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Baylor vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 62-51
23-30 39-21
Position#5
Record24-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game65.8
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Villanova
USA
Position#41
Record18-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Baylor v Villanova
12 Dec 2021
BAYL57
VILL36
27 Mar 2021
BAYL62
VILL51
24 Nov 2019
BAYL87
VILL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#52
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#352
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Kansas
#55
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A28/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#104
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H07/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#303
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Hartford
#103
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H19/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
42-35
32-37
45-35
30-33
–
35-31
46-50
42-31
39-39
34-32
54-41
36-34
38-34
30-35
44-48
37-21
42-34
42-29
34-34
149.7Avg total
78.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.865.8149.7+18.092%
Season at home (17)86.366.0152.3+20.394%
Season away (9)79.265.6144.8+13.789%
Last 10 (10)78.471.3149.7+7.180%
Last 5 (5)78.268.4146.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)67.572.0139.5-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)83.566.2149.6+17.389%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#195
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#48
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Uconn
#87
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H20/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#126
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H24/02
NCAA
Butler
#259
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Creighton
#48
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Providence
#185
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#187
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H20/03
NCAA
North Texas
#95
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H22/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
56-32
36-42
34-44
34-32
34-28
42-25
39-33
24-34
37-39
42-23
30-37
21-38
31-16
35-37
36-35
34-33
39-30
47-27
37-34
137.9Avg total
72.8Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.866.7142.5+9.175%
Season at home (13)78.665.9144.5+12.785%
Season away (11)72.567.6140.1+4.864%
Last 10 (10)72.865.1137.9+7.760%
Last 5 (5)70.462.0132.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (10)70.566.5137.0+4.070%
vs Weaker (20)77.266.3143.4+10.980%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.5+4.5
BaylorVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#52
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#352
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Kansas
#55
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A28/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#104
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#303
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H12/03
NCAA
Hartford
#103
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H19/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/03
NCAA
67.6Avg total
35.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.828.567.4+10.377%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.828.870.6+12.984%-
Last 30 away (11)33.728.061.7+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)35.931.767.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.266.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)26.027.053.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)39.828.668.4+11.182%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#195
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#48
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Uconn
#87
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H20/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#126
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Butler
#259
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Creighton
#48
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Providence
#185
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A06/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#187
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H20/03
NCAA
North Texas
#95
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H22/03
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.031.366.3+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.931.166.9+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)34.131.665.7+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)35.532.367.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.667.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (10)33.529.763.2+3.870%-
vs Weaker (20)35.832.167.9+3.665%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Baylor wins
0
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Baylor v Villanova87-78
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HWisconsin76-63
19/03/21HHartford79-55
12/03/21HOklahoma State74-83
11/03/21HKansas State74-68
07/03/21HTexas Tech88-73
05/03/21HOklahoma State81-70
02/03/21AWest Virginia94-89 OT
28/02/21AKansas58-71
24/02/21HIowa State77-72
03/02/21ATexas83-69
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/21HNorth Texas84-61
20/03/21HWinthrop73-63
11/03/21HGeorgetown71-72
06/03/21AProvidence52-54
04/03/21HCreighton72-60
28/02/21AButler61-73
24/02/21HSt. John's (N.Y.)81-58
20/02/21HUconn68-60
13/02/21ACreighton70-86
11/02/21HMarquette96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWLWW94%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %92%94%89%
Points / game83.886.379.2
Allowed / game65.866.065.6
Point differential+18.0+20.3+13.7
Avg total149.7152.3144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%76%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%11%
Villanova
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWLLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %75%85%64%
Points / game75.878.672.5
Allowed / game66.765.967.6
Point differential+9.1+12.7+4.8
Avg total142.5144.5140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%69%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor2624292%83.865.8+18.0
2 Houston2926390%77.457.9+19.6
3 Brigham Young2720774%78.168.6+9.5
4 Colorado3223972%73.464.0+9.4
5 Kansas3021970%73.067.0+6.0
6 Oklahoma State3021970%76.572.7+3.8
7 West Virginia29191066%77.372.0+5.3
8 Arizona2617965%75.468.6+6.8
9 Texas Tech29181162%72.563.2+9.3
10 Cincinnati23121152%68.972.1-3.2
11 Utah Utes25121348%72.169.8+2.3
12 UCF Knights23111248%67.269.4-2.2
13 TCU26121446%66.871.2-4.4
14 Arizona State25111444%74.377.1-2.8
15 Kansas State2992031%61.870.2-8.4
16 Iowa State242228%65.676.6-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Villanova2418675%75.866.7+9.1
2 Creighton3022873%76.367.7+8.6
3 Uconn2315865%71.764.6+7.2
4 Xavier2113862%74.870.2+4.6
5 St. John's (N.Y.)27161159%79.076.7+2.2
6 Seton Hall27141352%71.369.7+1.6
7 Providence26131350%69.869.7+0.1
8 Georgetown26131350%71.471.7-0.2
9 Marquette27131448%69.769.8-0.1
10 Butler25101540%63.568.7-5.2
11 DePaul1951426%65.871.9-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor233962
Villanova302151
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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