PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga Femenina Women· Náutico Sportivo Avellaneda Arena
Avellaneda W will host Berazategui W on 5 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, with Berazategui the clear favourite as the model gives the away side a 70% chance to win and a projected 69-64 score. Avellaneda has gone 1-3 in all four games this season, averaging 59.5 points and conceding 64.8, while Berazategui is 2-2 with 72.0 points scored and 67.2 allowed. At home Avellaneda is 1-1, posting 67.5 points and 55.5 allowed, and has won only one of its last five games, losing 58-63 to Regatas San Nicolas, 45-85 to Ferro, and 53-67 to El Talar. Berazategui's road record is 1-1, with 71.5 points for and 69.0 against, and in their last five they have won twice, beating Obras Sanitarias 83-68 and losing 68-74 to Ferro and 60-70 to Union Florida. In the four meetings between the clubs Berazategui has won all four, most recently 86-45 on 7 March 2025. The model projects a total of 133.0 points and a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 59.5 | 64.8 | 124.2 | -5.2 | 25% |
| Season at home (2) | 67.5 | 55.5 | 123.0 | +12.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 51.5 | 74.0 | 125.5 | -22.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 60.1 | 64.0 | 124.1 | -3.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 57.8 | 66.6 | 124.4 | -8.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 58.0 | 77.3 | 135.3 | -19.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 61.7 | 60.5 | 122.2 | +1.2 | 54% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 74.7 | 52.5 | 127.2 | +22.2 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 72.0 | 67.2 | 139.2 | +4.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 72.5 | 65.5 | 138.0 | +7.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 71.5 | 69.0 | 140.5 | +2.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 61.9 | 59.1 | 121.0 | +2.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.0 | 65.2 | 132.2 | +1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 61.5 | 65.5 | 127.0 | -4.1 | 31% |
| vs Similar (5) | 57.6 | 57.8 | 115.4 | -0.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 66.1 | 59.8 | 125.8 | +6.3 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.6 | 33.8 | 64.4 | -3.2 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 34.3 | 32.5 | 66.8 | +1.8 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 27.4 | 34.9 | 62.2 | -7.5 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 28.4 | 34.9 | 63.3 | -6.5 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 28.8 | 36.6 | 65.4 | -7.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 28.0 | 40.7 | 68.7 | -12.7 | 9% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 29.7 | 31.7 | 61.4 | -2.0 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 37.3 | 25.5 | 62.8 | +11.8 | 83% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.5 | 29.1 | 59.5 | +1.4 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 31.9 | 28.5 | 60.4 | +3.5 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 29.4 | 29.5 | 58.9 | -0.2 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.8 | 29.0 | 58.8 | +0.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.8 | 29.0 | 59.8 | +1.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 27.3 | 31.8 | 59.2 | -4.5 | 23% | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 26.2 | 28.8 | 55.0 | -2.6 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 35.7 | 26.2 | 61.8 | +9.5 | 83% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.9 | 19.6 | 42.6% | 39.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.4 | 5.1 | 27.2% | 15.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 12.2 | 63.8% | 12.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.1 | 17.5 | 42.6% | 35.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.2 | 7.2 | 27.2% | 21.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.1 | 11.3 | 63.8% | 11.3 |
Avellaneda W
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/03/25 | Berazategui W v Avellaneda W | 86-45 |
| 31/01/25 | Avellaneda W v Berazategui W | 45-62 |
| 08/12/24 | Berazategui W v Avellaneda W | 81-48 |
| 02/11/24 | Avellaneda W v Berazategui W | 50-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Regatas San Nicolas W | 58-63 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Ferro W | 45-85 |
| 16/10/26 | H | El Talar W | 53-67 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Regatas San Nicolas W | 82-44 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 51-74 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Obras Sanitarias W | 62-77 |
| 12/04/26 | H | Quimsa W | 73-56 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Quimsa W | 53-58 |
| 05/04/26 | A | Quimsa W | 62-47 |
| 24/03/26 | A | San Jose W | 62-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | H | Ferro W | 68-74 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 83-68 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Union Florida W | 60-70 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Regatas San Nicolas W | 77-57 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Deportivo Chanares W | 47-57 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Deportivo Chanares W | 51-58 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Deportivo Chanares W | 53-37 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Union Florida W | 71-56 |
| 07/04/26 | H | Union Florida W | 54-52 |
| 30/03/26 | H | El Bigua W | 55-62 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLL | 25% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 59.5 | 67.5 | 51.5 |
| Allowed / game | 64.8 | 55.5 | 74.0 |
| Point differential | -5.2 | +12.0 | -22.5 |
| Avg total | 124.2 | 123.0 | 125.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWL | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 72.0 | 72.5 | 71.5 |
| Allowed / game | 67.2 | 65.5 | 69.0 |
| Point differential | +4.8 | +7.0 | +2.5 |
| Avg total | 139.2 | 138.0 | 140.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rocamora W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 74.2 | 54.8 | +19.4 |
| 2 | Boca W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 75.0 | 58.8 | +16.2 |
| 3 |  Obras Sanitarias W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 71.2 | 67.2 | +4.0 |
| 4 | Independiente Neuquen W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 62.6 | 59.2 | +3.4 |
| 5 |  El Talar W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 72.5 | 60.2 | +12.2 |
| 6 | Hindu W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 69.8 | 53.3 | +16.5 |
| 7 | Quilmes W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 60.0 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 60.2 | 54.8 | +5.3 |
| 9 |  Ferro W | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 73.9 | 61.4 | +12.4 |
| 10 | Berazategui W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.0 | 67.2 | +4.8 |
| 11 |  San Jose W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 54.5 | 49.8 | +4.8 |
| 12 |  Instituto W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 65.0 | 63.8 | +1.2 |
| 13 |  Union Florida W | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 64.6 | 67.2 | -2.6 |
| 14 | Avellaneda W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 59.5 | 64.8 | -5.2 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Chanares W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 63.0 | 62.4 | +0.6 |
| 16 | El Bigua W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 59.4 | 67.2 | -7.8 |
| 17 | Union Bahia W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 52.7 | 64.8 | -12.2 |
| 18 | Regatas San Nicolas W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 54.7 | 78.8 | -24.2 |
| 19 | Penarol W | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 48.0 | 67.2 | -19.2 |
| 20 | Sociedad Espanola W | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 26.5 | 82.2 | -55.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellaneda W | 23 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 56 |
| Berazategui W | 24 | 16 | 24 | 23 | 87 |
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