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Azerbaijan W vs Lithuania W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 47-108
16-23 13-30 13-24 5-31
Position#36
Record0-3
FormLLL
Points / game47.0
Allowed / game113.3
vs
Position#17
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· ArcelorMittal Park
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Azerbaijan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Azerbaijan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
62-99
62
99
-37
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
28-136
28
136
-108
12avg 22
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
51-105
51
105
-54
32avg 22
A07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-24
11-30
14-23
6-25
4-38
6-39
12-34
16-32
15-32
10-20
10-21
160.3Avg total
47.0Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)47.0113.3160.3-66.30%
Season at home (1)28.0136.0164.0-108.00%
Season away (2)56.5102.0158.5-45.50%
Last 10 (3)47.0113.3160.3-66.30%
Last 5 (3)47.0113.3160.3-66.30%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)47.0113.3160.3-66.30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
no box
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
69-59
69
59
+10
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
71avg 74
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
73avg 74
A07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
15-34
11-22
17-14
20-17
15-7
19-15
15-20
17-22
11-20
15-24
13-17
23-17
14-25
29-10
15-10
20-9
14-12
14-18
17-17
17-20
23-20
11-22
24-21
12-21
30-19
8-23
15-8
22-18
24-19
30-11
23-14
15-28
17-14
20-10
14-14
15-19
20-22
14-25
21-15
144.2Avg total
71.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.372.0153.3+9.367%
Season at home (1)99.062.0161.0+37.0100%
Season away (2)72.577.0149.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)71.672.6144.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)76.874.0150.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.083.0151.0-15.017%
vs Similar (4)63.068.5131.5-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.255.0140.2+30.2100%
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-26-13+0+13+26Q1Q1: -13.0-13.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -18.7-18.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -20.7-20.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -14.0-14.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-26-13+0+13+26Q1Q1: -13.0-13.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -18.7-18.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -20.7-20.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -14.0-14.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
Azerbaijan WLithuania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Azerbaijan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
10-63
10
63
-53
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A07/11
European Championship Women
83.7Avg total
26.0Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)26.057.783.7-31.70%-
Last 30 at home (1)10.063.073.0-53.00%-
Last 30 away (2)34.055.089.0-21.00%-
Last 10 (3)26.057.783.7-31.70%-
Last 5 (3)26.057.783.7-31.70%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.057.783.7-31.70%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#1
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H11/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
75.1Avg total
36.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)35.337.072.3-1.736%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.033.470.4+3.643%-
Last 30 away (7)33.640.674.1-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.975.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.079.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.544.076.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (4)34.838.273.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.025.265.2+14.8100%-
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Azerbaijan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Azerbaijan W: 45.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀50%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers16.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
45.4%16.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.37.7
24.5%
30.0%23.0
🏀 Free throws9.76.7
69.0%
72.4%6.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.0
51.2%
45.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.3
30.6%
30.0%19.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.1%
72.4%17.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Azerbaijan W
LLL
Lithuania W
LWWLLWWLWL
#36
League position
#17
-83.9
Net rating
+10.6
57.2
Offensive rating
97.9
141.1
Defensive rating
87.3
33.4%
Effective FG%
49.5%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
30.7%
Turnover %
24.0%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.35
24.5%
3-point %
30.6%
61.7%
Assist %
77.6%
0%
Form (last 3/10)
50%

Profile

Offence57.2 · 97.9Defence141.1 · 87.3Shooting33.4% · 49.5%3-point %24.5% · 30.6%Ball care30.7% · 24.0%Off. rebounds21.6% · 35.4%Free throws0.17 · 0.35Form (last 3/10)0% · 50%
■ Azerbaijan W   ■ Lithuania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Azerbaijan W wins
1
Lithuania W wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Lithuania W v Azerbaijan W99-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24APoland W51-105
12/11/23HBelgium W28-136
09/11/23ALithuania W62-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24ABelgium W70-81
12/11/23APoland W75-73 OT
09/11/23HAzerbaijan W99-62
12/02/23AUkraine W65-71
09/02/23HFrance W75-83
27/11/22AFinland W65-56
24/11/22HUkraine W81-62
14/11/21AFrance W56-83
11/11/21HFinland W69-59
06/02/21ASerbia W61-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Azerbaijan W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game47.028.056.5
Allowed / game113.3136.0102.0
Point differential-66.3-108.0-45.5
Avg total160.3164.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.399.072.5
Allowed / game72.062.077.0
Point differential+9.3+37.0-4.5
Avg total153.3161.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W330100%88.349.7+38.7
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W330100%70.352.7+17.7
5 Luxembourg W330100%68.053.7+14.3
6 Sweden W440100%71.260.8+10.5
7 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
8 Belgium W32167%93.055.0+38.0
9 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
10 Croatia W32167%79.069.0+10.0
11 Germany W32167%72.362.3+10.0
12 Lithuania W32167%81.372.0+9.3
13 Montenegro W32167%75.067.3+7.7
14 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
15 Hungary W32167%68.363.3+5.0
16 Latvia W32167%73.369.0+4.3
17 Portugal W32167%60.062.0-2.0
18 Slovakia W32167%70.374.0-3.7
19 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
20 Israel W42250%78.074.5+3.5
21 Greece W42250%68.566.5+2.0
22 Finland W42250%69.572.0-2.5
23 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
24 Netherlands W31233%60.064.0-4.0
25 Switzerland W31233%63.367.7-4.3
26 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
27 Denmark W41325%67.567.5+0.0
28 Bulgaria W41325%70.876.5-5.8
29 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
30 Iceland W3030%68.377.3-9.0
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina W3030%65.383.0-17.7
32 Austria W3030%53.076.7-23.7
33 Czech Republic W3030%51.376.0-24.7
34 North Macedonia W3030%53.788.7-35.0
35 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
36 Azerbaijan W3030%47.0113.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Azerbaijan W161313547
Lithuania W23302431108
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