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Bashkimi vs Manchester Basketball Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Projected 83-81
Projected total 163.7
Scheduled
Position#40
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game83.2
Vs
57%
43%
■ BASH 57%■ MAN 43%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#42
Record1-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Palestra sportive Sezai Surroi
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Bashkimi hosts Manchester Basketball in the FIBA Europe Cup on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring Bashkimi at 57% to 43% and projecting a 83-81 finish for a total of 163.7 points, a 5% chance of overtime, and a 57% probability that Bashkimi will cover the home line. Bashkimi has played five games in the competition, winning one and losing four, scoring 73.6 points per game and allowing 83.2, while sitting 40th in the league; at home they are 1-1, averaging 72.5 points and conceding 85.5. Their last five games were 1-4, with recent defeats to Valmiera Glass Via 77-85, Golden Eagle Ylli 86-105 and Korfez Basket 62-72, all away. Manchester Basketball also has a 1-4 record, 75.8 points per game and 90.0 allowed, 42nd in the standings; on the road they are 0-3, 72.3 points and 90.3 allowed. Their last five games were 2-3, with recent losses to Chalon/Saone 73-94, Cheshire Phoenix 90-93 and Valmiera Glass Via 74-80, all at home. The two clubs have met once before, with Bashkimi winning the only encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bashkimi win
57.3%fair 1.75
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Manchester Basketball win
42.7%fair 2.34
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BashkimiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBashkimi
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
W
79-77
79
77
+2
69avg 76
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bora
#3
W
78-58
78
58
+20
77avg 76
H10/10
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
66avg 76
A18/10
Superliga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
74avg 76
H25/10
Superliga
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
66-94
66
94
-28
52avg 76
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vellaznimi
#8
W
93-80
93
80
+13
87avg 76
A31/10
Superliga
Korfez Basket
#5
L
62-72
62
72
-10
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
A08/11
Superliga
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
13-16
24-19
15-18
15-17
27-11
24-14
12-16
23-21
15-24
23-17
16-17
19-20
21-19
24-28
20-21
23-22
21-27
14-10
28-20
18-34
18-22
7-23
23-15
22-20
25-24
17-20
29-16
9-17
13-23
23-13
17-19
19-25
21-28
21-20
25-32
16-10
19-27
18-23
24-25
160.5Avg total
78.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.683.2156.8-9.620%
Season at home (2)72.585.5158.0-13.050%
Season away (3)74.381.7156.0-7.30%
Last 10 (10)78.881.7160.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)76.887.2164.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.987.4163.3-11.510%
vs Similar (2)81.067.0148.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.980.3169.2+8.672%
This opponent (Manchester Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manchester BasketballLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
80avg 82
A16/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#8
L
92-94
92
94
-2
80avg 82
H18/10
SLB
Korfez Basket
#5
L
71-112
71
112
-41
59avg 82
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leicester Riders
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 82
A23/10
SLB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 82
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bristol Flyers
#4
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 82
A30/10
SLB
Liverpool
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
81avg 82
A01/11
SLB
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H06/11
SLB
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-16
21-21
16-19
22-16
27-31
22-23
21-24
17-25
23-28
18-29
13-30
31-28
17-20
25-20
16-19
23-29
14-26
19-12
33-18
24-23
11-12
24-18
19-21
14-20
31-23
20-16
26-26
18-26
15-19
27-18
14-17
27-15
20-17
10-30
22-17
19-23
14-21
21-19
19-31
171.0Avg total
82.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.890.0165.8-14.220%
Season at home (2)81.089.5170.5-8.550%
Season away (3)72.390.3162.7-18.00%
Last 10 (10)82.888.2171.0-5.450%
Last 5 (5)81.285.2166.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)84.295.7179.9-11.425%
vs Similar (15)84.185.3169.5-1.260%
vs Weaker (2)96.596.0192.5+0.550%
This opponent (Bashkimi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1252%1303%1355%1407%14510%15011%15512%16012%16510%1709%1756%1805%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1253%1357%14511%15512%1659%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 164 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
58.5%
Under 160
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
46.0%
Under 165
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
34.0%
Under 170
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bashkimi total 80.5
Over 80.5
59.2%
Under 80.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bashkimi total 84.5
Over 84.5
44.7%
Under 84.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bashkimi total 88.5
Over 88.5
30.8%
Under 88.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester Basketball total 76.5
Over 76.5
65.1%
Under 76.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester Basketball total 80.5
Over 80.5
50.3%
Under 80.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester Basketball total 84.5
Over 84.5
35.6%
Under 84.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-301%-271%-242%-213%-184%-156%-127%-99%-69%-37%+010%+39%+68%+97%+126%+154%+183%+212%+241%+271%+300%+33
1%-272%-214%-157%-99%-310%+38%+96%+153%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Bashkimi's side (positive = Bashkimi win). Pythia's expected margin is +2.3; Bashkimi win by 1+ in 51% of simulations.
Spread Bashkimi -3
BASH -3
49.5%
MAN +3
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
BASH
No market prices yet.
MAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Bashkimi 0
BASH 0
57.3%
MAN 0
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
BASH
No market prices yet.
MAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Bashkimi +3
BASH +3
65.1%
MAN -3
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
BASH
No market prices yet.
MAN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
BashkimiManchester Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BashkimiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bora
#3
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H10/10
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A18/10
Superliga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H25/10
Superliga
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vellaznimi
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A31/10
Superliga
Korfez Basket
#5
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A08/11
Superliga
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.5Avg total
38.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.683.5-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.582.5+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.684.5-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.181.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.046.082.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.845.180.9-9.310%-
vs Similar (2)46.031.577.5+14.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.242.485.6+0.861%-
This opponent (Manchester Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manchester BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H18/10
SLB
Korfez Basket
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leicester Riders
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
SLB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bristol Flyers
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/10
SLB
Liverpool
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A01/11
SLB
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H06/11
SLB
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.1Avg total
41.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.845.186.9-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.946.387.2-5.423%-
Last 30 away (17)42.544.286.7-1.829%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.085.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.249.089.2-8.88%-
vs Similar (15)41.842.684.4-0.827%-
vs Weaker (2)51.545.096.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Bashkimi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bashkimitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bashkimi: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.1
55.1%
53.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.614.7
68.1%
72.8%14.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manchester Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manchester Basketball: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.9
53.1%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.9
30.4%
32.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.515.1
70.2%
72.8%15.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bashkimi
LLLWLWLLWW
Manchester Basketball
LLLWWWWLLW
#40
League position
#42
+7.1
Net rating
-5.6
94.9
Offensive rating
91.2
87.8
Defensive rating
96.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.5%
3-point %
30.4%
57.2%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 91.2Defence87.8 · 96.8Shooting52.7% · 50.5%3-point %32.5% · 30.4%Ball care13.8% · 16.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Bashkimi   ■ Manchester Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bashkimi wins
0
Manchester Basketball wins
No previous meetings.
Bashkimilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AValmiera Glass Via77-85
08/11/26AGolden Eagle Ylli86-105
04/11/26AKorfez Basket62-72
31/10/26AVellaznimi93-80
28/10/26HChalon/Saone66-94
25/10/26HPeja86-79
21/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo84-88
18/10/26ASigal Prishtina77-79
10/10/26HBora78-58
07/10/26HValmiera Glass Via79-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HChalon/Saone73-94
06/11/26HCheshire Phoenix90-93 OT
04/11/26AValmiera Glass Via74-80
01/11/26ALiverpool91-85
30/10/26ABristol Flyers78-74
28/10/26HBC Kalev/Cramo89-85
23/10/26ALeicester Riders89-87
21/10/26AKorfez Basket71-112
18/10/26HCaledonia Gladiators92-94
16/10/26ANewcastle Eagles81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bashkimi
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game73.672.574.3
Allowed / game83.285.581.7
Point differential-9.6-13.0-7.3
Avg total156.8158.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manchester Basketball
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game75.881.072.3
Allowed / game90.089.590.3
Point differential-14.2-8.5-18.0
Avg total165.8170.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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