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BC Nokia vs Honka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-82 (OT)
15-11 30-17 12-22 17-24 14-8
Position#5
Record2-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game85.3
FinlandKorisliigaRound 8· AGCO Power Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · BC Nokia v Honka
12 Feb 2025
NOK95
HON84
05 Nov 2024
NOK88
HON82
18 Feb 2023
NOK74
HON67
06 Dec 2022
NOK76
HON72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Honka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
88-65
88
65
+23
82avg 78
H21/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 78
A24/05
Korisliiga
Rilski Sportist
#17
L
64-71
64
71
-7
49avg 78
A17/09
Champions League
Karhu Basket
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 78
H04/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
70avg 78
A09/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 78
H12/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
87-96
87
96
-9
85avg 78
A19/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
57avg 78
A22/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 78
H25/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
78-64
78
64
+14
72avg 78
A01/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
34-20
15-16
19-14
20-21
15-23
15-12
26-19
17-21
15-21
16-15
16-14
20-22
20-23
18-16
13-18
22-18
15-31
19-19
18-24
26-34
15-23
22-21
18-20
19-24
17-32
33-18
18-22
17-14
19-25
7-14
21-24
20-20
15-33
18-14
24-8
21-15
12-13
24-14
21-22
155.2Avg total
76.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.083.0159.0-7.029%
Season at home (3)76.384.0160.3-7.733%
Season away (4)75.882.2158.0-6.525%
Last 10 (10)76.079.2155.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)77.482.0159.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.774.2149.9+1.456%
vs Similar (11)79.986.4166.3-6.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.481.4166.9+4.067%
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
93-67
93
67
+26
96avg 86
H18/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 86
A21/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
94-63
94
63
+31
96avg 86
H25/04
I Divisioona A
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
80avg 86
H05/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 86
A08/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
73avg 86
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
63-85
63
85
-22
47avg 86
A19/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
81avg 86
H22/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 86
A26/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 86
H01/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
21-16
24-16
16-16
23-28
16-8
24-17
13-19
20-19
26-17
24-14
24-13
23-16
13-28
20-15
23-20
21-20
27-18
20-18
23-21
14-21
24-23
24-22
20-30
17-27
20-23
17-23
9-12
14-19
34-24
22-24
17-20
30-18
15-21
24-18
18-22
14-21
24-16
20-21
7-20
163.6Avg total
83.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.085.3167.3-3.343%
Season at home (4)83.289.0172.2-5.825%
Season away (3)80.380.3160.7+0.067%
Last 10 (10)83.779.9163.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)77.886.6164.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.092.0171.0-13.00%
vs Similar (4)84.280.2164.5+4.075%
vs Weaker (23)91.368.8160.0+22.591%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
BC NokiaHonka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H21/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A24/05
Korisliiga
Rilski Sportist
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/09
Champions League
Karhu Basket
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A09/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H12/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A19/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H25/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A01/11
Korisliiga
82.7Avg total
37.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.280.4-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.282.0+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.378.7-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.882.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.246.682.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.738.976.6-1.244%-
vs Similar (11)40.546.787.3-6.218%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.736.876.4+2.978%-
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H18/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/04
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H25/04
I Divisioona A
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A08/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A19/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/11
Korisliiga
83.0Avg total
42.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.636.781.3+7.883%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.137.182.2+8.076%-
Last 30 away (13)43.836.280.1+7.692%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.283.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.045.786.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (4)41.839.581.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker (23)45.535.180.6+10.491%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.6
50.4%
51.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
34.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.011.1
74.0%
73.9%11.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.9
49.3%
51.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.9
30.2%
34.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.217.4
69.0%
73.9%17.4
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
WWLLLLLLWW
Honka
LWLLLWWWWW
#5
League position
#10
-4.8
Net rating
+5.3
99.6
Offensive rating
105.0
104.4
Defensive rating
99.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.7%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.0%
3-point %
30.2%
56.6%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 105.0Defence104.4 · 99.7Shooting48.9% · 47.7%3-point %31.0% · 30.2%Ball care18.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.1% · 37.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Honka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BC Nokia wins
0
Honka wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23BC Nokia v Honka74-67
27/01/23Honka v BC Nokia63-79
06/12/22BC Nokia v Honka76-72
12/10/22Honka v BC Nokia68-79
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24AKobrat78-64
25/10/24HHelsinki Seagulls77-75
22/10/24ABisons Loimaa64-77
19/10/24APyrinto Tampere87-96
12/10/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-98
09/10/24AKataja74-92
04/10/24HKarhu Basket71-79
17/09/24ARilski Sportist64-71
24/05/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-75
21/05/24HHelsinki Seagulls88-65
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HPyrinto Tampere65-78
26/10/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-79
22/10/24HKataja92-95 OT
19/10/24AKarhu Basket63-85
11/10/24HSalon Vilpas82-96
08/10/24AKouvot Kouvola91-77
05/10/24HKTP Kotka Basket94-87 OT
25/04/24HJyvaskyla94-63
21/04/24AJyvaskyla76-72
18/04/24HJyvaskyla93-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game76.076.375.8
Allowed / game83.084.082.2
Point differential-7.0-7.7-6.5
Avg total159.0160.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Honka
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game82.083.280.3
Allowed / game85.389.080.3
Point differential-3.3-5.8+0.0
Avg total167.3172.2160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %29%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kataja76186%93.982.6+11.3
2 Karhu Basket76186%84.174.9+9.3
3 Helsinki Seagulls75271%92.381.3+11.0
4 Bisons Loimaa74357%79.476.3+3.1
5 Salon Vilpas74357%80.381.4-1.1
6 Pyrinto Tampere73443%80.082.7-2.7
7 Honka73443%82.085.3-3.3
8 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki73443%76.483.0-6.6
9 Kouvot Kouvola73443%79.386.3-7.0
10 Kobrat72529%79.484.1-4.7
11 BC Nokia72529%76.083.0-7.0
12 KTP Kotka Basket71614%86.088.3-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
BC Nokia153012171488
Honka11172224882
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