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BC Lulea vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 108-71
33-20 21-10 37-17 17-24
Position#2
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.0
SwedenBasketligan· Lulea Energi Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · BC Lulea v Hogsbo
29 Jan 2027
LUL v HOGS
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
LUL108
HOGS71
08 Dec 2025
LUL97
HOGS73
03 Jan 2025
LUL85
HOGS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 84
A10/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
81avg 84
H13/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
64avg 84
H15/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
89-106
89
106
-17
81avg 84
A18/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 84
H25/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
73avg 84
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
W
108-77
108
77
+31
106avg 84
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
107avg 84
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
86avg 84
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 84
A16/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-19
11-27
26-22
23-24
12-25
29-26
24-22
26-8
24-13
9-34
17-17
24-19
20-31
18-17
27-39
33-29
20-20
22-22
20-20
21-30
21-20
17-19
28-27
29-11
27-18
30-19
22-29
26-25
25-24
22-16
40-16
21-16
28-14
25-13
17-31
21-26
22-20
17-22
22-17
177.4Avg total
90.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.084.0180.0+12.067%
Season at home (3)98.080.7178.7+17.3100%
Season away (3)94.087.3181.3+6.733%
Last 10 (10)90.886.6177.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)96.282.6178.8+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.491.6175.0-8.129%
vs Similar (6)83.280.3163.5+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)93.180.1173.2+13.076%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
80-115
80
115
-35
58avg 75
A20/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 75
A06/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 75
H10/03
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 75
H14/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
69avg 75
A17/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
66avg 75
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 75
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 75
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
85avg 75
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 75
H16/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-31
24-29
24-26
20-29
27-33
11-30
13-27
24-20
23-20
18-32
22-25
16-16
33-20
9-19
22-17
17-21
14-21
15-12
18-24
27-28
20-18
27-28
28-16
21-28
25-18
22-23
23-28
18-23
17-17
23-25
28-15
17-24
19-29
17-26
26-12
23-26
17-26
21-27
17-15
20-21
174.3Avg total
81.8Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.889.0174.8-3.240%
Season at home (3)85.386.7172.0-1.367%
Season away (2)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.892.5174.3-10.730%
Last 5 (5)85.889.0174.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.594.3172.8-15.811%
vs Similar (9)90.890.3181.1+0.456%
vs Weaker (3)89.789.3179.0+0.333%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
BC LuleaHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H15/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/10
Basketligan
87.6Avg total
46.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.486.1+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.639.285.8+7.465%-
Last 30 away (13)44.542.086.5+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.187.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.889.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.940.683.4+2.343%-
vs Similar (6)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.540.087.5+7.576%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A20/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A06/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/03
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A17/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H16/10
Basketligan
87.8Avg total
39.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.047.788.7-6.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.344.785.0-4.444%-
Last 30 away (14)41.751.292.9-9.514%-
Last 10 (10)39.448.487.8-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.489.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.249.187.2-10.922%-
vs Similar (9)46.246.292.4+0.044%-
vs Weaker (3)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.5
53.2%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.7
40.7%
33.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.5
79.9%
74.1%15.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.6
50.5%
52.7%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.018.6
74.4%
74.1%18.6
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Lulea
LWWWLWLWLL
Hogsbo
LLWLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#9
+6.0
Net rating
-15.3
104.2
Offensive rating
90.6
98.2
Defensive rating
105.9
56.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.42
40.7%
3-point %
33.6%
51.2%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 90.6Defence98.2 · 105.9Shooting56.3% · 50.4%3-point %40.7% · 33.6%Ball care12.7% · 16.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ BC Lulea   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BC Lulea wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
16/02/26Hogsbo v BC Lulea78-92
08/12/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo97-73
03/11/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea66-106
07/03/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea80-107
03/01/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo85-67
08/10/24Hogsbo v BC Lulea90-81
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26ASodertalje82-85
13/10/26HNassjo91-74
09/10/26ABoras113-81
02/10/26HSloga Uppsala108-77
29/09/26AJamtland87-96
25/09/26HKoping Stars95-91
18/04/26ANorrkoping89-106
15/04/26HNorrkoping76-72
13/04/26HNorrkoping88-97
10/04/26ANorrkoping79-87
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HJamtland75-89
13/10/26ASodertalje85-93
09/10/26HNassjo85-81
02/10/26AUppsala88-92
29/09/26HBoras96-90
17/03/26AJamtland74-85
14/03/26HUmea81-77
10/03/26HUppsala79-93
06/03/26ASodertalje75-110
20/02/26ABoras80-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Lulea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game96.098.094.0
Allowed / game84.080.787.3
Point differential+12.0+17.3+6.7
Avg total180.0178.7181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game85.885.386.5
Allowed / game89.086.792.5
Point differential-3.2-1.3-6.0
Avg total174.8172.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje770100%87.076.4+10.6
2 Norrkoping54180%96.483.6+12.8
3 Uppsala54180%85.480.6+4.8
4 BC Lulea64267%96.084.0+12.0
5 Jamtland64267%87.382.2+5.2
6 Boras63350%86.789.7-3.0
7 Hogsbo52340%85.889.0-3.2
8 Nassjo62433%79.283.0-3.8
9 Koping Stars61517%84.790.2-5.5
10 Sloga Uppsala5050%78.295.4-17.2
11 Umea5050%72.890.6-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Lulea33213717108
Hogsbo2010172471
← all games of the day
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