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Bahrain vs Lebanon Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-84
15-22 18-27 24-19 21-16
Position#25
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Lebanon 🏆
Position#5
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeAsia Cup· Khalifa Sport City
Other2023
Meetings · Bahrain v Lebanon
21 Feb 2025
BAHR78
LEBA84
20 Feb 2021
BAHR87
LEBA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BahrainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBahrain
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
L
51-83
51
83
-32
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
W
76-62
76
62
+14
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
70-64
70
64
+6
63avg 64
H23/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
63-94
63
94
-31
50avg 64
A26/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
76-71
76
71
+5
74avg 64
H22/11
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
L
77-90
77
90
-13
67avg 64
A25/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
5-27
19-7
8-24
19-32
16-19
22-22
15-22
18-22
15-29
14-21
14-17
8-28
18-17
17-22
17-17
17-12
14-22
20-14
25-14
20-24
16-31
15-20
22-13
22-9
20-21
9-12
19-22
13-21
20-18
13-29
17-26
26-16
22-12
19-23
9-20
15-20
19-16
12-32
31-22
149.9Avg total
67.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.579.8151.2-8.250%
Season at home (2)73.067.5140.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)70.092.0162.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)67.982.0149.9-14.130%
Last 5 (5)71.881.4153.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.586.8153.2-20.210%
vs Similar (7)78.181.6159.7-3.457%
vs Weaker (3)77.367.0144.3+10.3100%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#11
L
91-106
91
106
-15
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
70-109
70
109
-39
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
73-128
73
128
-55
no box
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 75
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
94-63
94
63
+31
92avg 75
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
99-77
99
77
+22
99avg 75
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
89-64
89
64
+25
88avg 75
H25/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
30-28
30-26
11-22
17-27
13-28
18-27
22-27
13-29
17-37
18-34
25-28
20-19
17-19
22-20
20-27
32-20
23-21
18-25
21-18
20-13
28-23
14-13
19-24
28-22
23-14
25-20
11-22
21-13
18-20
29-13
26-17
26-20
22-15
30-19
21-23
33-16
14-18
18-14
24-16
172.4Avg total
85.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.270.5162.8+21.8100%
Season at home (2)91.563.5155.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)93.077.5170.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.786.7172.4-1.060%
Last 5 (5)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.098.6176.6-20.620%
vs Similar (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.672.2162.8+18.392%
This opponent (Bahrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
BahrainLebanon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BahrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A23/02
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A26/09
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H28/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A02/10
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H22/11
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/11
Asia Cup
76.3Avg total
34.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.241.375.5-7.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.240.974.1-7.614%-
Last 30 away (16)35.041.776.7-6.725%-
Last 10 (10)34.242.176.3-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.943.876.7-10.915%-
vs Similar (7)38.935.174.0+3.743%-
vs Weaker (3)32.039.071.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#11
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A25/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
30-66
30
66
-36
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/11
Asia Cup
86.7Avg total
43.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.782.2+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.637.479.0+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)45.139.985.0+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.286.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.634.881.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.650.886.4-15.20%-
vs Similar (1)28.038.066.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.836.282.0+9.588%-
This opponent (Bahrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahrain: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.814.8
48.0%
49.3%29.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.3%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
70.1%14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.5 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.027.2
59.2%
49.3%54.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.2
31.2%
32.7%21.8
🏀 Free throws22.217.0
76.4%
70.1%17.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahrain
LWLWLWLLLL
Lebanon
WWWWWWLLLL
#25
League position
#5
-12.0
Net rating
+29.8
94.1
Offensive rating
119.6
106.1
Defensive rating
89.7
46.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
39.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.3%
3-point %
31.2%
76.8%
Assist %
61.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 119.6Defence106.1 · 89.7Shooting46.7% · 55.1%3-point %30.3% · 31.2%Ball care18.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds21.3% · 39.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Bahrain   ■ Lebanon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bahrain wins
3
Lebanon wins
DateGameScore
26/02/24Lebanon v Bahrain94-63
20/02/21Bahrain v Lebanon87-102
24/02/20Lebanon v Bahrain116-73
Bahrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates77-90
22/11/24HSyria76-71
26/02/24ALebanon63-94
23/02/24HUnited Arab Emirates70-64
02/10/23ASouth Korea73-88
30/09/23HThailand76-62
28/09/23HJordan60-84
26/09/23APhilippines61-89
26/02/23AJapan72-95
23/02/23AAustralia51-83
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HSyria89-64
22/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates99-77
26/02/24HBahrain94-63
23/02/24ASyria87-78
02/09/23AIran81-73
31/08/23AIvory Coast94-84
29/08/23HFrance79-85
27/08/23HCanada73-128
25/08/23ALatvia70-109
27/02/23ANew Zealand91-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahrain
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.573.070.0
Allowed / game79.867.592.0
Point differential-8.2+5.5-22.0
Avg total151.2140.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lebanon
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.291.593.0
Allowed / game70.563.577.5
Point differential+21.8+28.0+15.5
Avg total162.8155.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia550100%99.860.6+39.2
2 Lebanon440100%92.270.5+21.8
3 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
4 China54180%88.857.6+31.2
5 Philippines54180%94.070.2+23.8
6 New Zealand54180%87.865.2+22.6
7 Iran54180%73.052.0+21.0
8 Japan54180%77.476.4+1.0
9 Saudi Arabia43175%66.865.2+1.5
10 Thailand128467%86.776.8+9.8
11 Qatar106460%69.566.8+2.7
12 South Korea53260%83.882.6+1.2
13 Guam106460%70.573.5-3.0
14 Iraq95456%74.072.8+1.2
15 Mongolia126650%76.878.3-1.6
16 Bahrain42250%71.579.8-8.2
17 United Arab Emirates94544%70.271.4-1.2
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 Kazakhstan52340%55.263.6-8.4
21 Chinese Taipei52340%72.483.0-10.6
22 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
23 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
24 Syria41325%72.878.8-6.0
25 Hong Kong102820%63.981.2-17.3
26 India51420%59.878.6-18.8
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia5050%62.897.2-34.4
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bahrain1518242178
Lebanon2227191684
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