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Ball State vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-78
32-36 41-42
Position#103
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game63.8
Ball State
USA
vs
Vermont 🏆
USA
Position#68
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#256
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H02/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A10/03
NCAA
Earlham
#682
W
109-39
109
39
+70
H08/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A17/11
NCAA
Indiana South Bend
#391
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-44
45-38
39-36
43-57
32-32
43-32
20-32
40-47
34-34
30-29
35-36
32-41
55-19
54-20
31-43
40-40
37-27
34-34
41-34
45-38
148.9Avg total
77.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.263.8148.0+20.575%
Season at home (2)97.555.5153.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)71.072.0143.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.671.3148.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)80.866.4147.2+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.381.6152.9-10.314%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.280.5163.8+2.875%
vs Weaker (9)73.767.4141.1+6.278%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#277
W
98-59
98
59
+39
H06/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
74-42
74
42
+32
H10/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
82-43
82
43
+39
H12/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/03
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H08/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A11/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
85-94 OT
85
94
-9
A14/11
NCAA
USC
#73
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H19/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
L
44-73
44
73
-29
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-27
50-32
39-27
35-15
37-20
45-23
27-34
44-41
37-28
43-37
24-35
29-44
36-37
29-28
27-22
30-37
28-37
22-34
30-27
14-46
135.4Avg total
69.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)61.573.5135.0-12.017%
Season at home (2)65.068.0133.0-3.050%
Season away (4)59.876.2136.0-16.50%
Last 10 (10)69.466.0135.4+3.440%
Last 5 (5)57.875.2133.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.074.3123.3-25.30%
vs Similar ◀ (2)71.076.5147.5-5.50%
vs Weaker (25)79.161.7140.8+17.492%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +0.4+0.4
Ball StateVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#256
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H26/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Earlham
#682
W
55-19
55
19
+36
H08/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A17/11
NCAA
Indiana South Bend
#391
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.370.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.931.269.1+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)33.937.371.3-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.770.7+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.831.871.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.236.869.0-4.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.035.274.2+3.875%-
vs Weaker (9)35.832.167.9+3.767%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#277
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H06/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H10/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H12/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A18/03
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H08/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/11
NCAA
USC
#73
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A16/11
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A23/11
NCAA
62.7Avg total
33.3Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.828.866.6+9.083%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.328.869.1+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)35.428.864.2+6.673%-
Last 10 (10)33.329.462.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)29.031.660.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.333.060.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)31.529.561.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (25)39.628.267.8+11.492%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ball State wins
0
Vermont wins
No previous meetings.
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HIndiana South Bend86-72
17/11/22ANebraska O.71-61
12/11/22AIndiana State71-83
08/11/22HEarlham109-39
10/03/22AOhio67-77
04/03/22AWestern Michigan64-63
02/03/22HAkron60-79
26/02/22HEastern Michigan75-64
23/02/22AKent State82-93
19/02/22ABowling Green91-82
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22AYale44-73
19/11/22HIona50-71
16/11/22AUSC57-59
14/11/22ACS Fullerton85-94 OT
11/11/22ASt. Marys (CA)53-79
08/11/22HBrown80-65
18/03/22AArkansas71-75
12/03/22HUMBC Retrievers82-43
10/03/22HBinghamton74-42
06/03/22HNJIT98-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.297.571.0
Allowed / game63.855.572.0
Point differential+20.5+42.0-1.0
Avg total148.0153.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game61.565.059.8
Allowed / game73.568.076.2
Point differential-12.0-3.0-16.5
Avg total135.0133.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State65183%81.063.0+18.0
2 UMass54180%69.264.0+5.2
3 Ball State43175%84.263.8+20.5
4 Toledo64267%86.380.5+5.8
5 Akron64267%67.863.5+4.3
6 Central Michigan52340%71.671.8-0.2
7 Bowling Green52340%70.876.6-5.8
8 Western Michigan62433%76.574.5+2.0
9 Northern Illinois62433%68.772.7-4.0
10 Buffalo62433%71.280.8-9.7
11 Ohio41325%72.574.5-2.0
12 Eastern Michigan61517%77.285.0-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell65183%88.362.3+26.0
2 Bryant University54180%99.873.4+26.4
3 Maine Black Bears54180%76.863.2+13.6
4 Binghamton53260%71.672.2-0.6
5 New Hampshire42250%70.065.2+4.8
6 UMBC Retrievers63350%74.077.2-3.2
7 Albany73443%70.171.7-1.6
8 NJIT51420%60.867.8-7.0
9 Vermont61517%61.573.5-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State324173
Vermont364278
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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