Bars Petropavlovsk vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 07:30

Final 72-81

22-20 15-27 21-20 14-14

Position#4

Record8-4

FormLWLWW

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game68.8

Bars Petropavlovsk

Shymkent 🏆

Position#2

Record9-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game75.1

Higher League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Shymkent winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

76-53

+23

A13/10

Higher League

Shymkent

57-76

-19

H14/10

Higher League

Turan

87-82

A15/10

Higher League

Altay

74-36

+38

H10/11

Higher League

Karaganda

76-63

+13

A11/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

64-71

-7

A12/11

Higher League

Altay

87-61

+26

H13/11

Higher League

Turan

85-87

-2

A10/12

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

89-71

+18

H11/12

Higher League

Atyrau 2

84-63

+21

A12/12

Higher League

27-12

19-13

24-10

6-18

16-15

12-28

13-14

16-19

25-21

15-22

22-10

25-29

29-7

16-10

15-9

14-10

17-18

23-12

21-21

15-12

17-22

19-8

10-14

18-27

14-9

29-13

29-17

15-22

25-22

18-23

20-19

22-23

24-18

22-25

25-18

18-10

31-14

23-13

21-21

9-15

144.2Avg total

77.9Scored

66.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	77.4	68.8	146.2	+8.7	67%
Season at home (5)	76.2	62.2	138.4	+14.0	80%
Season away (7)	78.3	73.4	151.7	+4.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	66.3	144.2	+11.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	70.6	152.4	+11.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	75.5	82.0	157.5	-6.5	33%
vs Weaker (24)	85.0	67.4	152.4	+17.6	88%

This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Shymkent

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karaganda

78-69

H13/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

76-57

+19

A14/10

Higher League

Altay

92-70

+22

H15/10

Higher League

Turan

95-105

105

-10

H10/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

81-71

+10

A11/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

90-49

+41

H12/11

Higher League

Turan

100-88

100

+12

H13/11

Higher League

Altay

99-80

+19

H10/12

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

81-107

107

-26

A11/12

Higher League

Karaganda

101-56

101

+45

H12/12

Higher League

25-8

19-16

16-14

18-31

15-16

28-12

14-13

19-16

35-13

26-28

25-11

6-18

23-33

21-21

27-33

24-18

25-19

19-20

19-14

18-18

27-14

28-10

20-11

15-14

25-25

14-18

29-28

32-17

30-15

20-21

33-27

16-17

16-26

29-22

24-29

12-30

24-18

25-7

22-13

30-18

164.5Avg total

89.3Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.2	75.1	164.2	+14.1	75%
Season at home (8)	95.4	72.6	168.0	+22.8	88%
Season away (4)	76.8	80.0	156.8	-3.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	75.2	164.5	+14.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	76.0	170.2	+18.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	102.0	77.0	179.0	+25.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	73.5	83.5	157.0	-10.0	25%
vs Weaker (25)	93.9	73.4	167.3	+20.5	96%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bars PetropavlovskShymkent

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	17.2	40.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	25.0	16.7	41.7	+8.3	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	15.8	38.3	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.2	22.7	42.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	23.6	15.8	39.4	+7.7	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.7	18.7	45.4	+8.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	30.1	17.1	47.2	+13.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	18.7	43.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	25.0	58.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	28.0	18.0	46.0	+10.0	84%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.9	19.2	39.2	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	16.1	37.0	+4.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.7	36.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	16.9	39.7	+5.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	15.7	39.2	+7.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	17.5	40.4	+5.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.6	38.8	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	21.0	53.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	24.5	19.8	44.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (25)	22.1	16.3	38.4	+5.8	68%	-

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

46-25

+21

A13/10

Higher League

Shymkent

28-43

-15

H14/10

Higher League

Turan

40-43

-3

A15/10

Higher League

Altay

45-17

+28

H10/11

Higher League

Karaganda

40-30

+10

A11/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

36-30

A12/11

Higher League

Altay

43-22

+21

H13/11

Higher League

Turan

43-45

-2

A10/12

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

46-43

H11/12

Higher League

Atyrau 2

54-27

+27

A12/12

Higher League

74.6Avg total

42.1Scored

32.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	35.2	78.4	+8.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.4	36.8	78.2	+4.7	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	45.9	32.8	78.7	+13.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	32.5	74.6	+9.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	33.4	77.8	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.8	43.0	80.8	-5.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	44.6	33.2	77.8	+11.4	83%	-

This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karaganda

44-24

+20

H13/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

43-28

+15

A14/10

Higher League

Altay

61-41

+20

H15/10

Higher League

Turan

44-54

-10

H10/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

44-39

A11/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

55-24

+31

H12/11

Higher League

Turan

39-43

-4

H13/11

Higher League

Altay

50-36

+14

H10/12

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

45-48

-3

A11/12

Higher League

Karaganda

49-25

+24

H12/12

Higher League

83.6Avg total

47.4Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.5	35.6	85.1	+13.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	53.6	32.8	86.4	+20.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.7	38.9	83.6	+5.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	36.2	83.6	+11.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	35.2	82.8	+12.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	65.0	46.0	111.0	+19.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (25)	50.1	34.4	84.5	+15.8	88%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.2	16.6	39.7	+6.6	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	15.3	35.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.2	16.3	34.5	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	22.6	17.5	40.1	+5.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	18.4	42.1	+5.3	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	17.7	41.3	+5.9	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	21.6	47.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.5	21.2	37.8	-4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (25)	25.0	18.1	43.1	+7.0	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.9	36.0	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	18.5	34.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.5	22.7	42.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.2	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	15.5	21.2	36.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (25)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.2	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	35.2	75.0	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.1	33.3	75.4	+8.8	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.5	37.9	74.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	33.8	69.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.2	74.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.7	39.0	76.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	40.4	34.2	74.6	+6.2	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.2	81.2	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.7	40.0	82.7	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	38.4	79.5	+2.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.0	80.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	40.8	87.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	31.0	68.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	32.0	42.5	74.5	-10.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (25)	43.8	39.0	82.8	+4.7	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Shymkent wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/23	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	57-76
11/04/23	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	85-68
20/11/22	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	83-71
25/10/22	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	66-90

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/23	A	Atyrau 2	84-63
11/12/23	H	ChelSU Kostanay	89-71
10/12/23	A	Turan	85-87
13/11/23	H	Altay	87-61
12/11/23	A	Tigers-KazATU	64-71
11/11/23	A	Karaganda	76-63
10/11/23	H	Altay	74-36
15/10/23	A	Turan	87-82
14/10/23	H	Shymkent	57-76
13/10/23	A	Atyrau 2	76-53

Shymkentlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/23	H	Karaganda	101-56
11/12/23	A	Tigers-KazATU	81-107
10/12/23	H	Altay	99-80
13/11/23	H	Turan	100-88
12/11/23	H	Atyrau 2	90-49
11/11/23	A	ChelSU Kostanay	81-71
10/11/23	H	Turan	95-105
15/10/23	H	Altay	92-70
14/10/23	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	76-57
13/10/23	H	Karaganda	78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk

Higher League 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	67%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	WWLLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	67%	80%	57%
Points / game	77.4	76.2	78.3
Allowed / game	68.8	62.2	73.4
Point differential	+8.7	+14.0	+4.9
Avg total	146.2	138.4	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	60%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Shymkent

Higher League 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	75%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	LWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	8	4
Win %	75%	88%	50%
Points / game	89.2	95.4	76.8
Allowed / game	75.1	72.6	80.0
Point differential	+14.1	+22.8	-3.2
Avg total	164.2	168.0	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tigers-KazATU	12	12	0	100%	80.1	62.2	+17.9
2	Shymkent	12	9	3	75%	89.2	75.1	+14.1
3	Bars Petropavlovsk	12	8	4	67%	77.4	68.8	+8.7
4	Turan	12	8	4	67%	80.9	77.9	+3.0
5	ChelSU Kostanay	13	5	8	38%	78.5	76.5	+1.9
6	Atyrau 2	13	5	8	38%	68.6	77.9	-9.3
7	Karaganda	12	2	10	17%	64.2	77.5	-13.2
8	Altay	14	1	13	7%	66.9	86.1	-19.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bars Petropavlovsk	22	15	21	14	72
Shymkent	20	27	20	14	81

← all games of the day

Bars Petropavlovsk vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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