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Western Michigan vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 63-64
34-34 29-30
Position#335
Record8-22
FormWLLWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#237
Record13-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Western Michigan v Ball State
16 Jan 2027
WEST v BALL
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
WEST71
BALL74
03 Feb 2024
WEST67
BALL77
18 Feb 2023
WEST78
BALL68
04 Mar 2022
WEST63
BALL64
22 Dec 2020
WEST68
BALL76
08 Feb 2020
WEST68
BALL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#320
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H13/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
61-57 OT
61
57
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A19/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
50-92
50
92
-42
H23/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
26-37
28-24
27-41
39-40
25-37
30-24
27-38
47-24
30-39
26-29
24-21
38-33
35-54
36-41
14-51
32-36
46-31
24-26
47-34
134.7Avg total
64.2Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)65.575.5141.0-10.027%
Season at home (14)66.472.2138.6-5.836%
Season away (16)64.678.4143.0-13.819%
Last 10 (10)64.270.5134.7-6.340%
Last 5 (5)66.672.6139.2-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)64.578.4142.9-13.917%
vs Similar (5)67.669.6137.2-2.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#335
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A02/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H16/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
46-39
37-33
23-44
40-43
51-45
42-38
37-33
41-45
36-38
38-42
27-27
31-37
46-44
45-38
39-36
43-57
32-32
43-32
20-32
40-47
155.7Avg total
76.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.977.2152.2-2.345%
Season at home (15)76.971.8148.7+5.160%
Season away (14)72.983.1155.9-10.229%
Last 10 (10)76.479.3155.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)73.276.4149.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.182.7155.8-9.614%
vs Similar (7)79.080.4159.4-1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.169.0144.1+6.175%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -8.2-8.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -8.2-8.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
Western MichiganBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#320
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H02/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H13/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H15/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A02/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
33.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.135.767.8-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.833.567.3+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)30.637.668.2-7.025%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.564.5+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.064.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.837.469.2-5.626%-
vs Similar (5)31.831.863.6+0.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A02/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H16/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H26/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H02/03
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.970.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.731.468.1+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.838.573.3-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.072.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.267.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.336.668.9-4.329%-
vs Similar (7)38.936.775.6+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.931.168.0+5.875%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Michigan wins
3
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22AEastern Michigan71-60
26/02/22ABowling Green78-67
23/02/22HToledo50-92
19/02/22ABuffalo73-87
15/02/22HAkron61-57 OT
13/02/22HCentral Michigan77-63
09/02/22AMiami (Ohio)57-62
05/02/22AOhio64-77
04/02/22ACentral Michigan55-65
02/02/22HNorthern Illinois56-75
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22HAkron60-79
26/02/22HEastern Michigan75-64
23/02/22AKent State82-93
19/02/22ABowling Green91-82
16/02/22HNorthern Illinois58-64
12/02/22ABuffalo74-80
09/02/22HCentral Michigan85-89 OT
05/02/22HToledo93-83
02/02/22AOhio63-87
29/01/22HWestern Michigan83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW27%
HomeLLWWL36%
AwayLLLWW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %27%36%19%
Points / game65.566.464.6
Allowed / game75.572.278.4
Point differential-10.0-5.8-13.8
Avg total141.0138.6143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%14%6%
Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%60%29%
Points / game74.976.972.9
Allowed / game77.271.883.1
Point differential-2.3+5.1-10.2
Avg total152.2148.7155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%47%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo3024680%81.168.8+12.3
2 Ohio3023777%74.867.7+7.1
3 Akron2920969%71.663.2+8.4
4 Kent State2920969%71.364.1+7.2
5 Buffalo2819968%80.972.4+8.5
6 Ball State29131645%74.977.2-2.3
7 UMass29131645%74.877.8-3.0
8 Miami (Ohio)30131743%75.273.4+1.8
9 Bowling Green30131743%81.180.0+1.1
10 Eastern Michigan30102033%69.376.0-6.7
11 Northern Illinois2982128%64.372.0-7.7
12 Western Michigan3082227%65.575.5-10.0
13 Central Michigan2872125%66.177.9-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan342963
Ball State343064
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