BC Lulea face Uppsala in the Basketligan on 6 November 2026, with the model rating BC Lulea as the clear favourite because of their 7-2 record, 96.9 points per game and 83.1 allowed per game, a stark contrast to Uppsala's 4-4 record, 73.5 points per game and 83.8 allowed per game; BC Lulea's 4-0 home record and 100.5 points per game at home further reinforce this advantage. Uppsala, meanwhile, have won three of their last four road games, scoring 80.0 points per game and allowing 85.2, but their recent three losses, including a 51-92 defeat at home to Boras, show a struggle against stronger opponents. The teams have met ten times, with BC Lulea winning seven; the last meeting on 29 March 2026 ended 85-65 in favour of BC Lulea. Pythia projects a 93-74 score, giving BC Lulea a 95% chance to win and Uppsala a 5% chance, with a projected total of 166.9 points; the home team's line is -17.0 with a 59% chance of covering, while the total line is 168.5 with a 46% chance of the over, and there is a 1% chance of overtime. The next game will test Uppsala's resilience against a dominant BC Lulea attack.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 96.9 | 83.1 | 180.0 | +13.8 | 78% |
| Season at home (4) | 100.5 | 78.2 | 178.8 | +22.2 | 100% |
| Season away (5) | 94.0 | 87.0 | 181.0 | +7.0 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 96.1 | 85.4 | 181.5 | +10.7 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.8 | 80.6 | 174.4 | +13.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 83.4 | 91.6 | 175.0 | -8.1 | 29% |
| vs Similar (5) | 83.0 | 78.6 | 161.6 | +4.4 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 93.3 | 80.8 | 174.2 | +12.5 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 73.5 | 83.8 | 157.2 | -10.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 67.0 | 82.2 | 149.2 | -15.2 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 80.0 | 85.2 | 165.2 | -5.2 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.8 | 84.1 | 156.9 | -11.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.0 | 85.6 | 152.6 | -18.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 76.6 | 87.2 | 163.9 | -10.6 | 35% |
| vs Similar (5) | 71.6 | 77.0 | 148.6 | -5.4 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 89.4 | 80.6 | 170.0 | +8.8 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.7 | 40.1 | 85.8 | +5.6 | 63% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 46.6 | 38.3 | 84.9 | +8.2 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 44.7 | 42.1 | 86.9 | +2.6 | 64% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.1 | 42.1 | 90.2 | +6.0 | 60% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.0 | 38.8 | 85.8 | +8.2 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 42.9 | 40.6 | 83.4 | +2.3 | 43% | 57% |
| vs Similar (5) | 44.2 | 41.0 | 85.2 | +3.2 | 60% | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 47.2 | 39.7 | 86.9 | +7.6 | 72% | 72% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.4 | 44.7 | 84.1 | -5.3 | 33% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 37.6 | 43.0 | 80.6 | -5.4 | 29% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.0 | 46.2 | 87.2 | -5.2 | 38% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.7 | 45.1 | 81.8 | -8.4 | 10% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.6 | 44.8 | 80.4 | -9.2 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 38.6 | 47.2 | 85.9 | -8.6 | 29% | 53% |
| vs Similar (5) | 33.0 | 43.0 | 76.0 | -10.0 | 0% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 45.1 | 40.4 | 85.5 | +4.8 | 62% | 62% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Lulea (regulation) | 94.4% | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| BC Lulea -7.5 | 85.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 81.5 | 88.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 83.5 | 83.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 82.5 | 81.3% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| BC Lulea -12.5 | 73.6% | 1.40 | 1.44 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 84.5 | 86.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 85.5 | 78.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 80.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 75.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 77.5 | 94.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 73.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 79.5 | 91.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 82.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 86.5 | 89.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 72.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 74.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 76.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 80.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 81.5 | 78.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 88.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| BC Lulea over 78.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 84.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 79.5 | 72.3% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.32 | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 83.5 | 83.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 90.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 92.5 | 96.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 85.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 93.5 | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| BC Lulea win | 95.3% | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.03 | +5.6pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 94.5 | 97.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 91.5 | 95.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 89.5 | 94.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| BC Lulea -2.5 | 93.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea -13.5 | 70.6% | 1.41 | 1.52 | 1.40 | 1.32 | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea +2.5 | 96.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 86.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 100.5 | 76.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Lost |
| Under 192.5 | 94.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 87.5 | 91.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 87.5 | 72.2% | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 96.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 70.3% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| BC Lulea under 102.5 | 82.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Uppsala under 95.5 | 98.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 98.5 | 70.1% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | +3.9pp | Lost |
| Under 182.5 | 83.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Lost |
| Under 187.5 | 89.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 101.5 | 79.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Lost |
| Under 177.5 | 74.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Lost |
| Over 142.5 | 93.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 99.5 | 73.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Over 147.5 | 88.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 81.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Over 157.5 | 72.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.6 | 22.3 | 52.7% | 44.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.2 | 11.2 | 33.9% | 33.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.8 | 17.7 | 74.1% | 17.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.3 | 17.9 | 52.7% | 35.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.5 | 8.8 | 33.9% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.8 | 14.3 | 74.1% | 14.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 | Uppsala v BC Lulea | 65-85 |
| 27/03/26 | Uppsala v BC Lulea | 75-86 |
| 24/03/26 | BC Lulea v Uppsala | 80-88 |
| 22/03/26 | BC Lulea v Uppsala | 79-70 |
| 30/01/26 | BC Lulea v Uppsala | 91-61 |
| 15/12/25 | Uppsala v BC Lulea | 95-110 |
| 26/09/25 | BC Lulea v Uppsala | 86-99 |
| 20/03/25 | Uppsala v BC Lulea | 79-89 |
| 10/02/25 | BC Lulea v Uppsala | 74-81 |
| 27/12/24 | Uppsala v BC Lulea | 86-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Norrkoping | 92-80 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Umea | 96-93 OT |
| 23/10/26 | H | Hogsbo | 108-71 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Sodertalje | 82-85 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Nassjo | 91-74 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Boras | 113-81 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Sloga Uppsala | 108-77 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Jamtland | 87-96 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Koping Stars | 95-91 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Norrkoping | 89-106 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | H | Boras | 51-92 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Sodertalje | 57-104 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Umea | 53-71 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Nassjo | 80-74 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Koping Stars | 94-87 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Hogsbo | 92-88 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Sloga Uppsala | 89-76 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Jamtland | 72-78 |
| 29/03/26 | H | BC Lulea | 65-85 |
| 27/03/26 | H | BC Lulea | 75-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 78% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | LWLWW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Points / game | 96.9 | 100.5 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.1 | 78.2 | 87.0 |
| Point differential | +13.8 | +22.2 | +7.0 |
| Avg total | 180.0 | 178.8 | 181.0 |
| Over 167.5 | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Win by 10+ | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLL | 50% |
| Home | LWLL | 25% |
| Away | WWWL | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Points / game | 73.5 | 67.0 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.8 | 82.2 | 85.2 |
| Point differential | -10.2 | -15.2 | -5.2 |
| Avg total | 157.2 | 149.2 | 165.2 |
| Over 167.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 89.1 | 74.0 | +15.1 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 96.9 | 83.1 | +13.8 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 90.3 | 81.1 | +9.2 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 91.6 | 85.1 | +6.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.1 | 84.6 | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 73.5 | 83.8 | -10.2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.2 | 87.5 | -2.2 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 79.0 | 82.9 | -3.9 | |
| 9 | Hogsbo | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.6 | 89.6 | -7.0 |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 75.6 | 86.5 | -10.9 | |
| 11 | Sloga Uppsala | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 78.0 | 93.8 | -15.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 27 | 16 | 29 | 104 | |
| 22 | 22 | 20 | 15 | 79 |
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