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Australia vs Thailand Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 114-64
26-18 30-17 25-18 33-11
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game60.6
vs
Position#12
Record8-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeAsia Cup· Gippsland Regional Indoor Sports Stadium
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thailand winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Finland
#22
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
111avg 95
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 95
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 95
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 95
H20/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
28-19
25-14
28-18
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
169.2Avg total
96.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)99.860.6160.4+39.2100%
Season at home (2)97.064.5161.5+32.5100%
Season away (3)101.758.0159.7+43.7100%
Last 10 (10)96.872.4169.2+24.480%
Last 5 (5)99.860.6160.4+39.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.062.3150.2+25.789%
This opponent (Thailand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThailandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThailand
Date
Competition
Cambodia
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
no box
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
63-97
63
97
-34
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
L
62-76
62
76
-14
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#29
W
73-56
73
56
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
62-96
62
96
-34
43avg 69
A25/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-101
48
101
-53
33avg 69
H21/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
112-71
112
71
+41
117avg 69
A24/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 69
H20/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
14-15
13-19
18-17
21-14
14-10
25-17
23-28
18-28
9-14
17-31
19-24
22-20
13-21
15-27
22-19
12-17
22-14
14-20
14-25
17-8
18-17
25-10
13-21
15-28
16-27
11-17
20-24
22-20
9-30
9-23
8-28
26-21
32-21
36-18
18-11
23-24
20-31
19-17
28-19
155.1Avg total
73.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.776.8163.5+9.867%
Season at home (7)86.380.3166.6+6.057%
Season away (5)87.272.0159.2+15.280%
Last 10 (10)73.182.0155.1-8.930%
Last 5 (5)77.083.0160.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)67.092.1159.1-25.10%
vs Similar (3)97.779.3177.0+18.3100%
vs Weaker (16)92.263.7155.9+28.675%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +8.3+8.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +8.3+8.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
AustraliaThailand
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
84.7Avg total
47.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.532.579.0+14.090%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.232.177.2+13.188%-
Last 30 away (13)48.133.081.1+15.192%-
Last 10 (10)47.936.884.7+11.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.831.679.4+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.532.178.6+14.388%-
This opponent (Thailand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThailandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cambodia
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#29
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H21/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A24/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H20/02
Asia Cup
76.9Avg total
36.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.978.4+4.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.679.4+2.344%-
Last 30 away (14)42.434.977.3+7.457%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.576.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.485.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.347.580.7-14.29%-
vs Similar (3)49.741.391.0+8.367%-
vs Weaker (16)45.828.874.5+17.075%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 99.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.825.0
58.4%
49.3%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.4
34.5%
32.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
70.1%14.8
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thailandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thailand: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.2
49.5%
49.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.811.5
34.0%
32.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
70.1%12.8
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWWLWLW
Thailand
LWLLWLLLWL
#1
League position
#12
+49.6
Net rating
+13.4
125.3
Offensive rating
103.6
75.7
Defensive rating
90.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
12.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.5%
3-point %
34.0%
74.7%
Assist %
62.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence125.3 · 103.6Defence75.7 · 90.2Shooting55.5% · 50.2%3-point %34.5% · 34.0%Ball care12.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds39.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Australia   ■ Thailand
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Australia wins
0
Thailand wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24Thailand v Australia48-101
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89
27/08/23HGermany82-85
25/08/23AFinland98-72
Thailandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HSouth Korea90-91
24/11/24AIndonesia112-71
21/11/24HAustralia48-101
25/02/24ASouth Korea62-96
22/02/24HIndonesia73-56
30/09/23ABahrain62-76
28/09/23HPhilippines72-87
26/09/23AJordan63-97
16/05/23HIndonesia83-69
15/05/23ACambodia66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.897.0101.7
Allowed / game60.664.558.0
Point differential+39.2+32.5+43.7
Avg total160.4161.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thailand
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%57%80%
Points / game86.786.387.2
Allowed / game76.880.372.0
Point differential+9.8+6.0+15.2
Avg total163.5166.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%43%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia550100%99.860.6+39.2
2 Lebanon550100%90.672.0+18.6
3 Jordan550100%78.064.6+13.4
4 New Zealand65183%87.766.0+21.7
5 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
6 China54180%88.857.6+31.2
7 Iran54180%73.052.0+21.0
8 Philippines64267%90.073.0+17.0
9 Thailand128467%86.776.8+9.8
10 Qatar106460%69.566.8+2.7
11 Iraq106460%73.771.4+2.3
12 South Korea53260%83.882.6+1.2
13 Saudi Arabia53260%67.067.8-0.8
14 Guam106460%70.573.5-3.0
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
17 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
18 Syria52340%75.475.2+0.2
19 United Arab Emirates104640%69.372.9-3.6
20 Bahrain52340%72.880.6-7.8
21 Kazakhstan52340%55.263.6-8.4
22 Chinese Taipei52340%72.483.0-10.6
23 Palestine103730%68.871.8-3.0
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong102820%63.981.2-17.3
26 India51420%59.878.6-18.8
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia5050%62.897.2-34.4
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia26302533114
Thailand1817181164
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