | 60.8 | 119.3 | -2.2 | 56% | 56% |
| Last 5 (5) | 57.0 | 62.4 | 119.4 | -5.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 55.8 | 59.3 | 115.1 | -3.5 | 37% | 37% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 59.0 | 60.2 | 119.2 | -1.2 | 44% | 56% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 70.0 | 60.0 | 130.0 | +10.0 | 100% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 234.5 | 71.6% | 1.92 | 1.92 | - | - | - | - | +23.5pp |
| Austin Toros Spurs under 123.5 | 73.0% | 1.71 | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | +19.6pp |
| Memphis Hustle under 114.5 | 72.6% | 1.71 | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp |
| Austin Toros Spurs (regulation) | 72.8% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp |
| Austin Toros Spurs win | 75.0% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp |
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Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 | Austin Toros Spurs v Memphis Hustle | 121-118 |
| 22/02/26 | Austin Toros Spurs v Memphis Hustle | 102-97 |
| 16/11/25 | Memphis Hustle v Austin Toros Spurs | 111-125 |
| 16/11/25 | Memphis Hustle v Austin Toros Spurs | 98-120 |
| 28/03/25 | Memphis Hustle v Austin Toros Spurs | 113-102 |
| 26/03/25 | Memphis Hustle v Austin Toros Spurs | 93-130 |
| 08/12/24 | Austin Toros Spurs v Memphis Hustle | 96-100 |
| 07/12/24 | Austin Toros Spurs v Memphis Hustle | 114-100 |
| 21/01/24 | Austin Toros Spurs v Memphis Hustle | 108-117 |
| 19/01/24 | Austin Toros Spurs v Memphis Hustle | 114-115 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Birmingham Squadron | 117-110 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 120-116 |
| 01/04/26 | A | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 106-117 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Mexico City Capitanes | 118-86 |
| 28/03/26 | H | Rip City Remix | 101-106 |
| 26/03/26 | H | Rip City Remix | 99-93 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Noblesville Boom | 117-97 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Noblesville Boom | 121-107 |
| 17/03/26 | A | College Park Skyhawks | 116-119 |
| 15/03/26 | H | Stockton Kings | 104-106 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Oklahoma City Blue | 103-108 |
| 13/11/26 | H | Oklahoma City Blue | 128-115 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Osceola Magic | 98-101 |
| 29/03/26 | A | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 120-118 |
| 27/03/26 | A | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 107-121 |
| 22/03/26 | H | Oklahoma City Blue | 115-125 |
| 22/03/26 | H | Oklahoma City Blue | 115-108 |
| 19/03/26 | H | Stockton Kings | 126-121 |
| 15/03/26 | A | Mexico City Capitanes | 127-109 |
| 15/03/26 | A | Mexico City Capitanes | 122-125 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 118.5 | 117.0 | 120.0 |
| Allowed / game | 113.0 | 110.0 | 116.0 |
| Point differential | +5.5 | +7.0 | +4.0 |
| Avg total | 231.5 | 227.0 | 236.0 |
| Over 235.5 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 33% | 33% | - |
| Points / game | 109.7 | 109.7 | - |
| Allowed / game | 108.0 | 108.0 | - |
| Point differential | +1.7 | +1.7 | - |
| Avg total | 217.7 | 217.7 | - |
| Over 235.5 | 33% | 33% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 33% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 142.0 | 127.0 | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 93.7 | +8.7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 132.7 | 124.0 | +8.7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 118.5 | 113.0 | +5.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 122.0 | 119.6 | +2.4 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 120.0 | 108.2 | +11.8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 117.0 | 109.5 | +7.5 | |
| 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 119.8 | 112.8 | +7.0 | |
| 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 115.8 | 109.2 | +6.5 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 131.0 | 127.7 | +3.3 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 125.3 | 125.3 | +0.0 | |
| 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 113.2 | 106.0 | +7.2 | |
| 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 95.6 | 94.2 | +1.4 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 104.5 | 101.5 | +3.0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 129.5 | 128.0 | +1.5 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 118.8 | 125.0 | -6.2 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 119.0 | 120.0 | -1.0 | |
| 18 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 117.8 | 123.4 | -5.6 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 102.7 | 99.3 | +3.3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 109.7 | 108.0 | +1.7 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 104.7 | 104.7 | +0.0 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 116.0 | 117.0 | -1.0 | |
| 23 | Rip City Remix | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 113.0 | 116.3 | -3.3 |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 95.3 | 101.0 | -5.7 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 112.8 | 116.8 | -4.0 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 118.8 | 128.8 | -10.0 | |
| 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 93.4 | 103.0 | -9.6 | |
| 28 | Valley Suns | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 115.0 | 123.3 | -8.3 |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 132.0 | 145.0 | -13.0 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 94.0 | 107.7 | -13.7 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 120.0 | 134.5 | -14.5 |
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