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Basquet Girona vs Oostende Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Projected 89-77
Projected total 165.5
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game75.0
Vs
81%
19%
■ GIR 81%■ OOS 19%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#21
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Pavello Fontajau
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Basquet Girona will host Oostende in the FIBA Europe Cup on 17 November 2026, with the model favouring Girona at 81% to win because of their 5-1 record, 91.3 points per game and 75.0 allowed, placing them third in the league, while Oostende sit 21st with a 4-2 record, 78.3 points per game and 77.8 allowed; Girona's 3-0 home record, 95.3 points per game and 69.7 allowed further strengthen the edge, and their last five games include victories over Dinamo Bucharest, Bilbao and Levice, the most recent being a 92-87 win at home on 7 November; Oostende's road record is 1-1, 76.5 points per game and 74.5 allowed, and their last five games contain wins over Levice and Szolnoki Olaj and a loss to Antwerp Giants, the most recent being a 71-70 win at home on 11 November; the teams have met once before, with Girona winning 91-76 on 13 October; Pythia projects a 89-77 score, a total of 165.5 points, a 3% chance of overtime, and a probability that Girona covers the home line of 81%.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basquet Girona win
81.3%fair 1.23
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oostende win
18.7%fair 5.34
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basquet GironaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Breogan
#7
L
92-115
92
115
-23
76avg 79
A10/10
ACB
Oostende
#21
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 79
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#13
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
109-68
109
68
+41
118avg 79
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
101-87
101
87
+14
91avg 79
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
L
79-81
79
81
-2
55avg 79
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#5
L
78-107
78
107
-29
63avg 79
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
92-84
92
84
+8
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
19-31
23-23
28-31
25-15
17-19
26-18
23-24
28-23
25-25
21-28
36-14
30-16
27-13
26-20
26-19
17-27
28-14
27-22
29-24
26-17
22-17
19-24
12-23
21-23
19-25
20-30
18-29
12-14
36-20
22-16
20-16
19-25
27-19
20-23
26-20
29-17
21-20
15-23
27-24
179.5Avg total
93.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.375.0166.3+16.383%
Season at home (3)95.369.7165.0+25.7100%
Season away (3)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)93.486.1179.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)86.285.0171.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.995.2181.1-9.327%
vs Similar (12)86.185.2171.2+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.376.3167.6+15.086%
This opponent (Oostende) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOostende
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#10
W
98-70
98
70
+28
no box
H10/10
BNXT League
Basquet Girona
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 80
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
52avg 80
A16/10
BNXT League
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 80
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
67avg 80
A23/10
BNXT League
Zielona Gora
#19
L
77-80
77
80
-3
73avg 80
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
W
66-54
66
54
+12
58avg 80
H31/10
BNXT League
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
Levice
#33
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
26-13
31-17
27-15
15-25
19-17
18-26
24-23
16-25
12-19
19-18
17-19
18-11
18-25
18-22
30-22
14-21
18-12
23-12
15-20
20-26
18-24
14-19
25-11
16-21
15-12
18-18
17-3
26-16
18-29
16-17
26-15
21-17
20-25
15-17
15-23
21-21
13-23
22-14
15-12
151.3Avg total
76.3Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.377.8156.2+0.567%
Season at home (4)79.279.5158.8-0.275%
Season away (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.375.0151.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)74.272.6146.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.383.6160.9-6.343%
vs Similar (6)83.884.2168.0-0.333%
vs Weaker (17)85.871.9157.7+13.876%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1251%1303%1354%1406%1459%15011%15512%16012%16511%1709%1757%1805%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1253%1356%14511%15512%1659%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 166 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
63.3%
Under 160
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
50.8%
Under 165
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
38.2%
Under 170
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Basquet Girona total 80.5
Over 80.5
77.6%
Under 80.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Basquet Girona total 84.5
Over 84.5
65.0%
Under 84.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Basquet Girona total 88.5
Over 88.5
50.2%
Under 88.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende total 76.5
Over 76.5
51.2%
Under 76.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende total 80.5
Over 80.5
36.3%
Under 80.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende total 84.5
Over 84.5
23.4%
Under 84.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-211%-181%-152%-123%-95%-66%-34%+08%+39%+610%+99%+129%+158%+186%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+42
0%-211%-153%-96%-38%+310%+99%+156%+214%+272%+331%+39
Margin from Basquet Girona's side (positive = Basquet Girona win). Pythia's expected margin is +11.5; Basquet Girona win by 1+ in 77% of simulations.
Spread Basquet Girona -3
GIR -3
76.1%
OOS +3
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
GIR
No market prices yet.
OOS
No market prices yet.
Spread Basquet Girona 0
GIR 0
81.3%
OOS 0
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
GIR
No market prices yet.
OOS
No market prices yet.
Spread Basquet Girona +3
GIR +3
86.2%
OOS -3
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
GIR
No market prices yet.
OOS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
Basquet GironaOostende
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#7
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A10/10
ACB
Oostende
#21
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
88.0Avg total
47.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.584.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.082.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)42.544.987.5-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.088.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.746.588.3-4.836%-
vs Similar (12)42.539.882.2+2.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.736.484.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Oostende) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
BNXT League
Basquet Girona
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/10
BNXT League
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A23/10
BNXT League
Zielona Gora
#19
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H31/10
BNXT League
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/11
BNXT League
Levice
#33
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.5Avg total
35.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.577.0+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)44.442.386.7+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.776.5-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.880.4-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.340.378.6-2.029%-
vs Similar (6)41.744.886.5-3.217%-
vs Weaker (17)43.538.081.5+5.571%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.5
59.6%
53.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
72.8%13.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oostendetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oostende: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.6
55.9%
53.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.5
32.3%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.011.6
68.2%
72.8%11.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basquet Girona
WWWLLWWWWL
Oostende
WLWWLWWLLW
#3
League position
#21
+1.0
Net rating
+0.6
100.3
Offensive rating
89.7
99.3
Defensive rating
89.1
56.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
32.3%
54.2%
Assist %
67.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 89.7Defence99.3 · 89.1Shooting56.6% · 52.3%3-point %35.5% · 32.3%Ball care17.0% · 18.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Basquet Girona   ■ Oostende
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basquet Girona wins
0
Oostende wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26Oostende v Basquet Girona76-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADinamo Bucharest92-84
07/11/26HBilbao92-87
03/11/26HLevice90-66
31/10/26ABasket Zaragoza78-107
28/10/26ASzolnoki Olaj79-81
25/10/26HJoventut Badalona101-87
20/10/26HZielona Gora109-68
18/10/26HLeyma Coruna110-90
13/10/26AOostende91-76
10/10/26ABreogan92-115
Oostendelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLevice71-70
08/11/26HAntwerp Giants71-82
04/11/26HSzolnoki Olaj86-77
31/10/26HLeuven Bears66-54
28/10/26AZielona Gora77-80
23/10/26ASpirou Charleroi70-65
20/10/26HDinamo Bucharest84-80
16/10/26ABrussels Basketball64-81
13/10/26HBasquet Girona76-91
10/10/26HZwolle98-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basquet Girona
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game91.395.387.3
Allowed / game75.069.780.3
Point differential+16.3+25.7+7.0
Avg total166.3165.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oostende
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game78.379.276.5
Allowed / game77.879.574.5
Point differential+0.5-0.2+2.0
Avg total156.2158.8151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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