BC Dnipro vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 51-55

22-15 11-13 11-14 7-13

Position#31

Record2-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game78.2

BC Dnipro

Aris 🏆

Position#14

Record0-1

FormLWLLL

Points / game70.0

Allowed / game79.0

FIBA Europe Cup

European cup2018

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Dnipro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aris winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC DniproLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lavrio

#20

73-82

-9

A20/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Lavrio

#20

76-58

+18

H26/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Alba Fehervar

94-78

+16

H03/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Avantazh-Politechnik

70-59

+11

H06/10

FBU Superleague

Alba Fehervar

67-90

-23

A09/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Khimik

78-73

H12/10

FBU Superleague

Odessa

90-85

H14/10

FBU Superleague

Lukoil Levski

65-83

-18

A17/10

FIBA Europe Cup

BK Zaporozhye

79-89

-10

A19/10

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

72-78

-6

A21/10

FBU Superleague

22-26

23-14

14-20

14-22

20-13

14-15

20-16

22-14

20-32

20-6

25-19

29-21

13-19

15-10

22-9

20-21

10-22

22-25

15-19

20-24

13-18

27-20

25-22

13-13

22-23

22-16

27-30

19-16

23-26

8-24

20-17

14-16

27-22

10-25

19-21

23-21

16-25

20-10

22-25

14-18

153.9Avg total

76.4Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	75.0	78.2	153.2	-3.2	40%
Season at home (2)	85.0	68.0	153.0	+17.0	100%
Season away (3)	68.3	85.0	153.3	-16.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	77.5	153.9	-1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	81.6	158.4	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	76.8	79.4	156.2	-2.6	60%
vs Similar (8)	73.5	77.0	150.5	-3.5	25%
vs Weaker (17)	83.6	73.8	157.4	+9.8	88%

This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

67-73

-6

A13/05

Basket League

Dinamo Tbilisi

#55

90-64

+26

A20/09

Champions League

Dinamo Tbilisi

#55

92-54

+38

H22/09

Champions League

Nizhny Novgorod

#18

65-63

A25/09

Champions League

Nizhny Novgorod

#18

51-62

-11

H28/09

Champions League

Promitheas

#10

65-86

-21

A03/10

Greek Cup

Lavrio

#13

73-70

A07/10

Basket League

Panathinaikos

70-84

-14

H13/10

Basket League

Kataja

#21

70-79

-9

H17/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Panionios

#12

66-70

-4

A21/10

Basket League

11-20

11-15

18-14

27-24

24-15

23-20

20-13

23-16

26-16

23-16

23-8

20-14

19-11

14-11

18-18

14-23

11-20

7-14

25-13

8-15

19-26

17-21

11-14

18-25

21-24

15-11

15-16

22-19

17-22

17-24

19-21

17-17

29-16

13-26

11-16

17-21

22-24

10-21

17-13

17-12

141.4Avg total

70.9Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	70.0	79.0	149.0	-9.0	0%
Season at home (1)	70.0	79.0	149.0	-9.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	70.9	70.5	141.4	+0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	77.8	146.6	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	66.1	78.0	144.1	-11.9	10%
vs Similar (10)	69.6	69.7	139.3	-0.1	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	73.2	67.2	140.4	+6.0	44%

This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BC DniproAris

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.2	24.2	44.4	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.7	18.8	41.4	+3.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	15.2	35.6	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.5	34.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.9	17.8	33.7	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.9	18.2	33.2	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	17.9	32.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	20.6	35.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	14.5	19.2	33.7	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.5	17.4	33.9	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	15.0	17.1	32.1	-2.1	44%	-

BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lavrio

#20

45-40

A20/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Lavrio

#20

34-28

H26/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Alba Fehervar

40-38

H03/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Avantazh-Politechnik

28-29

-1

H06/10

FBU Superleague

Alba Fehervar

32-47

-15

A09/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Khimik

40-38

H12/10

FBU Superleague

Odessa

44-39

H14/10

FBU Superleague

Lukoil Levski

31-50

-19

A17/10

FIBA Europe Cup

BK Zaporozhye

37-47

-10

A19/10

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

36-35

A21/10

FBU Superleague

75.8Avg total

36.7Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.1	76.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	33.5	74.4	+7.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	41.1	79.6	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	39.1	75.8	-2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.8	79.4	-4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.0	42.2	80.2	-4.2	60%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.8	34.2	75.9	+7.6	71%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

22-35

-13

A13/05

Basket League

Dinamo Tbilisi

#55

47-35

+12

A20/09

Champions League

Dinamo Tbilisi

#55

49-32

+17

H22/09

Champions League

Nizhny Novgorod

#18

33-22

+11

A25/09

Champions League

Nizhny Novgorod

#18

18-34

-16

H28/09

Champions League

Promitheas

#10

36-47

-11

A03/10

Greek Cup

Lavrio

#13

36-35

A07/10

Basket League

Panathinaikos

34-46

-12

H13/10

Basket League

Kataja

#21

42-42

H17/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Panionios

#12

32-45

-13

A21/10

Basket League

72.2Avg total

34.9Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	37.9	72.7	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.3	35.8	71.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.2	39.8	74.1	-5.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	37.3	72.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	32.7	40.5	73.2	-7.8	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	34.0	36.3	70.3	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	37.7	35.9	73.6	+1.8	56%	-

This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	18.1	38.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	80%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.9	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	15.9	32.7	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	14.3	30.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	14.6	32.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	16.0	30.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.3	18.5	33.8	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.3	15.6	32.9	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.6	13.4	32.0	+5.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.2	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.8	38.8	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.6	17.2	34.9	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	35%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.0	35.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.9	16.6	32.6	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.2	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.0	17.9	34.9	-0.9	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	38.4	77.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	38.5	79.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	38.2	75.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.4	78.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.6	60%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.9	37.0	73.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	33.9	68.3	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.5	30.9	63.4	+1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	36.5	72.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	33.2	69.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	34.8	67.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	32.8	36.2	69.0	-3.4	10%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.6	33.4	69.0	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	35.6	31.3	66.9	+4.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BC Dnipro wins

Aris wins

No previous meetings.

BC Dniprolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/18	A	Mykolaiv	72-78
19/10/18	A	BK Zaporozhye	79-89
17/10/18	A	Lukoil Levski	65-83
14/10/18	H	Odessa	90-85
12/10/18	H	Khimik	78-73
09/10/18	A	Alba Fehervar	67-90
06/10/18	H	Avantazh-Politechnik	70-59
03/10/18	H	Alba Fehervar	94-78
26/09/18	H	Lavrio	76-58
20/09/18	A	Lavrio	73-82

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/18	A	Panionios	66-70
17/10/18	H	Kataja	70-79
13/10/18	H	Panathinaikos	70-84
07/10/18	A	Lavrio	73-70
03/10/18	A	Promitheas	65-86
28/09/18	H	Nizhny Novgorod	51-62
25/09/18	A	Nizhny Novgorod	65-63
22/09/18	H	Dinamo Tbilisi	92-54
20/09/18	A	Dinamo Tbilisi	90-64
13/05/18	A	Kolossos Rhodes	67-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Dnipro

FIBA Europe Cup 2018

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	40%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	100%	0%
Points / game	75.0	85.0	68.3
Allowed / game	78.2	68.0	85.0
Point differential	-3.2	+17.0	-16.7
Avg total	153.2	153.0	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aris

FIBA Europe Cup 2018

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	70.0	70.0	-
Allowed / game	79.0	79.0	-
Point differential	-9.0	-9.0	-
Avg total	149.0	149.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	1	1	0	100%	100.0	64.0	+36.0
2	Sassari	3	3	0	100%	100.3	78.7	+21.7
3	Varese	1	1	0	100%	95.0	76.0	+19.0
4	Leiden	3	3	0	100%	72.0	58.3	+13.7
5	Lukoil Levski	2	2	0	100%	88.5	75.5	+13.0
6	s.Oliver Wurzburg	1	1	0	100%	82.0	69.0	+13.0
7	Saratov	1	1	0	100%	75.0	64.0	+11.0
8	Z-Mobile Prishtina	1	1	0	100%	92.0	82.0	+10.0
9	Donar Groningen	1	1	0	100%	90.0	81.0	+9.0
10	Karsiyaka	1	1	0	100%	86.0	77.0	+9.0
11	Minsk	1	1	0	100%	89.0	82.0	+7.0
12	Szolnoki Olaj	1	1	0	100%	79.0	76.0	+3.0
13	Alba Fehervar	4	3	1	75%	87.0	83.2	+3.8
14	Den Bosch	3	2	1	67%	78.3	70.0	+8.3
15	Balkan	3	2	1	67%	77.0	70.7	+6.3
16	Kataja	6	4	2	67%	82.2	76.8	+5.3
17	Istanbul BB	5	3	2	60%	87.6	74.0	+13.6
18	Nes Ziona	5	3	2	60%	83.0	77.0	+6.0
19	Cherkaski Mavpy	5	3	2	60%	80.4	74.6	+5.8
20	AEK Larnaca	2	1	1	50%	75.5	78.5	-3.0
21	Keravnos	2	1	1	50%	64.0	68.0	-4.0
22	Lavrio	2	1	1	50%	70.0	74.5	-4.5
23	Cluj Napoca	2	1	1	50%	83.5	89.5	-6.0
24	BC Lulea	2	1	1	50%	64.0	80.0	-16.0
25	BC Dnipro	5	2	3	40%	75.0	78.2	-3.2
26	Rilski Sportist	4	1	3	25%	79.8	86.5	-6.8
27	Szombathely	1	0	1	0%	76.0	79.0	-3.0
28	FC Porto	1	0	1	0%	92.0	96.0	-4.0
29	Belfius Mons	2	0	2	0%	80.0	86.0	-6.0
30	Aris	1	0	1	0%	70.0	79.0	-9.0
31	Spirou Charleroi	1	0	1	0%	77.0	86.0	-9.0
32	Leicester Riders	1	0	1	0%	78.0	90.0	-12.0
33	CSM Oradea	1	0	1	0%	69.0	82.0	-13.0
34	Sakarya BB	1	0	1	0%	56.0	69.0	-13.0
35	HydroTruck Radom	2	0	2	0%	67.0	80.5	-13.5
36	Kapfenberg Bulls	2	0	2	0%	59.5	73.5	-14.0
37	Sodertalje	2	0	2	0%	71.5	86.0	-14.5
38	Kongsberg Miners	2	0	2	0%	76.5	92.0	-15.5
39	Svitavy	2	0	2	0%	76.0	98.5	-22.5
40	Benfica	2	0	2	0%	79.0	105.5	-26.5
41	Pardubice	1	0	1	0%	58.0	91.0	-33.0
42	BC Steaua Bucuresti	1	0	1	0%	64.0	100.0	-36.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 42 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BC Dnipro	22	11	11	7	51
Aris	15	13	14	13	55

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BC Dnipro vs Aris Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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