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Thailand vs Philippines Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 72-87
22-20 13-21 15-27 22-19
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game61.0
EuropeAsian Games
Other2023
Meetings · Thailand v Philippines
28 Sep 2023
THAI72
PHIL87
30 Nov 2020
THAI69
PHIL93
20 Aug 2017
THAI74
PHIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thailand winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThailandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThailand
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
W
109-105
109
105
+4
no box
H14/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
101-88
101
88
+13
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
78-60
78
60
+18
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#6
W
104-63
104
63
+41
98avg 87
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Laos
#8
W
156-42
156
42
+114
156avg 87
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
55avg 87
A14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
52avg 87
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
75avg 87
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
63-97
63
97
-34
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
29-28
23-11
34-35
17-17
21-21
14-13
17-24
24-22
23-25
26-18
28-23
16-14
26-11
22-19
14-16
28-15
23-10
26-26
27-12
53-7
33-17
29-4
41-14
22-12
16-15
15-27
16-33
21-25
14-15
13-19
18-17
21-14
14-10
25-17
23-28
18-28
9-14
17-31
19-24
166.0Avg total
89.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)63.097.0160.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)63.097.0160.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)89.876.2166.0+13.660%
Last 5 (5)87.474.2161.6+13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.295.8169.0-22.610%
vs Similar (4)93.276.8170.0+16.5100%
vs Weaker (16)92.064.8156.8+27.275%
This opponent (Philippines) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Cambodia
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
52avg 72
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games
Singapore
#7
W
105-45
105
45
+60
81avg 72
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
84-76
84
76
+8
75avg 72
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 72
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Dominican Republic
#12
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H29/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
A31/08
World Cup
China
#20
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Bahrain
#9
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
17-21
16-19
21-13
29-5
27-14
30-15
19-11
20-24
18-21
22-20
24-11
21-22
23-11
20-18
16-18
18-22
24-20
22-24
17-21
19-12
14-24
19-20
18-24
23-20
16-28
21-25
23-17
17-34
16-17
17-9
18-27
16-16
23-24
34-11
23-24
22-18
29-15
21-14
17-14
157.3Avg total
82.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.061.0150.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)89.061.0150.0+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.474.9157.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)81.278.6159.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.891.8168.6-15.011%
vs Similar (6)83.781.7165.3+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.457.7144.1+28.787%
This opponent (Thailand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
ThailandPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThailandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H14/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A26/02
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#6
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Laos
#8
W
86-24
86
24
+62
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/09
Asian Games
80.2Avg total
45.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.278.7+6.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.581.1+6.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.334.976.2+6.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.135.180.2+10.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.475.6+12.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.348.183.4-12.820%-
vs Similar (4)46.537.584.0+9.075%-
vs Weaker (16)46.028.474.4+17.675%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cambodia
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games
Singapore
#7
W
56-19
56
19
+37
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Dominican Republic
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H27/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H29/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A31/08
World Cup
China
#20
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/09
World Cup
Bahrain
#9
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H26/09
Asian Games
80.0Avg total
40.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.877.5+3.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.136.177.2+4.956%-
Last 30 away (14)40.137.677.8+2.536%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.480.0+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.944.781.6-7.811%-
vs Similar (6)38.746.785.3-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.728.271.9+15.587%-
This opponent (Thailand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thailandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thailand: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.8
57.9%
-45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.611.4
31.1%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.0
51.5%
-48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.8
31.0%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws19.010.6
55.8%
-10.6
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thailand
LWLLWWWWLW
Philippines
WWLLLLWWWL
#16
League position
#1
+33.4
Net rating
+28.7
113.8
Offensive rating
110.0
80.4
Defensive rating
81.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
41.4%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.1%
3-point %
31.0%
57.9%
Assist %
53.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Thailand   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Thailand wins
6
Philippines wins
DateGameScore
16/05/22Philippines v Thailand76-73
30/11/20Thailand v Philippines69-93
27/11/20Philippines v Thailand93-61
10/12/19Philippines v Thailand115-81
20/08/17Thailand v Philippines74-81
14/06/15Philippines v Thailand80-75
Thailandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/23AJordan63-97
16/05/23HIndonesia83-69
15/05/23ACambodia66-76
14/05/23AIndonesia69-87
12/05/23ALaos156-42
10/05/23HVietnam104-63
26/02/23ASingapore78-60
25/02/23HHong Kong101-88
24/02/23HGuam69-75
14/11/22HMongolia109-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/23HBahrain89-61
02/09/23HChina96-75
31/08/23ASouth Sudan68-87
29/08/23HItaly83-90
27/08/23HAngola70-80
25/08/23ADominican Republic81-87
16/05/23ACambodia80-69
15/05/23AIndonesia84-76
13/05/23ASingapore105-45
11/05/23HCambodia68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thailand
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game63.0-63.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Philippines
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Korea110100%95.055.0+40.0
2 China110100%89.050.0+39.0
3 Jordan110100%97.063.0+34.0
4 Japan110100%95.063.0+32.0
5 Philippines110100%89.061.0+28.0
6 Iran110100%81.057.0+24.0
7 Saudi Arabia110100%86.062.0+24.0
8 Chinese Taipei110100%81.062.0+19.0
9 Hong Kong1010%62.081.0-19.0
10 Kazakhstan1010%62.086.0-24.0
11 United Arab Emirates1010%57.081.0-24.0
12 Bahrain1010%61.089.0-28.0
13 Qatar1010%63.095.0-32.0
14 Thailand1010%63.097.0-34.0
15 Mongolia1010%50.089.0-39.0
16 Indonesia1010%55.095.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thailand2213152272
Philippines2021271987
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