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Beijing vs Xinjiang Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
ChinaCBARound 38· Cadillac Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beijing v Xinjiang
17 Mar 2027
BEIJ v XINJ
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
BEIJ111
XINJ84
15 Nov 2024
BEIJ79
XINJ85
22 Oct 2024
BEIJ98
XINJ89
17 Dec 2023
BEIJ88
XINJ103
17 Mar 2023
BEIJ100
XINJ97
01 Mar 2022
BEIJ106
XINJ65
06 Mar 2021
BEIJ82
XINJ66
25 Dec 2019
BEIJ87
XINJ88
12 Dec 2018
BEIJ113
XINJ111
06 Feb 2018
BEIJ111
XINJ95
23 Dec 2016
BEIJ101
XINJ95
21 Feb 2016
BEIJ94
XINJ103
15 Feb 2016
BEIJ105
XINJ117
31 Oct 2015
BEIJ97
XINJ103
21 Jan 2015
BEIJ115
XINJ106
28 Mar 2014
BEIJ80
XINJ83
26 Mar 2014
BEIJ94
XINJ88
23 Mar 2014
BEIJ81
XINJ92
27 Dec 2013
BEIJ92
XINJ97
20 Jan 2013
BEIJ106
XINJ97
02 Dec 2011
BEIJ99
XINJ97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beijing win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeijing
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
57avg 87
H20/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
85-99
85
99
-14
71avg 87
H22/05
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A18/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H20/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
120-62
120
62
+58
no box
H22/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
117-73
117
73
+44
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
no box
A27/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
105-86
105
86
+19
no box
A29/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
114-76
114
76
+38
no box
H01/11
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
120-88
120
88
+32
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
14-22
14-18
23-15
23-15
28-20
11-39
23-25
16-25
21-21
18-12
29-24
24-25
34-19
20-19
18-15
32-18
30-11
29-12
29-21
32-16
32-19
30-18
23-20
25-15
30-22
26-34
22-21
26-18
25-31
27-17
27-20
31-24
26-21
30-15
27-16
32-16
27-26
28-30
33-16
182.7Avg total
101.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)107.479.6187.0+27.8100%
Season at home (5)113.475.4188.8+38.0100%
Season away (3)97.386.7184.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)101.081.7182.7+19.380%
Last 5 (5)111.883.0194.8+28.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.088.6171.6-5.620%
vs Similar (8)90.184.8174.9+5.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)100.980.4181.3+20.594%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 82
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 82
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
BeijingXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H20/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H22/05
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H20/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
62-29
62
29
+33
H22/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A27/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A29/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H01/11
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H03/11
CBA
93.3Avg total
52.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.142.789.9+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.341.491.7+8.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.044.188.1-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)52.341.093.3+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)57.241.698.8+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
vs Similar (8)44.544.188.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)50.841.492.1+9.465%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.924.4
59.7%
53.8%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.3
38.9%
35.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
74.8%15.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beijing
WWWWWWWWLL
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
#1
League position
#15
+16.9
Net rating
-3.7
107.5
Offensive rating
102.0
90.6
Defensive rating
105.7
59.1%
Effective FG%
55.3%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.9%
3-point %
34.7%
59.9%
Assist %
69.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 102.0Defence90.6 · 105.7Shooting59.1% · 55.3%3-point %38.9% · 34.7%Ball care13.1% · 11.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Beijing   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Beijing wins
5
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
26/12/25Xinjiang v Beijing85-89
15/12/25Beijing v Xinjiang111-84
30/12/24Xinjiang v Beijing108-97
15/11/24Beijing v Xinjiang79-85
22/10/24Beijing v Xinjiang98-89
24/03/24Xinjiang v Beijing94-91
17/12/23Beijing v Xinjiang88-103
17/03/23Beijing v Xinjiang100-97
01/03/23Xinjiang v Beijing0-20
07/10/22Xinjiang v Beijing74-65
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HNingbo Rockets120-88
01/11/26HZhejiang Guangsha114-76
29/10/26AQingdao105-86
27/10/26AShandong103-92
25/10/26HGuangzhou117-73
22/10/26HShenzhen120-62
20/10/26HGuangdong96-78
18/10/26AJilin84-82
22/05/26HShanghai85-99
20/05/26HShanghai66-81
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beijing
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game107.4113.497.3
Allowed / game79.675.486.7
Point differential+27.8+38.0+10.7
Avg total187.0188.8184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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