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Knox W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 73-77
21-17 24-18 13-17 15-25
Position#2
Record20-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#5
Record15-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game75.5
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenNBL1 South Women - Quarter-finals
Women2024
Meetings · Knox W v Ballarat W
19 Jul 2025
KNOX98
BALL55
27 Jul 2024
KNOX73
BALL77
02 Jul 2022
KNOX84
BALL81
27 Apr 2019
KNOX93
BALL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
86-57
86
57
+29
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H23/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
33-16
13-11
17-19
22-23
19-23
22-21
24-18
31-12
20-16
15-16
20-13
29-19
22-17
20-15
25-22
34-29
22-20
24-13
19-16
31-13
24-20
22-21
21-18
16-21
14-19
14-14
24-11
27-29
29-24
25-12
16-25
14-15
16-11
18-22
25-16
19-26
19-25
18-17
22-18
159.9Avg total
87.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.371.8156.2+12.587%
Season at home (12)83.373.7157.0+9.783%
Season away (11)85.569.8155.3+15.691%
Last 10 (10)87.072.9159.9+14.190%
Last 5 (5)82.875.4158.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (6)72.872.3145.2+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.970.8153.7+12.178%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
94-61
94
61
+33
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-13
22-21
26-19
26-15
21-16
14-11
16-20
16-20
20-15
19-16
23-21
26-18
26-18
21-26
16-16
26-9
17-11
24-14
9-17
22-24
31-22
16-20
17-11
22-19
22-23
18-11
14-17
22-22
25-11
30-14
17-14
23-37
28-11
17-21
26-8
29-25
19-23
32-26
17-9
155.5Avg total
84.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.975.5150.4-0.665%
Season at home (12)77.678.6156.2-1.075%
Season away (11)72.072.1144.1-0.155%
Last 10 (10)84.970.6155.5+14.3100%
Last 5 (5)89.473.6163.0+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.479.0148.4-9.633%
vs Similar (6)80.882.3163.2-1.567%
vs Weaker (6)83.071.5154.5+11.583%
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
Knox WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H23/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
85.7Avg total
46.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.380.7+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.082.6+2.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.036.478.4+5.671%-
Last 10 (10)46.639.185.7+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.682.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.049.090.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.036.573.5+0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.838.382.1+5.474%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
82.9Avg total
45.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.943.783.6-3.838%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.345.185.4-4.838%-
Last 30 away (13)39.542.081.5-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)45.537.482.9+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)48.643.492.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.244.983.1-6.824%-
vs Similar (6)43.546.890.3-3.350%-
vs Weaker (6)41.337.078.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Knox W wins
0
Ballarat W wins
DateGameScore
25/05/24Ballarat W v Knox W62-110
13/05/23Ballarat W v Knox W71-77
02/07/22Knox W v Ballarat W84-81 OT
10/07/21Ballarat W v Knox W52-67
27/04/19Knox W v Ballarat W93-90
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/24HMt. Gambier W78-86
13/07/24HKeilor Thunder W73-64
07/07/24HGeelong W97-90
05/07/24AMt. Gambier W68-65
30/06/24ANunawading W98-72
23/06/24HLaunceston W99-78
22/06/24HFrankston W96-73
16/06/24ACasey Cavaliers W86-57
15/06/24HBendigo Braves W87-85
07/06/24HDiamond Valley W88-59
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/24HEltham W97-83
13/07/24AEltham W94-77
07/07/24HCasey Cavaliers W94-61
05/07/24HSandringham W76-70
30/06/24AFrankston W86-77
29/06/24HMelbourne Tigers W76-51
23/06/24ARingwood W89-78
22/06/24HNunawading W78-72
16/06/24AWaverley W77-62
15/06/24HDandenong Rangers W82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %87%83%91%
Points / game84.383.385.5
Allowed / game71.873.769.8
Point differential+12.5+9.7+15.6
Avg total156.2157.0155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%75%55%
Points / game74.977.672.0
Allowed / game75.578.672.1
Point differential-0.6-1.0-0.1
Avg total150.4156.2144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox W2320387%84.371.8+12.5
2 Keilor Thunder W2320387%75.864.4+11.4
3 Dandenong Rangers W2316770%79.771.0+8.7
4 Mt. Gambier W2315865%78.370.2+8.2
5 Ballarat W2315865%74.975.5-0.6
6 Sandringham W2314961%76.473.2+3.2
7 Waverley W2314961%79.376.5+2.8
8 Bendigo Braves W22121055%87.378.5+8.8
9 Eltham W23121152%80.677.6+3.0
10 Geelong W22111150%83.081.7+1.3
11 Frankston W22111150%75.775.6+0.1
12 Diamond Valley W2291341%76.779.1-2.5
13 Ringwood W2291341%76.379.0-2.7
14 Hobart Chargers W2281436%72.476.4-4.0
15 Melbourne Tigers W2271532%76.483.1-6.7
16 Launceston W2261627%70.281.4-11.2
17 Kilsyth W2251723%69.480.3-10.9
18 Casey Cavaliers W2251723%74.685.8-11.2
19 Nunawading W2241818%69.582.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W2124131573
Ballarat W1718172577
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