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Bahcesehir Kol. vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 105-77
34-20 25-23 20-16 26-18
Position#8
Record13-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#16
Record4-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game96.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 25
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bahcesehir Kol. v Afyon Belediye
27 Mar 2022
BKO105
ABE77
31 Oct 2020
BKO70
ABE76
12 Oct 2019
BKO82
ABE87
05 Oct 2018
BKO88
ABE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol.TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 84
H29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#17
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 84
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Saratov
#2
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#11
L
69-86
69
86
-17
52avg 84
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
95-81
95
81
+14
77avg 84
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#8
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A10/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#8
W
66-54
66
54
+12
no box
H16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#13
L
70-79
70
79
-9
64avg 84
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
21-19
24-21
19-21
23-23
23-17
20-20
20-25
21-13
30-20
21-23
24-22
11-19
20-21
17-21
36-23
18-24
25-23
9-19
17-20
15-24
18-17
22-25
25-22
20-16
29-18
23-20
23-27
17-12
22-22
18-15
16-21
15-19
13-20
13-7
25-8
24-14
11-17
9-23
26-25
163.0Avg total
82.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.081.8167.7+4.257%
Season at home (10)88.883.2172.0+5.660%
Season away (13)83.880.7164.5+3.154%
Last 10 (10)82.680.4163.0+2.270%
Last 5 (5)76.874.4151.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar (10)86.182.9169.0+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.276.2163.4+11.183%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
55-145
55
145
-90
43avg 61
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
63-100
63
100
-37
46avg 61
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
85-135
85
135
-50
72avg 61
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
73-106
73
106
-33
63avg 61
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
76-88
76
88
-12
27avg 61
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 61
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 61
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
66-86
66
86
-20
55avg 61
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
67-94
67
94
-27
56avg 61
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
L
87-109
87
109
-22
72avg 61
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
19-54
14-35
7-29
4-23
14-34
11-23
34-20
18-31
23-42
14-36
30-26
12-28
21-29
16-25
24-24
16-27
21-25
15-20
24-16
25-24
24-14
22-22
21-23
21-25
18-23
17-14
17-17
18-26
15-16
14-26
19-18
19-19
15-32
21-20
12-23
26-30
23-26
14-22
24-31
176.2Avg total
73.7Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.896.8168.5-25.017%
Season at home (12)72.895.8168.6-23.125%
Season away (12)70.897.8168.5-27.08%
Last 10 (10)73.7102.5176.2-28.810%
Last 5 (5)77.090.2167.2-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.495.6168.9-22.219%
vs Similar (2)72.595.5168.0-23.00%
vs Weaker (1)91.0114.0205.0-23.00%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -8.6-8.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -10.2-10.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -8.6-8.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -10.2-10.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
Bahcesehir Kol.Afyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#9
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Saratov
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A10/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.1Avg total
40.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.881.8+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.183.8+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)42.437.780.1+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.579.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.872.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.379.1+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.338.784.0+6.783%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
34-81
34
81
-47
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
18-57
18
57
-39
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
41-73
41
73
-32
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
92.2Avg total
36.7Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.149.386.3-12.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.348.685.9-11.331%-
Last 30 away (14)36.850.086.8-13.20%-
Last 10 (10)36.755.592.2-18.810%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.087.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.449.285.6-12.719%-
vs Similar (2)39.548.087.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (1)49.054.0103.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.0
56.8%
53.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.9
40.8%
36.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.29.6
67.6%
75.6%9.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.515.6
42.7%
53.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
36.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.416.0
78.4%
75.6%16.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahcesehir Kol.
LWWWLLWWWW
Afyon Belediye
LLLLWLLLLL
#8
League position
#16
+4.5
Net rating
-36.9
116.2
Offensive rating
94.7
111.7
Defensive rating
131.5
58.6%
Effective FG%
45.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.8%
3-point %
33.3%
73.4%
Assist %
56.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 94.7Defence111.7 · 131.5Shooting58.6% · 45.7%3-point %40.8% · 33.3%Ball care16.3% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 26.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Bahcesehir Kol.   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
3
Afyon Belediye wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22APetkim Spor70-79
16/03/22HSporting CP66-54
10/03/22ASporting CP73-70
05/03/22ABuyukcekmece95-81
16/02/22HDarussafaka80-88
12/02/22HTurk Telekom69-86
09/02/22HSaratov97-95 OT
05/02/22ATofas96-78
02/02/22ABakken Bears86-85
29/01/22HGalatasaray94-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22APetkim Spor87-109
20/03/22HKarsiyaka67-94
05/03/22HBesiktas66-86
12/02/22ADarussafaka73-79
05/02/22HMerkezefendi92-83
30/01/22ABuyukcekmece76-88
22/01/22HYalovaspor73-106
16/01/22ATurk Telekom85-135
08/01/22HGaziantep63-100
02/01/22ATofas55-145

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahcesehir Kol.
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %57%60%54%
Points / game86.088.883.8
Allowed / game81.883.280.7
Point differential+4.2+5.6+3.1
Avg total167.7172.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%25%8%
Points / game71.872.870.8
Allowed / game96.895.897.8
Point differential-25.0-23.1-27.0
Avg total168.5168.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2420483%84.073.7+10.3
2 Anadolu Efes2217577%90.580.3+10.2
3 Darussafaka2417771%79.873.9+5.9
4 Karsiyaka2315865%81.376.2+5.1
5 Gaziantep2415962%79.574.7+4.8
6 Tofas24141058%85.881.4+4.4
7 Galatasaray23131057%87.882.2+5.6
8 Bursaspor23131057%83.678.8+4.7
9 Bahcesehir Kol.23131057%86.081.8+4.2
10 Besiktas24131154%76.875.2+1.5
11 Turk Telekom24101442%76.274.3+1.9
12 Merkezefendi2481633%75.983.8-7.9
13 Yalovaspor2471729%74.380.7-6.4
14 Petkim Spor2451921%76.584.8-8.3
15 Buyukcekmece2451921%77.086.2-9.3
16 Afyon Belediye2442017%71.896.8-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bahcesehir Kol.34252026105
Afyon Belediye2023161877
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