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BAL Weert vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-77
11-15 18-16 15-21 21-25
Position#18
Record3-30
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game89.4
BAL Weert
vs
Leuven Bears 🏆
Position#13
Record14-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 34· Sporthal Boshoven
Other2025-26
Meetings · BAL Weert v Leuven Bears
09 May 2026
BAL 65
LEUV77
10 May 2025
BAL 58
LEUV92
22 Apr 2023
BAL 71
LEUV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
55-86
55
86
-31
38avg 58
H15/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
61-77
61
77
-16
43avg 58
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
57-80
57
80
-23
42avg 58
A01/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
70-101
70
101
-31
61avg 58
A04/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
87avg 58
H11/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
51-103
51
103
-52
32avg 58
A17/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 58
H19/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
78-86
78
86
-8
69avg 58
H25/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
54-91
54
91
-37
43avg 58
A01/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
62-119
62
119
-57
47avg 58
A06/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-27
14-22
15-21
16-16
20-17
15-17
6-23
20-20
15-22
15-29
15-19
12-10
14-35
20-14
17-28
19-24
29-21
13-25
23-14
19-24
15-25
4-26
15-20
17-32
14-11
24-21
24-27
27-23
24-13
17-26
17-23
20-24
10-22
16-22
6-25
22-22
18-28
12-33
18-26
14-32
159.0Avg total
66.9Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)69.189.4158.5-20.39%
Season at home (16)74.285.5159.7-11.319%
Season away (17)64.393.1157.4-28.80%
Last 10 (10)66.992.1159.0-25.210%
Last 5 (5)66.896.2163.0-29.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)69.390.8160.1-21.57%
vs Similar (2)76.573.5150.0+3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
59avg 73
A22/03
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#15
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 73
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 73
A01/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
91-88
91
88
+3
86avg 73
H04/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 73
A10/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
80avg 73
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 73
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 73
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 73
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 73
H06/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
14-20
15-18
17-23
12-18
30-22
13-24
27-20
27-22
17-24
18-16
19-25
21-27
26-17
27-18
17-26
22-15
21-26
15-25
17-19
19-22
26-14
16-21
27-28
19-22
11-18
17-11
11-15
22-15
11-16
19-16
17-26
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
157.7Avg total
77.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.880.6160.3-0.842%
Season at home (17)84.283.3167.5+0.959%
Season away (16)75.177.7152.8-2.625%
Last 10 (10)77.180.6157.7-3.530%
Last 5 (5)74.076.4150.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.885.5164.3-6.730%
vs Similar (12)76.374.2150.5+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.073.3160.3+13.771%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -8.5-8.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -8.5-8.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
BAL WeertLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H15/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A04/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
19-51
19
51
-32
A17/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H19/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H25/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
30-61
30
61
-31
A06/05
BNXT League
77.5Avg total
31.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.444.979.3-10.513%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.642.179.8-4.529%-
Last 30 away (16)31.547.378.8-15.80%-
Last 10 (10)31.945.677.5-13.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.845.476.2-14.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.245.179.4-10.914%-
vs Similar (2)36.541.578.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/03
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H04/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
79.9Avg total
39.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.978.4+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.779.8+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.038.177.1+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.379.9-0.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.674.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.143.984.0-3.830%-
vs Similar (12)38.034.572.5+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.435.481.9+11.0100%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.915.4
44.1%
54.3%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.7
28.3%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.213.0
67.7%
72.4%13.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
54.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.4
29.9%
34.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws23.214.4
62.1%
72.4%14.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BAL Weert
LLLWLLLLLL
Leuven Bears
WLLLWLWLLL
#18
League position
#13
-28.6
Net rating
-4.7
76.2
Offensive rating
90.6
104.8
Defensive rating
95.3
43.4%
Effective FG%
50.8%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
20.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
28.3%
3-point %
29.9%
56.7%
Assist %
55.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence76.2 · 90.6Defence104.8 · 95.3Shooting43.4% · 50.8%3-point %28.3% · 29.9%Ball care20.6% · 16.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ BAL Weert   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BAL Weert wins
5
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Leuven Bears v BAL Weert91-64
10/05/25BAL Weert v Leuven Bears58-92
26/12/24Leuven Bears v BAL Weert74-57
22/04/23BAL Weert v Leuven Bears71-74 OT
08/04/23Leuven Bears v BAL Weert83-65
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26AAntwerp Giants62-119
01/05/26ALimburg54-91
25/04/26HZwolle78-86
19/04/26HBrussels Basketball89-82
17/04/26ABrussels Basketball51-103
11/04/26HOostende92-96 OT
04/04/26ADen Helder70-101
01/04/26AMechelen57-80
28/03/26HDen Bosch61-77
15/03/26HSpirou Charleroi55-86
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
23/04/26ASpirou Charleroi69-73
19/04/26ADen Bosch58-66
16/04/26HDen Bosch88-85
10/04/26ARotterdam75-85
04/04/26HBelfius Mons91-88
01/04/26AAntwerp Giants81-87
29/03/26ALWD Basket82-84
22/03/26AAntwerp Giants72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BAL Weert
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL9%
HomeLLLWL19%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %9%19%0%
Points / game69.174.264.3
Allowed / game89.485.593.1
Point differential-20.3-11.3-28.8
Avg total158.5159.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeLWWLW59%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %42%59%25%
Points / game79.884.275.1
Allowed / game80.683.377.7
Point differential-0.8+0.9-2.6
Avg total160.3167.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%24%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)57% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %12%18%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants3328585%96.777.0+19.7
2 Oostende3324973%88.980.2+8.8
3 Okapi Aalst3324973%95.887.7+8.2
4 Kortrijk33231070%88.080.7+7.3
5 Limburg33221167%91.780.8+10.9
6 Den Bosch33191458%84.682.2+2.4
7 Donar Groningen33191458%83.183.1+0.0
8 Brussels Basketball33181555%84.479.8+4.6
9 Mechelen33181555%76.579.1-2.5
10 Leiden33171652%84.281.8+2.4
11 Spirou Charleroi33161748%82.484.9-2.5
12 Den Helder33151845%82.582.1+0.4
13 Leuven Bears33141942%79.880.6-0.8
14 Zwolle33141942%80.382.4-2.1
15 LWD Basket33102330%83.893.4-9.5
16 Belfius Mons3392427%82.892.8-10.1
17 Rotterdam3342912%74.290.9-16.7
18 BAL Weert333309%69.189.4-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BAL Weert1118152165
Leuven Bears1516212577
← all games of the day
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