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Barnaul vs Tambov Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 78-67
30-12 14-12 15-16 19-27
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game86.7
Vs
59%
41%
■ BARN 59%■ TAMB 41%
Pythia win probability
Projected 80-78
Projected total 158.2
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game73.0
RussiaSuper League· Sport areal Pobeda
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barnaul v Tambov
02 Nov 2026
BARN78
TAMB67
16 Nov 2025
BARN66
TAMB76
18 Dec 2024
BARN80
TAMB60
06 Nov 2024
BARN69
TAMB89
18 Oct 2023
BARN77
TAMB61
10 Mar 2023
BARN57
TAMB77
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Barnaul hosts Tambov on 2 November 2026 in the Super League, with the Pythia model designating Barnaul as the favourite and projecting an 80-78 win; the model gives Barnaul a 59% chance to win and Tambov a 41% chance, with a 5% likelihood of overtime. Barnaul, 1-5 in 6 games, averages 78.7 points and allows 86.7, sitting 13th in the league, and has won only one of its last five, a 78-74 victory over Metallurg on 22 October, while Tambov, 2-3 in 5 games, averages 72.2 points and allows 73.0, positioned 7th, has won two of its last five, including an 83-76 win over Izhevsk on 25 October. In the 10 meetings between the clubs, Tambov leads 7-3, though Barnaul last defeated Tambov 94-75 on 16 April. The Pythia model sets a -9.5 spread for Barnaul with a 27% chance of covering and a 157 point total line with a 52% probability of the over, projecting a total of 158.2 points for the game. The last encounter saw Barnaul beat Tambov 94-75, a result that echoes the current projected margin.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barnaul winWon
59.2%fair 1.69
Best odds1.37
Implied70.1%
Edge-10.8pp
Tambov winLost
40.8%fair 2.45
Best odds3.09
Implied29.9%
Edge+10.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 14:21 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarnaulRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H25/03
Super League
Metallurg
#11
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A14/04
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H15/04
Super League
Tambov
#13
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A16/04
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A01/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A04/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H12/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H15/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A22/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A25/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
12-20
21-19
26-27
15-20
11-12
12-21
17-24
15-17
17-24
16-18
15-19
16-12
22-16
23-24
33-23
20-28
22-17
11-29
26-18
19-25
17-20
22-25
23-21
14-13
16-26
22-26
18-21
17-24
17-14
21-31
15-13
21-23
17-22
19-16
21-13
26-24
20-28
26-19
22-24
159.5Avg total
76.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.786.7165.3-8.017%
Season at home (2)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
Season away (4)83.088.0171.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)76.283.3159.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)78.685.6164.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)74.684.1158.7-9.512%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.579.5161.0+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tambov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TambovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
63-101
63
101
-38
H22/03
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H28/03
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
73-107
73
107
-34
A14/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H15/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H16/04
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A01/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#3
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A04/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H12/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H15/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-34
19-27
15-26
15-14
13-19
20-18
20-14
27-23
13-24
20-31
19-26
21-26
23-13
26-19
24-25
17-27
12-16
16-22
24-23
23-33
14-10
23-12
9-17
10-21
19-24
13-19
22-20
10-20
16-20
17-20
18-12
22-4
22-19
16-29
22-26
25-16
20-21
24-14
21-19
18-22
156.7Avg total
74.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.273.0145.2-0.840%
Season at home (3)80.374.0154.3+6.367%
Season away (2)60.071.5131.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)74.282.5156.7-8.340%
Last 5 (5)72.273.0145.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.285.9158.1-13.721%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.478.8159.2+1.660%
vs Weaker (1)83.076.0159.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Barnaul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
64.3%
Under 152
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157 · main lineActual: Under 157
Over 157
52.2%
@ 1.89+2.7pp
Under 157
47.8%
@ 1.85-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 162Actual: Under 162
Over 162
40.0%
Under 162
60.0%
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Barnaul total 77.5Actual: Barnaul over 77.5
Over 77.5
61.1%
Under 77.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnaul total 81.5 · main lineActual: Barnaul under 81.5
Over 81.5
45.7%
@ 1.83-4.3pp
Under 81.5
54.3%
@ 1.83+4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Barnaul total 85.5Actual: Barnaul under 85.5
Over 85.5
30.9%
Under 85.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tambov total 70Actual: Tambov under 70
Over 70
78.1%
Under 70
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tambov total 74 · main lineActual: Tambov under 74
Over 74
64.5%
@ 1.83+14.5pp
Under 74
35.5%
@ 1.83-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Tambov total 78Actual: Tambov under 78
Over 78
48.7%
Under 78
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Barnaul -12.5Actual: Tambov +12.5
BARN -12.5
19.4%
TAMB +12.5
80.6%
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
BARN
No market prices yet.
TAMB
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Barnaul -9.5 · main lineActual: Barnaul -9.5
BARN -9.5
27.4%
@ 1.84-20.2pp
TAMB +9.5
72.6%
@ 1.83+20.2pp
Best 5 market prices
BARN
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
TAMB
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Barnaul -6.5Actual: Barnaul -6.5
BARN -6.5
37.3%
@ 1.96-10.3pp
TAMB +6.5
62.7%
@ 1.82+10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
BARN
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
TAMB
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
BarnaulTambov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarnaulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/03
Super League
Metallurg
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A14/04
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/04
Super League
Tambov
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A16/04
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A01/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H12/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H15/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/10
Super League
75.5Avg total
35.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78
Last 30 (30)36.640.877.4-4.227%57%
Last 30 at home (14)37.138.575.6-1.443%36%
Last 30 away (16)36.242.878.9-6.612%75%
Last 10 (10)35.340.275.5-4.910%40%
Last 5 (5)36.843.880.6-7.00%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.441.477.8-5.023%58%
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.836.574.2+1.250%50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tambov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TambovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
33-61
33
61
-28
H22/03
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/03
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A14/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H15/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H16/04
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A01/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A04/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H12/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H15/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/10
Super League
77.1Avg total
36.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78
Last 30 (30)35.841.677.4-5.927%47%
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.976.7-1.240%40%
Last 30 away (15)33.844.378.1-10.513%53%
Last 10 (10)36.041.177.1-5.130%50%
Last 5 (5)36.837.674.4-0.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)35.742.277.9-6.525%46%
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.440.274.6-5.820%40%
vs Weaker (1)44.035.079.0+9.0100%100%
This opponent (Barnaul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Barnaul -4 · main lineActual: Barnaul -4
BARN -4
no forecast
@ 1.82
TAMB +4
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Over/Under 78 · main lineActual: Under 78
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Barnaul 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Barnaul over 41
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Barnaul (regulation)
BARN
no forecast
@ 1.44
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.00
TAMB
no forecast
@ 2.88

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Tambov +1074.7%1.77
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
---+23.2ppLost
Tambov +1177.5%1.66
Marathon Bet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
---+23.0ppPush
Tambov +10.575.5%1.71
Marathon Bet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
---+22.4ppLost
Tambov +971.7%1.72
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.56
---+20.7ppLost
Tambov +9.572.6%1.68
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.53
---+20.2ppLost
Tambov +12.580.6%1.53
Marathon Bet
1.53
-----Won
Tambov +1280.1%1.57
Marathon Bet
1.57
-----Won
Tambov +11.578.2%1.62
Marathon Bet
1.62
-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Barnaul wins
7
Tambov wins
DateGameScore
16/04/26Tambov v Barnaul75-94
18/02/26Tambov v Barnaul93-88
16/11/25Barnaul v Tambov66-76
23/03/25Tambov v Barnaul80-76 OT
18/12/24Barnaul v Tambov80-60
06/11/24Barnaul v Tambov69-89
23/10/24Tambov v Barnaul100-77
23/12/23Tambov v Barnaul94-91
18/10/23Barnaul v Tambov77-61
10/03/23Barnaul v Tambov57-77
Barnaullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AChelyabinsk94-95
22/10/26AMetallurg78-74
15/10/26HDynamo Grozny70-82
12/10/26HCSKA Moscow 270-86
04/10/26ATemp Sumz Revda81-91
01/10/26AUfa79-92
16/04/26ATambov94-75
15/04/26HIzhevsk63-78
14/04/26AMetallurg55-77
25/03/26HDynamo Vladivostok78-83
Tambovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HIzhevsk83-76
15/10/26HChelyabinsk85-90
12/10/26HMetallurg73-56
04/10/26ADynamo Grozny64-83
01/10/26ACSKA Moscow 256-60
16/04/26HBarnaul75-94
15/04/26HMetallurg90-84
14/04/26AIzhevsk73-107
28/03/26HCSKA Moscow 280-74
22/03/26HTemp Sumz Revda63-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barnaul
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game78.770.083.0
Allowed / game86.784.088.0
Point differential-8.0-14.0-5.0
Avg total165.3154.0171.0
Over 15750%0%75%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tambov
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game72.280.360.0
Allowed / game73.074.071.5
Point differential-0.8+6.3-11.5
Avg total145.2154.3131.5
Over 15740%67%0%
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chelyabinsk550100%93.686.0+7.6
2 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
3 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
4 Dynamo Grozny65183%82.572.2+10.3
5 CSKA Moscow 264267%71.868.8+3.0
6 Khimki M.63350%78.276.5+1.7
7 Tambov52340%72.273.0-0.8
8 Metallurg52340%76.281.8-5.6
9 University-Ugra62433%71.780.8-9.2
10 Izhevsk51420%78.483.4-5.0
11 Desna Bryansk51420%71.878.8-7.0
12 Rusichi Kursk51420%70.485.2-14.8
13 Barnaul61517%78.786.7-8.0
14 Novosibirsk61517%77.289.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barnaul3014151978
Tambov1212162767
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