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Bataan Risers vs Valenzuela City Darkhorse Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 90-56
35-13 17-17 20-13 18-13
Position#17
Record12-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#25
Record7-21
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game87.1
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bataan Risers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valenzuela City Darkhorse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bataan RisersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davao Tigers
#19
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H04/07
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H14/07
MPBL
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A29/07
MPBL
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H05/08
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
144-82
144
82
+62
A14/08
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H19/08
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
132-83
132
83
+49
H25/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A04/09
MPBL
Sarangani Marlins
#22
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H13/09
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H19/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
14-20
11-18
25-17
19-21
18-19
27-21
20-25
14-22
22-24
23-23
19-25
19-13
13-14
18-17
23-18
38-21
28-19
43-21
35-21
32-18
10-26
29-34
19-19
18-8
35-19
43-28
36-28
11-19
26-23
19-27
9-22
27-12
20-14
27-23
16-13
37-12
19-21
20-17
13-26
171.6Avg total
91.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.279.5162.7+3.743%
Season at home (17)83.175.2158.4+7.953%
Season away (11)83.486.1169.5-2.727%
Last 10 (10)91.979.7171.6+12.260%
Last 5 (5)93.281.8175.0+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.090.8161.8-19.80%
vs Similar (11)75.880.7156.5-4.918%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.275.0168.2+18.277%
This opponent (Valenzuela City Darkhorse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valenzuela City DarkhorsePhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abra Weavers
#1
L
76-132
76
132
-56
A05/07
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
90-114
90
114
-24
H11/07
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A15/07
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H30/07
MPBL
Batang Kankaloo
#5
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H09/08
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
113-105
113
105
+8
A18/08
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H23/08
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A30/08
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A10/09
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A16/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
13-29
24-30
25-42
13-27
31-16
25-36
21-35
25-20
19-20
8-13
12-16
17-23
22-23
29-20
20-18
17-23
15-18
9-16
14-12
24-25
23-29
34-25
32-26
21-28
21-20
23-13
28-36
13-13
19-19
25-22
26-30
10-15
13-26
19-32
32-27
33-13
32-33
29-22
28-36
181.6Avg total
85.8Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.287.1163.3-10.825%
Season at home (14)73.583.6157.1-10.121%
Season away (14)79.090.5169.5-11.529%
Last 10 (10)85.895.8181.6-10.030%
Last 5 (5)97.098.0195.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.786.8157.4-16.05%
vs Similar (5)79.682.0161.6-2.460%
vs Weaker (3)107.797.7205.3+10.0100%
This opponent (Bataan Risers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.4+8.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.4+8.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
Bataan RisersValenzuela City Darkhorse
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bataan RisersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davao Tigers
#19
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H04/07
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/07
MPBL
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/07
MPBL
Binan Tatak Gel
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H05/08
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
66-40
66
40
+26
A14/08
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/08
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H25/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A04/09
MPBL
Sarangani Marlins
#22
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H13/09
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H19/09
MPBL
79.8Avg total
44.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.837.278.0+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.534.875.3+5.853%-
Last 30 away (11)41.340.982.2+0.445%-
Last 10 (10)44.435.479.8+9.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.034.481.4+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.044.578.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (11)38.738.877.5-0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.733.578.2+11.269%-
This opponent (Valenzuela City Darkhorse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valenzuela City DarkhorseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abra Weavers
#1
L
27-60
27
60
-33
A05/07
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/07
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A15/07
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H30/07
MPBL
Batang Kankaloo
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/08
MPBL
Paranaque Patriots
#30
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A18/08
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H23/08
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A30/08
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A10/09
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A16/09
MPBL
84.6Avg total
39.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.341.276.5-5.932%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.440.374.6-5.929%-
Last 30 away (14)36.342.178.4-5.836%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.184.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.441.572.9-10.220%-
vs Similar (5)42.235.277.4+7.080%-
vs Weaker (3)50.348.799.0+1.733%-
This opponent (Bataan Risers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bataan Risers wins
0
Valenzuela City Darkhorse wins
No previous meetings.
Bataan Riserslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/25HBacolod Masskara89-76
13/09/25HSarangani Marlins90-62
04/09/25AQuezon Huskers65-91
25/08/25HParanaque Patriots132-83
19/08/25HPampanga Giant Lanterns90-97
14/08/25AManila Batang Quiapo144-82
05/08/25HBinan Tatak Gel73-62
29/07/25ANueva Ecija Vanguards78-94
14/07/25HMindoro Tamaraws84-86
04/07/25HDavao Tigers74-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/09/25AManila Batang Quiapo122-104
10/09/25AMindoro Tamaraws74-100
30/08/25ADavao Tigers83-84
23/08/25HCebu Classic93-97
18/08/25AParanaque Patriots113-105
09/08/25HBatang Kankaloo55-69
30/07/25HBulacan Kuyas88-84
15/07/25APampanga Giant Lanterns64-69
11/07/25HPangasinan Heatwaves90-114
05/07/25AAbra Weavers76-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bataan Risers
MPBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeWLWWW53%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %43%53%27%
Points / game83.283.183.4
Allowed / game79.575.286.1
Point differential+3.7+7.9-2.7
Avg total162.7158.4169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
MPBL 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLWLL21%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%21%29%
Points / game76.273.579.0
Allowed / game87.183.690.5
Point differential-10.8-10.1-11.5
Avg total163.3157.1169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2726196%90.369.4+20.9
2 Nueva Ecija Vanguards2826293%91.470.4+21.0
3 San Juan Knights2825389%82.970.2+12.6
4 Quezon Huskers2824486%83.067.5+15.5
5 Pasay Voyagers2921872%82.774.2+8.5
6 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2820871%85.276.8+8.4
7 Pangasinan Heatwaves2719870%85.976.0+9.8
8 Batang Kankaloo2719870%78.071.3+6.7
9 Batangas City2819968%78.470.1+8.3
10 Rizal Golden Coolers2718967%85.875.9+9.9
11 GenSan Warriors28171161%83.073.8+9.2
12 Basilan Viva Portmasters28171161%79.074.2+4.8
13 Zamboanga Sikat29171259%78.873.0+5.8
14 Binan Tatak Gel29171259%76.570.8+5.7
15 Mindoro Tamaraws27151256%81.779.3+2.4
16 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys29151452%79.474.5+4.9
17 Bataan Risers28121643%83.279.5+3.7
18 Pasig City28121643%77.681.4-3.7
19 Davao Tigers27111641%76.581.4-4.9
20 Cebu Classic29111838%74.879.9-5.1
21 Muntinlupa Cagers27101737%73.878.2-4.4
22 Sarangani Marlins28101836%80.788.4-7.6
23 Imus Braderhood2891932%75.884.4-8.6
24 Quezon City2772026%73.981.6-7.7
25 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2872125%76.287.1-10.8
26 Bacolod Masskara2842414%72.582.5-10.0
27 Marikina Verdiamonds2842414%74.588.1-13.6
28 Manila Batang Quiapo2832511%79.6108.3-28.7
29 Bulacan Kuyas2932610%71.796.3-24.6
30 Paranaque Patriots281274%70.997.8-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bataan Risers3517201890
Valenzuela City Darkhorse1317131356
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