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Ball State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 83-69
41-34 42-35
Position#103
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#303
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Ball State v Illinois State
17 Dec 2022
BALL83
ILLI69
12 Dec 2020
BALL82
ILLI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Earlham
#682
W
109-39
109
39
+70
H08/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A17/11
NCAA
Indiana South Bend
#391
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H26/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
55-19
54-20
31-43
40-40
37-27
34-34
41-34
45-38
32-36
41-42
35-38
32-26
24-31
41-36
40-36
37-42
36-29
40-30
42-28
46-41
145.3Avg total
78.3Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.367.0145.3+11.360%
Season at home (5)84.664.4149.0+20.280%
Season away (5)72.069.6141.6+2.440%
Last 10 (10)78.367.0145.3+11.360%
Last 5 (5)74.667.4142.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.379.4151.8-7.117%
vs Similar (6)75.774.8150.5+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)75.268.0143.2+7.280%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
67-70 OT
67
70
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-16
26-33
32-32
37-35
30-38
37-32
18-45
43-32
35-38
31-40
22-24
22-33
27-35
35-27
30-31
57-46
41-35
46-46
33-34
44-37
137.6Avg total
67.9Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)67.969.8137.7-1.945%
Season at home (5)77.274.0151.2+3.260%
Season away (6)60.266.3126.5-6.233%
Last 10 (10)67.969.7137.6-1.850%
Last 5 (5)72.471.2143.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.475.0144.4-5.625%
vs Similar (11)65.468.5133.8-3.136%
vs Weaker (3)78.064.3142.3+13.767%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
Ball StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Earlham
#682
W
55-19
55
19
+36
H08/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A17/11
NCAA
Indiana South Bend
#391
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H10/12
NCAA
69.4Avg total
37.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.669.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.231.968.1+4.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.935.370.3-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.169.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.467.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.935.568.4-2.633%-
vs Similar (6)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.331.067.3+5.370%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-16
28
16
+12
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/12
NCAA
62.4Avg total
29.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.766.1-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.034.968.9-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)29.134.563.6-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.862.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.631.862.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.836.267.9-4.425%-
vs Similar (11)29.534.063.5-4.527%-
vs Weaker (3)36.729.366.0+7.3100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ball State wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
18/12/21Illinois State v Ball State85-64
13/12/20Ball State v Illinois State82-66
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HEvansville88-69
08/12/22AEastern Illinois76-59
03/12/22ADuquesne77-78
27/11/22ASan Jose State65-67
26/11/22HMissouri State67-64
25/11/22HVermont73-78
19/11/22HIndiana South Bend86-72
17/11/22ANebraska O.71-61
12/11/22AIndiana State71-83
08/11/22HEarlham109-39
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HSiu Edwardsville77-71
08/12/22HEastern Michigan87-81
04/12/22HBelmont87-77
02/12/22AMurray State67-70 OT
23/11/22ARhode Island44-57
22/11/22AWestern Kentucky66-78
21/11/22ALSU61-77
18/11/22HNorthwestern St.67-70
13/11/22ANorthwestern St.69-67
11/11/22AEastern Illinois54-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game78.384.672.0
Allowed / game67.064.469.6
Point differential+11.3+20.2+2.4
Avg total145.3149.0141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game67.977.260.2
Allowed / game69.874.066.3
Point differential-1.9+3.2-6.2
Avg total137.7151.2126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass118373%70.266.5+3.7
2 Kent State107370%74.662.6+12.0
3 Akron107370%69.560.8+8.7
4 Toledo107370%83.377.3+6.0
5 Ball State106460%78.367.0+11.3
6 Ohio116555%76.070.6+5.4
7 Buffalo105550%75.075.8-0.8
8 Central Michigan104640%71.169.4+1.7
9 Bowling Green114736%71.975.3-3.4
10 Western Michigan103730%70.569.7+0.8
11 Northern Illinois103730%69.276.1-6.9
12 Eastern Michigan112918%74.581.7-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake108280%72.866.2+6.6
2 Indiana State129375%83.572.6+10.9
3 Bradley107370%69.059.2+9.8
4 Southern Illinois128467%68.861.5+7.3
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%69.865.3+4.5
6 Murray State117464%72.568.5+3.9
7 Belmont116555%76.574.0+2.5
8 Illinois State115645%67.969.8-1.9
9 Northern Iowa114736%70.966.6+4.3
10 Valparaiso114736%69.575.5-6.1
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State414283
Illinois State343569
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