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BC Almaty 2 vs Arlans Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 104-57
34-15 30-14 27-18 13-10
Position#5
Record6-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game78.7
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · BC Almaty 2 v Arlans
08 Jan 2026
BC A104
ARLA57
06 Jan 2026
BC A113
ARLA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Almaty 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arlans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Almaty 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
44avg 71
A26/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
52-65
52
65
-13
no box
A08/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
96-68
96
68
+28
81avg 71
H09/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
78-56
78
56
+22
72avg 71
A10/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
99-39
99
39
+60
91avg 71
H11/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
80-65
80
65
+15
67avg 71
H12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 71
A04/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
89-94
89
94
-5
71avg 71
H05/12
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 71
H06/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
94avg 71
A07/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-13
14-23
17-21
9-20
19-16
14-13
10-16
31-22
32-12
16-21
17-13
15-17
16-16
27-15
20-8
24-13
21-11
29-6
25-9
20-17
29-5
21-21
10-22
21-22
16-21
23-24
24-25
29-19
16-23
15-32
29-20
32-29
33-16
24-24
24-28
25-24
29-16
18-9
20-11
155.6Avg total
84.7Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.977.1155.1+0.843%
Season at home (7)84.477.9162.3+6.657%
Season away (7)71.476.4147.9-5.029%
Last 10 (10)84.770.9155.6+13.860%
Last 5 (5)91.681.6173.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.092.8153.8-31.80%
vs Similar (4)92.584.8177.2+7.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.464.3152.7+24.186%
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
70avg 68
H13/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
83-59
83
59
+24
75avg 68
A14/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
62avg 68
H15/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
70-56
70
56
+14
58avg 68
A16/10
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
82avg 68
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
84-94
84
94
-10
79avg 68
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
45avg 68
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
97-113
97
113
-16
79avg 68
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 68
H07/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
9-17
28-17
34-24
28-16
19-10
18-10
18-23
15-21
8-18
21-17
24-23
27-14
11-13
15-9
17-20
29-12
16-14
18-22
16-18
22-19
20-27
21-31
21-17
11-19
15-20
18-22
12-15
29-32
16-33
24-24
28-24
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
156.1Avg total
77.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.478.7156.1-1.244%
Season at home (4)71.080.0151.0-9.025%
Season away (5)82.677.6160.2+5.060%
Last 10 (9)77.478.7156.1-1.244%
Last 5 (5)78.288.6166.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.086.6164.6-8.620%
vs Similar (1)75.094.0169.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (3)77.360.3137.7+17.0100%
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
BC Almaty 2Arlans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Almaty 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A26/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A08/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H09/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A10/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H11/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H05/12
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H06/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A07/01
Higher League
79.8Avg total
45.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.036.482.4+9.673%-
Last 30 at home (9)48.436.885.2+11.778%-
Last 30 away (21)45.036.381.2+8.771%-
Last 10 (10)45.034.879.8+10.270%-
Last 5 (5)50.038.488.4+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.053.085.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (4)46.541.888.2+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.532.580.9+16.086%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H13/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A14/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H15/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A16/10
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
76.1Avg total
36.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)36.839.376.1-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (4)28.541.069.5-12.50%-
Last 30 away (5)43.438.081.4+5.460%-
Last 10 (9)36.839.376.1-2.633%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.486.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.843.875.6-12.00%-
vs Similar (1)42.056.098.0-14.00%-
vs Weaker (3)43.326.369.7+17.0100%-
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Almaty 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Almaty 2: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.530.0
63.2%
49.5%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.0
28.6%
28.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws28.521.5
75.4%
63.9%21.5
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.5
57.3%
49.5%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.5
28.9%
28.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.515.5
63.3%
63.9%15.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Almaty 2
WWLLWWWWLL
Arlans
LLLLWWLWW
#5
League position
#11
+29.4
Net rating
-21.6
125.5
Offensive rating
106.0
96.1
Defensive rating
127.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.6%
3-point %
28.9%
54.1%
Assist %
46.9%
60%
Form (last 10/9)
44%

Profile

Offence125.5 · 106.0Defence96.1 · 127.6Shooting56.2% · 52.6%3-point %28.6% · 28.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.37Form (last 10/9)60% · 44%
■ BC Almaty 2   ■ Arlans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Almaty 2 wins
0
Arlans wins
DateGameScore
06/01/26BC Almaty 2 v Arlans113-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26AAiRom92-60
06/01/26HArlans113-97
05/12/25HAktobe89-94
04/12/25AAktobe84-92
12/11/25HCHAMP1ON80-65
11/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 299-39
10/11/25AAtyrau 278-56
09/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 296-68
08/11/25AAtyrau 252-65
26/10/25ACHAMP1ON64-73
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
06/01/26ABC Almaty 297-113
09/11/25HAktobe56-76
08/11/25AAktobe84-94
17/10/25AAiRom79-66
16/10/25AKaspiy Aktau 270-56
15/10/25HAtyrau 268-79
14/10/25AKaspiy Aktau 283-59
13/10/25HAtyrau 285-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Almaty 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game77.984.471.4
Allowed / game77.177.976.4
Point differential+0.8+6.6-5.0
Avg total155.1162.3147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game77.471.082.6
Allowed / game78.780.077.6
Point differential-1.2-9.0+5.0
Avg total156.1151.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%25%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1211192%84.668.8+15.8
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21814478%78.269.7+8.4
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
7 Arlans94544%77.478.7-1.2
8 BC Almaty 2146843%77.977.1+0.8
9 CHAMP1ON156940%69.973.1-3.1
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 Karaganda134931%77.881.5-3.8
12 Pavlodar1321115%53.787.3-33.6
13 Tobol Kostanay 21421214%70.184.9-14.8
14 AiRom101910%63.082.3-19.3
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Almaty 234302713104
Arlans1514181057
← all games of the day
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