
Dziki Warszawa enter the 2026-27 season with a 12-3 overall record, topping the Basketball Champions League with a 3-1 mark and a net rating of 4.9 that has pushed them up to 13th out of 54 teams, an improvement from 38th a few games ago. In recent form they are 4-1 over their last five outings, highlighted by victories over Anwil Wloclawek 96-75, MZT Skopje 89-66 and Legia 92-77, all at home or on the road. Their home split of 6-1 shows a points-for average of 94.6 against 83.1, while the away record of 6-2 yields 91.8 to 82.5. J. Girard III leads the squad with 23.5 points and 5.8 assists per game, and Zane Waterman pulls down 7.5 rebounds on average. The next clash is an away game against Ostrow Wielkopolski on 15 November 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, where the Pythia model projects a 75% chance of victory.
| Split | Total scored | Total allowed | Home scored | Home allowed | Away scored | Away allowed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 89.9 | 83.7 | 90.3 | 81.5 | 89.6 | 85.5 | 70% |
| vs Stronger (1) | 113.0 | 110.0 | 113.0 | 110.0 | - | - | 100% |
| vs Similar (16) | 84.4 | 86.2 | 83.8 | 81.0 | 84.8 | 89.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 93.2 | 76.9 | 93.0 | 77.2 | 93.3 | 76.7 | 92% |
| Over 166.5 (game total) | 67% of these 30 games | ||||||
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 166.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.3 | 82.0 | +25 | 67% | 1-0 | 1-1 | - | WWL | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 87.3 | -19 | 67% | 1-1 | 1-0 | 100% | WLW | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 81.0 | +1 | 33% | 1-1 | 0-1 | - | LWL | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 80.7 | 83.0 | -7 | 50% | 1-0 | 0-2 | 67% | LLW |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 166.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.0 | 85.8 | +29 | 75% | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0% | WWLW | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 94.5 | 87.0 | +30 | 75% | 2-0 | 1-1 | 100% | WWWL | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 83.8 | -11 | 75% | 1-1 | 1-1 | 100% | LLWW | |
| 4 | Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 81.2 | 93.2 | -48 | 75% | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0% | LLLL |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 166.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 71.0 | +30 | 0% | 2-0 | 1-0 | 100% | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.3 | 79.7 | +14 | 33% | 2-0 | 0-1 | 50% | WLW | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 77.7 | -9 | 0% | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0% | LWL | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 79.3 | 91.0 | -35 | 33% | 0-1 | 0-2 | - | LLL |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 166.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.0 | 72.0 | +36 | 25% | 2-1 | 1-0 | 67% | WLWW | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.2 | 72.2 | +32 | 25% | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0% | WWLL | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.5 | 88.5 | -16 | 100% | 0-2 | 2-0 | 50% | LWWL | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.4 | 90.2 | -49 | 75% | 1-1 | 1-2 | 100% | WLLLW | |
| 5 | Denizli Basket | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 101.0 | -3 | 100% | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0% | L |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 166.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.7 | 71.7 | +57 | 0% | 2-0 | 0-1 | - | WLW | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.7 | 83.0 | -13 | 33% | 1-0 | 1-1 | - | LWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.0 | 88.7 | -23 | 67% | 1-1 | 0-1 | - | WLL | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.0 | 84.0 | -21 | 33% | 1-0 | 0-2 | - | LWL |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 166.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.5 | 82.2 | +17 | 50% | 3-0 | 0-1 | - | WLWW | |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 83.5 | 83.5 | +0 | 50% | 2-0 | 0-2 | - | LLWW |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 86.5 | 88.5 | -8 | 75% | 2-0 | 0-2 | - | WWLL | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 84.5 | 86.8 | -9 | 75% | 1-0 | 0-3 | - | LWLL |
| Full game | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the game | Over 166.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 89.9 | 83.7 | 173.7 | +6.2 | 70% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 90.3 | 81.5 | 171.8 | +8.8 | 85% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 89.6 | 85.5 | 175.1 | +4.2 | 59% | 65% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.9 | 79.0 | 165.9 | +7.9 | 80% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 78.6 | 164.6 | +7.4 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 113.0 | 110.0 | 223.0 | +3.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (16) | 84.4 | 86.2 | 170.7 | -1.8 | 50% | 62% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 93.2 | 76.9 | 170.1 | +16.2 | 92% | 67% |
| Game total (line 166.5) | Team points (line 83.5) | Margin (win) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split | All | Home | Away | All | Home | Away | All | Home | Away |
| Overall (4) | 202.5 | 199.0 | 206.0 | 103.2 | 97.5 | 109.0 | +4.0 | -4.0 | +12.0 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 223.0 | 223.0 | - | 113.0 | 113.0 | - | +3.0 | +3.0 | - |
| vs Similar (1) | 175.0 | 175.0 | - | 82.0 | 82.0 | - | -11.0 | -11.0 | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 206.0 | - | 206.0 | 109.0 | - | 109.0 | +12.0 | - | +12.0 |
| % over line / win | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| % under line / loss | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.4 | 23.2 | 53.1% | 46.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.0 | 9.0 | 35.3% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 14.4 | 72.1% | 14.4 |
| Shot type | Opponents' Attempts per game | Opponents' Made per game | Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.0 | 19.6 | 53.1% | 39.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.0 | 7.0 | 35.3% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.9 | 19.0 | 72.1% | 19.0 |
| Player | Comp | GP | GS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Girard III | BCL | 4 | 4 | 31.7 | 23.5 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 46.3% | 35.0% |
| Zane Waterman | BCL | 4 | 4 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 44.7% | 42.1% |
| Ashton Jamar | BCL | 4 | 4 | 25.7 | 12.8 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 55.9% | 36.4% |
| Grzegorz Kaminski | BCL | 4 | 0 | 21.0 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 53.6% | 37.5% |
| Austin Luke | BCL | 4 | 0 | 20.4 | 10.2 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 50.0% | 42.9% |
| Osun Osunniyi | BCL | 4 | 4 | 18.7 | 11.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 78.9% | 100.0% |
| Lukasz Frackiewicz | BCL | 4 | 0 | 16.2 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 69.2% | - |
| Michal Krasuski | BCL | 4 | 4 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 43.8% | 25.0% |
| K. Kempa | BCL | 4 | 0 | 12.1 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| T. Adetukasi | BCL | 4 | 0 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Michal Aleksandrowicz | BCL | 1 | 0 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrow Wielkopolski +18.5 | 81.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp |
| Dziki Warszawa (regulation) | 75.2% | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | +6.7pp |
| Ostrow Wielkopolski under 85.5 | 71.5% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | +6.0pp |
| Dziki Warszawa over 78.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp |
| Over 159 | 71.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
| Metric | 2026 n=4 | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored / game | 103.2 | – |
| Points allowed / game | 99.2 | – |
| Game total | 202.5 | – |
| Over 156.5 | 100% | – |
| Over 166.5 | 100% | – |
| Over 176.5 | 75% | – |
| Team points over 83.5 | 75% | – |
| Win % | 75% | – |
| Home win % | 50% | – |
| Away win % | 100% | – |
| Margin / game | +4.0 | – |
| Won by 10+ | 25% | – |
| Close games won (5 or fewer) | 100% | – |
| Overtime % | 0% | – |
| 1st half total | 92.5 | – |
| Won the 1st half | 50% | – |
| 3-point attempt rate | 46% | – |
| Effective FG% | 61% | – |
| Date | Game | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Dziki Warszawa v Tartu Ulikool FIBA Europe Cup | 91-84 | W |
| 07 Nov | Dziki Warszawa v Anwil Wloclawek Energa Basket Liga | 96-75 | W |
| 04 Nov | Dziki Warszawa v MZT Skopje FIBA Europe Cup | 89-66 | W |
| 31 Oct | Legia v Dziki Warszawa Energa Basket Liga | 77-92 | W |
| 28 Oct | Wurzburg v Dziki Warszawa FIBA Europe Cup | 91-62 | L |
| 25 Oct | Dziki Warszawa v Czarni Slupsk Energa Basket Liga | 91-81 | W |
| 21 Oct | Iraklis v Dziki Warszawa FIBA Europe Cup | 85-86 | W |
| 18 Oct | Gornik Walbrzych v Dziki Warszawa Energa Basket Liga | 74-71 | L |
| 14 Oct | Dziki Warszawa v AEK Larnaca FIBA Europe Cup | 94-80 | W |
| 11 Oct | Dziki Warszawa v Lublin Energa Basket Liga | 97-77 | W |
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