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Baerum vs Oppsal Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-58
19-11 20-14 26-13 23-20
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game77.0
Baerum 🏆
Norway
vs
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game97.5
NorwayBLNO· Nadderudhallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Baerum v Oppsal
17 Nov 2024
BAER97
OPPS67
29 Sep 2024
BAER88
OPPS58
09 Jan 2024
BAER97
OPPS73
07 Nov 2023
BAER89
OPPS83
03 Jan 2023
BAER73
OPPS50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baerum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oppsal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaerumNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaerum
Date
Competition
Centrum Tigers
#3
W
67-56
67
56
+11
58avg 71
A06/03
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#3
W
98-87
98
87
+11
100avg 71
H10/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
85avg 71
A19/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 71
H23/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
no box
A26/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 71
H04/04
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 71
A11/04
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
73-87
73
87
-14
16avg 71
H14/04
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
32avg 71
A18/04
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H26/09
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
11-17
15-9
27-11
20-28
26-24
29-15
23-20
25-19
22-20
19-17
18-28
17-25
21-25
15-21
26-22
13-15
16-28
28-18
21-17
14-25
19-11
20-16
22-18
18-24
23-28
23-31
21-20
26-27
19-25
19-20
9-15
28-32
19-24
24-27
23-21
29-15
18-15
22-26
19-21
170.6Avg total
85.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.085.6170.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)83.088.2171.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.686.9168.6-5.336%
vs Similar (6)83.270.7153.8+12.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.673.2157.8+11.470%
This opponent (Oppsal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OppsalNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOppsal
Date
Competition
Ammerud
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
52avg 59
A06/02
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
70-106
70
106
-36
54avg 59
A09/02
BLNO
Gimle
#4
L
57-104
57
104
-47
44avg 59
A10/02
BLNO
Baerum
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
55avg 59
H14/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
80-116
80
116
-36
73avg 59
H17/02
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 59
A29/02
BLNO
Ullern
#13
W
112-76
112
76
+36
105avg 59
H15/03
BLNO
Sverresborg
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
79avg 59
H17/03
BLNO
Tromso
#10
L
71-92
71
92
-21
no box
A21/09
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#4
L
48-103
48
103
-55
no box
H25/09
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
23-24
8-23
26-15
23-34
21-22
8-29
18-21
18-24
12-38
20-19
7-23
18-18
21-27
20-22
14-31
19-30
19-28
27-28
15-30
16-16
14-19
20-24
19-22
35-18
25-22
27-19
25-17
29-27
21-20
19-19
21-14
16-30
11-22
19-29
25-11
15-33
9-26
16-19
8-25
167.7Avg total
74.4Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)59.597.5157.0-38.00%
Season at home (1)48.0103.0151.0-55.00%
Season away (1)71.092.0163.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)74.493.3167.7-18.920%
Last 5 (5)78.086.4164.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.795.8168.5-23.14%
vs Similar (3)79.386.0165.3-6.70%
vs Weaker (1)112.076.0188.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Baerum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
BaerumOppsal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaerumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centrum Tigers
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A06/03
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A19/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H23/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A26/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H04/04
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A11/04
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H14/04
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A18/04
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H26/09
BLNO
84.4Avg total
39.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.779.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.279.7+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.278.3-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.684.4-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.287.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.143.081.1-4.929%-
vs Similar (6)40.339.279.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.235.475.6+4.870%-
This opponent (Oppsal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OppsalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ammerud
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/02
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A09/02
BLNO
Gimle
#4
L
30-62
30
62
-32
A10/02
BLNO
Baerum
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H17/02
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/02
BLNO
Ullern
#13
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H15/03
BLNO
Sverresborg
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/03
BLNO
Tromso
#10
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A21/09
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#4
L
24-59
24
59
-35
H25/09
BLNO
87.5Avg total
38.2Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.047.984.9-10.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.547.786.2-9.231%-
Last 30 away (14)35.348.183.4-12.914%-
Last 10 (10)38.249.387.5-11.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.684.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.548.483.9-12.919%-
vs Similar (3)42.346.088.3-3.733%-
vs Weaker (1)60.040.0100.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Baerum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baerumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.7
53.2%
-35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.3
33.6%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
-15.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oppsaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oppsal: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.119.9
45.1%
-39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.7
27.5%
-20.1
🏀 Free throws23.516.8
71.5%
-16.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baerum
WLLLWWLWWW
Oppsal
LLWWLLLLLL
#7
League position
#11
-2.1
Net rating
-17.3
107.9
Offensive rating
92.0
110.1
Defensive rating
109.2
51.8%
Effective FG%
43.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
27.5%
60.7%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Baerum   ■ Oppsal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baerum wins
0
Oppsal wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Oppsal v Baerum73-98
09/01/24Baerum v Oppsal97-73
07/11/23Baerum v Oppsal89-83
15/02/23Oppsal v Baerum68-94
03/01/23Baerum v Oppsal73-50
28/09/22Oppsal v Baerum66-107
Baerumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/24HKongsberg Miners88-77
18/04/24AFyllingen94-104
14/04/24HFyllingen73-87
11/04/24AFyllingen85-103
04/04/24HKongsberg Miners75-70
26/03/24AKongsberg Miners95-89 OT
23/03/24HKongsberg Miners79-93
19/03/24AKongsberg Miners96-90 OT
10/03/24HCentrum Tigers98-87
06/03/24ACentrum Tigers67-56
Oppsallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24HCentrum Tigers48-103
21/09/24ATromso71-92
17/03/24HSverresborg90-80
15/03/24HUllern112-76
29/02/24ACentrum Tigers69-81
17/02/24HFyllingen80-116
14/02/24HBaerum73-98
10/02/24AGimle57-104
09/02/24AFroya70-106
06/02/24AAmmerud74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baerum
BLNO 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Oppsal
BLNO 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.548.071.0
Allowed / game97.5103.092.0
Point differential-38.0-55.0-21.0
Avg total157.0151.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Centrum Tigers330100%94.061.0+33.0
2 Fyllingen330100%90.376.3+14.0
3 Baerum110100%88.077.0+11.0
4 Ammerud220100%82.575.0+7.5
5 Gimle21150%75.079.5-4.5
6 Froya31233%78.076.3+1.7
7 Kongsberg Miners31233%80.383.0-2.7
8 Tromso31233%80.391.0-10.7
9 Nidaros Jets41325%79.886.0-6.2
10 Asker2020%81.092.0-11.0
11 Oppsal2020%59.597.5-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baerum1920262388
Oppsal1114132058
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