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Ball State vs Kent State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-75
31-40 37-35
Position#288
Record8-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#52
Record17-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game80.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ball State v Kent State
05 Jan 2027
BALL v KENT
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
BALL68
KENT75
05 Mar 2024
BALL76
KENT69
21 Feb 2023
BALL82
KENT70
04 Jan 2022
BALL65
KENT66
24 Feb 2021
BALL90
KENT71
26 Jan 2021
BALL v KENT
upcoming
12 Mar 2020
BALL v KENT
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
27-35
25-28
46-51
34-43
43-44
44-31
32-40
33-20
35-47
29-22
29-31
27-39
28-34
27-40
25-37
36-27
37-41
27-30
26-33
134.7Avg total
63.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.369.8136.1-3.533%
Season at home (11)71.865.1136.9+6.755%
Season away (13)61.673.8135.5-12.215%
Last 10 (10)63.571.2134.7-7.740%
Last 5 (5)58.266.8125.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.680.2146.8-13.70%
vs Similar (14)63.670.3133.9-6.721%
vs Weaker (5)67.663.0130.6+4.680%
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
H21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A30/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-49
42-38
44-30
43-51
35-41
52-43
34-48
58-44
31-23
27-35
28-24
44-33
29-38
23-31
29-36
46-36
30-34
35-32
40-47
55-44
158.4Avg total
79.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.180.8166.9+5.468%
Season at home (15)95.383.3178.6+12.180%
Season away (10)72.377.0149.3-4.750%
Last 10 (10)79.578.9158.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)71.871.0142.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.089.4168.4-10.440%
vs Similar (11)81.879.6161.5+2.273%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.276.1161.3+9.267%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
Ball StateKent State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A21/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
30.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.263.8-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.831.967.6+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)28.132.460.5-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)30.731.962.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)29.231.660.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.839.670.3-8.811%-
vs Similar (14)30.530.460.9+0.136%-
vs Weaker (5)33.229.462.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H12/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
34.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.835.274.0+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.235.578.7+7.762%-
Last 30 away (14)33.934.868.6-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.071.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.643.278.8-7.620%-
vs Similar (11)37.535.973.4+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.232.273.4+8.958%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ball State wins
4
Kent State wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HBuffalo53-63
07/02/26ALouisiana Monroe73-68
04/02/26ABowling Green52-77
31/01/26AToledo55-73
24/01/26HNorthern Illinois58-53
21/01/26ACentral Michigan68-67
17/01/26HOhio76-71
14/01/26AAkron77-87
10/01/26AUMass71-79
07/01/26HEastern Michigan52-74
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HEastern Michigan95-91
07/02/26ASouthern Miss65-66
04/02/26AToledo75-72
30/01/26AAkron52-69
28/01/26HOhio72-57
24/01/26AEastern Michigan76-75 OT
21/01/26HMiami (Ohio)101-107 OT
16/01/26HToledo87-84
13/01/26ABuffalo87-81
10/01/26ACentral Michigan85-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayLWLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %33%55%15%
Points / game66.371.861.6
Allowed / game69.865.173.8
Point differential-3.5+6.7-12.2
Avg total136.1136.9135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kent State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %68%80%50%
Points / game86.195.372.3
Allowed / game80.883.377.0
Point differential+5.4+12.1-4.7
Avg total166.9178.6149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %16%13%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)25250100%92.674.3+18.3
2 Akron2520580%89.974.9+15.0
3 Kent State2517868%86.180.8+5.4
4 Bowling Green25151060%82.470.2+12.2
5 Buffalo25151060%78.674.8+3.8
6 UMass26151158%81.076.7+4.3
7 Toledo25131252%81.377.5+3.8
8 Ohio26131350%77.677.8-0.2
9 Eastern Michigan2591636%71.573.3-1.8
10 Northern Illinois2381535%72.176.0-3.9
11 Ball State2481633%66.369.8-3.5
12 Western Michigan2481633%74.880.0-5.2
13 Central Michigan2471729%73.478.6-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State313768
Kent State403575
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