PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ballarat W vs Diamond Valley W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 71-86
17-22 18-22 18-22 18-20
Position#13
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.2
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Ballarat W v Diamond Valley W
11 May 2025
BALL71
DIAM86
26 May 2024
BALL57
DIAM98
09 Jul 2023
BALL81
DIAM88
06 Aug 2022
BALL89
DIAM68
29 Jun 2019
BALL84
DIAM68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A27/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
75-96
75
96
-21
A03/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
61-94
61
94
-33
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
49-82
49
82
-33
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-24
17-13
25-15
21-21
18-23
19-26
17-26
16-24
20-21
15-25
23-12
14-27
27-17
14-26
6-24
20-21
20-19
26-25
28-21
17-19
12-27
16-25
24-15
23-30
21-17
29-17
15-16
19-25
10-13
18-10
18-26
18-16
22-16
22-11
15-12
21-29
6-13
7-21
15-19
153.7Avg total
72.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.179.9152.0-7.838%
Season at home (4)66.273.2139.5-7.025%
Season away (4)78.086.5164.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)72.980.8153.7-7.940%
Last 5 (5)69.675.4145.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.576.1146.6-5.656%
vs Similar (8)77.682.1159.8-4.550%
vs Weaker (6)83.071.5154.5+11.583%
This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond Valley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#10
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H14/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
19-23
23-23
20-21
39-18
18-16
7-21
19-13
17-32
17-15
21-18
19-25
24-26
18-24
19-21
12-27
22-22
19-22
14-23
18-28
19-27
20-18
33-18
18-18
12-23
25-16
24-12
21-13
25-19
22-16
24-10
22-16
28-21
23-21
18-22
24-12
31-23
21-28
25-18
27-24
167.0Avg total
86.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.2167.5+3.062%
Season at home (5)86.884.0170.8+2.860%
Season away (3)82.779.3162.0+3.367%
Last 10 (10)86.081.0167.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)92.475.0167.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.284.3155.5-13.114%
vs Similar (9)87.976.4164.3+11.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.075.9158.9+7.171%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Ballarat WDiamond Valley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A27/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
78.3Avg total
36.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.442.381.7-3.038%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.941.679.5-3.643%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.183.8-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.378.3-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.074.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.342.781.1-4.427%-
vs Similar (8)39.945.685.5-5.838%-
vs Weaker (6)41.337.078.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond Valley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H14/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
87.9Avg total
45.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.882.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.583.3+0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)42.140.082.1+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.242.787.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.487.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.842.682.4-2.836%-
vs Similar (9)43.138.982.0+4.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.939.784.6+5.171%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ballarat W wins
4
Diamond Valley W wins
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W49-82
04/05/25HLaunceston W77-55
03/05/25HWaverley W65-74
26/04/25AEltham W88-80
12/04/25AHobart Chargers W69-86
11/04/25ALaunceston W94-86
05/04/25AGeelong W61-94
29/03/25HBendigo Braves W74-82
03/08/24AKeilor Thunder W75-96
27/07/24AKnox W77-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HEltham W104-93
26/04/25ACasey Cavaliers W93-76
25/04/25HRingwood W93-61
11/04/25AFrankston W82-64
08/04/25HMelbourne Tigers W90-81
05/04/25HKnox W73-95
30/03/25ADandenong Rangers W73-98
29/03/25HKeilor Thunder W74-90
14/07/24HKilsyth W83-68
13/07/24HGeelong W95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game72.166.278.0
Allowed / game79.973.286.5
Point differential-7.8-7.0-8.5
Avg total152.0139.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diamond Valley W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.286.882.7
Allowed / game82.284.079.3
Point differential+3.0+2.8+3.3
Avg total167.5170.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W880100%91.866.5+25.2
2 Knox W87188%86.467.8+18.6
3 Keilor Thunder W97278%77.871.0+6.8
4 Waverley W86275%77.469.8+7.6
5 Dandenong Rangers W85362%83.872.2+11.5
6 Diamond Valley W85362%85.282.2+3.0
7 Frankston W74357%74.069.3+4.7
8 Melbourne Tigers W74357%82.078.6+3.4
9 Sandringham W95456%77.677.4+0.1
10 Nunawading W95456%70.472.2-1.8
11 Ringwood W84450%77.571.5+6.0
12 Casey Cavaliers W84450%71.077.0-6.0
13 Ballarat W83538%72.179.9-7.8
14 Mt. Gambier W93633%68.680.1-11.6
15 Kilsyth W93633%66.679.1-12.6
16 Hobart Chargers W103730%69.676.5-6.9
17 Eltham W82625%77.082.9-5.9
18 Bendigo Braves W92722%73.082.8-9.8
19 Launceston W100100%66.781.5-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat W1718181871
Diamond Valley W2222222086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.