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Ball State vs Georgia Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 58-54
17-24 41-30
Position#103
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#198
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A17/11
NCAA
Indiana South Bend
#391
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H26/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-43
40-40
37-27
34-34
41-34
45-38
32-36
41-42
35-38
32-26
24-31
41-36
40-36
37-42
36-29
40-30
42-28
46-41
41-34
42-35
145.7Avg total
75.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.767.2145.9+11.564%
Season at home (6)84.365.2149.5+19.283%
Season away (5)72.069.6141.6+2.440%
Last 10 (10)75.770.0145.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.868.4146.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.379.4151.8-7.117%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.673.8148.4+0.840%
vs Weaker (11)75.968.1144.0+7.882%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A19/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A20/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#465
W
101-73
101
73
+28
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H01/12
NCAA
Piedmont
#498
W
91-47
91
47
+44
H08/12
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H15/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-14
28-18
48-47
23-41
47-28
37-49
37-27
26-30
59-36
42-37
24-28
29-42
42-26
49-21
49-29
30-28
20-34
51-40
22-20
32-33
134.8Avg total
72.0Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.264.1133.2+5.158%
Season at home (7)71.758.0129.7+13.771%
Season away (5)65.672.6138.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)72.062.8134.8+9.270%
Last 5 (5)69.660.2129.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.469.4131.9-7.029%
vs Similar ◀ (16)63.168.3131.4-5.238%
vs Weaker (6)73.757.0130.7+16.783%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +0.8+0.8
Ball StateGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A17/11
NCAA
Indiana South Bend
#391
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/12
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.669.3+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.531.968.4+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)34.935.370.3-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)35.933.669.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.668.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.935.568.4-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.437.072.4-1.640%-
vs Weaker (11)36.731.368.0+5.573%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
25-14
25
14
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A20/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#465
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Piedmont
#498
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H08/12
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H10/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H15/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H17/12
NCAA
66.2Avg total
37.3Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.330.062.3+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.328.561.8+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)31.131.662.8-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.328.966.2+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)31.427.458.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.629.358.9+0.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.831.861.6-2.150%-
vs Weaker (6)37.824.862.7+13.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ball State wins
1
Georgia Southern wins
DateGameScore
10/11/21Georgia Southern v Ball State82-71
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HIllinois State83-69
10/12/22HEvansville88-69
08/12/22AEastern Illinois76-59
03/12/22ADuquesne77-78
27/11/22ASan Jose State65-67
26/11/22HMissouri State67-64
25/11/22HVermont73-78
19/11/22HIndiana South Bend86-72
17/11/22ANebraska O.71-61
12/11/22AIndiana State71-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HCampbell54-53
15/12/22HMorehead State71-74
10/12/22HWofford79-57
08/12/22HPiedmont91-47
01/12/22HFlorida Gulf Coast53-70
26/11/22HOglethorpe101-73
20/11/22AWestern Michigan63-57
20/11/22AHouston Christian84-77
19/11/22ARice71-88
13/11/22HTrinity Baptist53-32

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game78.784.372.0
Allowed / game67.265.269.6
Point differential+11.5+19.2+2.4
Avg total145.9149.5141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game69.271.765.6
Allowed / game64.158.072.6
Point differential+5.1+13.7-7.0
Avg total133.2129.7138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass129375%70.065.7+4.3
2 Kent State118373%77.562.0+15.5
3 Akron118373%71.160.3+10.8
4 Toledo128467%83.578.8+4.8
5 Ball State117464%78.767.2+11.5
6 Ohio116555%76.070.6+5.4
7 Buffalo126650%79.876.3+3.4
8 Bowling Green125742%73.775.2-1.5
9 Central Michigan114736%69.970.3-0.4
10 Western Michigan124833%68.667.6+1.0
11 Eastern Michigan123925%74.981.3-6.4
12 Northern Illinois123925%69.477.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1211192%80.459.6+20.8
2 Louisiana Lafayette1110191%84.569.7+14.7
3 Marshall1311285%83.669.5+14.2
4 James Madison139469%93.266.6+26.5
5 Troy128467%79.565.2+14.2
6 Old Dominion128467%68.565.1+3.4
7 Georgia State127558%69.263.4+5.8
8 Georgia Southern127558%69.264.1+5.1
9 Arkansas State127558%68.263.4+4.8
10 Coastal Carolina116555%78.667.0+11.6
11 Appalachian State137654%77.463.5+13.9
12 Texas State137654%67.866.9+0.8
13 South Alabama126650%72.268.1+4.1
14 Louisiana Monroe134931%71.870.8+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State174158
Georgia Southern243054
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