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Leuven Bears vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-64
26-12 28-19 22-21 15-12
Position#13
Record6-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#18
Record1-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game90.9
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 15· Sportoase
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leuven Bears v BAL Weert
10 Jan 2026
LEUV91
BAL 64
26 Dec 2024
LEUV74
BAL 57
08 Apr 2023
LEUV83
BAL 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 74
H08/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 74
A11/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
81-57
81
57
+24
76avg 74
A15/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
104-93 OT
104
93
+11
no box
H19/11
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 74
H06/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 74
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 74
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
93-64
93
64
+29
91avg 74
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 74
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 74
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
17-24
23-18
22-26
19-12
22-26
18-22
17-22
15-11
20-16
16-15
30-15
14-18
21-17
30-15
17-32
20-24
10-17
30-14
24-16
16-20
20-22
19-21
21-17
18-23
22-14
19-19
13-34
27-16
21-19
26-16
19-13
16-22
30-10
26-10
21-21
23-20
15-8
16-23
28-24
160.7Avg total
84.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.980.6161.4+0.343%
Season at home (7)82.785.4168.1-2.743%
Season away (7)79.075.7154.7+3.343%
Last 10 (10)84.476.3160.7+8.160%
Last 5 (5)83.274.4157.6+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.579.8146.3-13.317%
vs Similar (14)82.378.8161.1+3.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.268.8158.0+20.4100%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 59
H25/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
64-88
64
88
-24
49avg 59
A01/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 59
H08/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
47-98
47
98
-51
36avg 59
A14/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
60-97
60
97
-37
48avg 59
A21/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-110
78
110
-32
67avg 59
H06/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 59
H13/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
73-108
73
108
-35
62avg 59
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 59
H23/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
58-87
58
87
-29
41avg 59
A27/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-17
17-22
19-19
22-28
13-14
10-23
19-23
16-22
21-26
20-14
15-24
11-13
11-23
17-32
8-30
4-28
13-18
26-28
17-23
25-29
25-26
10-22
18-33
20-16
22-27
22-19
21-13
16-20
22-27
23-30
12-31
20-30
17-12
15-23
21-18
15-28
21-24
11-20
11-15
159.0Avg total
68.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.690.9158.4-23.37%
Season at home (7)72.186.6158.7-14.414%
Season away (7)63.095.1158.1-32.10%
Last 10 (10)68.190.9159.0-22.810%
Last 5 (5)73.492.6166.0-19.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)69.388.6158.0-19.311%
vs Similar (2)85.076.0161.0+9.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -6.8-6.8
Leuven BearsBAL Weert
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A15/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/11
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/01
Belgian Cup
74.6Avg total
38.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.777.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.280.1+1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.375.2+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.974.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.876.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.840.274.0-6.317%-
vs Similar (14)39.639.479.1+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.733.678.2+11.178%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H25/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H08/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A21/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A27/12
BNXT League
79.6Avg total
34.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.043.379.3-7.317%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.744.480.1-8.86%-
Last 30 away (14)36.342.078.3-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)34.944.779.6-9.80%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.888.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.543.879.3-8.414%-
vs Similar (2)43.036.079.0+7.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.3
54.8%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.8
73.0%
72.4%16.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
54.3%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.9
28.5%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.812.2
64.9%
72.4%12.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWLLWWWLL
BAL Weert
LLLWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#18
+12.9
Net rating
-30.1
110.0
Offensive rating
88.5
97.1
Defensive rating
118.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
45.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
28.5%
49.7%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 88.5Defence97.1 · 118.5Shooting53.3% · 45.5%3-point %33.8% · 28.5%Ball care17.2% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 21.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ BAL Weert
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
0
BAL Weert wins
DateGameScore
10/05/25BAL Weert v Leuven Bears58-92
26/12/24Leuven Bears v BAL Weert74-57
22/04/23BAL Weert v Leuven Bears71-74 OT
08/04/23Leuven Bears v BAL Weert83-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AOkapi Aalst82-75
26/12/25ABelfius Mons93-63
23/12/25HRotterdam93-64
20/12/25ALeiden72-90
13/12/25HOostende76-80
06/12/25HDen Helder84-71
19/11/25HBelfius Mons104-93 OT
15/11/25AMechelen81-57
11/11/25ADonar Groningen76-82
08/11/25HBrussels Basketball83-88
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AZwolle58-87
23/12/25HDen Helder73-83
20/12/25AOkapi Aalst73-108
13/12/25HRotterdam85-75
06/12/25HAntwerp Giants78-110
21/11/25ADen Bosch60-97
14/11/25AKortrijk47-98
08/11/25HLWD Basket72-86
01/11/25AOostende64-88
25/10/25HMechelen71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeWLWLW43%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game80.982.779.0
Allowed / game80.685.475.7
Point differential+0.3-2.7+3.3
Avg total161.4168.1154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %21%29%14%
BAL Weert
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL7%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game67.672.163.0
Allowed / game90.986.695.1
Point differential-23.3-14.4-32.1
Avg total158.4158.7158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1413193%96.776.5+20.2
2 Oostende1412286%89.481.6+7.8
3 Mechelen1410471%81.179.1+1.9
4 Leiden1510567%90.880.8+10.0
5 Kortrijk149564%86.879.6+7.2
6 Okapi Aalst149564%95.188.4+6.6
7 Den Bosch149564%87.982.6+5.3
8 Brussels Basketball149564%86.681.9+4.8
9 Donar Groningen137654%81.582.5-1.0
10 Limburg158753%89.480.5+8.9
11 Spirou Charleroi136746%82.289.6-7.5
12 Leuven Bears146843%80.980.6+0.3
13 Belfius Mons145936%89.095.0-6.0
14 Zwolle1541127%79.383.6-4.3
15 Den Helder1331023%79.285.5-6.3
16 LWD Basket1331023%87.899.6-11.8
17 Rotterdam131128%77.794.7-17.0
18 BAL Weert141137%67.690.9-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2628221591
BAL Weert1219211264
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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