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Belgium vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 58-53
11-14 8-12 21-13 18-14
Position#18
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game60.0
Belgium 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Dome Charleroi
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#24
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
A04/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
63-78
63
78
-15
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#36
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
A07/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
no box
A10/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#50
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
54-82
54
82
-28
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
66avg 66
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
18-20
18-31
20-8
15-11
17-22
25-21
26-19
6-20
24-17
17-22
16-19
20-19
21-11
25-30
23-20
19-24
22-20
19-19
12-25
13-23
14-20
13-17
12-26
19-19
15-12
21-27
15-14
19-16
23-10
20-13
26-20
14-22
17-23
14-19
9-18
25-13
15-23
24-18
11-6
147.0Avg total
71.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.060.0135.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.060.0135.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.675.4147.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)67.871.8139.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.870.6141.4+0.260%
vs Similar (10)73.277.2150.4-4.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.167.2147.3+12.980%
This opponent (Spain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 62
H22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
14-15
19-16
15-21
21-21
22-22
18-16
23-13
22-19
21-14
19-15
18-13
16-13
13-20
15-19
24-20
24-17
29-17
20-13
21-17
21-22
29-20
14-17
32-19
16-17
27-17
21-18
21-13
16-17
16-12
26-18
11-27
21-21
27-17
25-23
12-27
14-23
23-17
20-17
18-22
156.1Avg total
82.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.473.7156.1+8.760%
Last 5 (5)82.076.8158.8+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.387.3169.7-5.00%
vs Similar (3)79.378.3157.7+1.033%
vs Weaker (24)87.071.9158.9+15.292%
This opponent (Belgium) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
BelgiumSpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#24
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/09
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#36
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A07/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#50
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
71.2Avg total
35.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.574.1+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.134.871.9+2.364%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.176.0-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.271.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.271.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.839.672.4-6.820%-
vs Similar (10)36.938.875.7-1.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.534.073.5+5.573%-
This opponent (Spain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A11/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A23/02
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/02
EuroBasket
77.3Avg total
41.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.835.378.1+7.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.235.578.7+7.671%-
Last 30 away (13)42.235.077.2+7.285%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.977.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.678.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)43.039.782.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (3)38.334.372.7+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)43.334.978.2+8.475%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.0
42.1%
50.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws13.011.0
84.6%
71.4%11.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.0
42.1%
50.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws34.022.0
64.7%
71.4%22.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium
WLWLLLWLWL
Spain
LLLWWWLWWW
#18
League position
#22
+19.9
Net rating
-2.8
111.8
Offensive rating
105.1
91.9
Defensive rating
107.9
47.7%
Effective FG%
42.7%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
65.4%
12.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
41.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.55
37.0%
3-point %
29.2%
50.0%
Assist %
78.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 105.1Defence91.9 · 107.9Shooting47.7% · 42.7%3-point %37.0% · 29.2%Ball care12.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 41.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.55Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Belgium   ■ Spain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Belgium wins
0
Spain wins
DateGameScore
04/09/22Spain v Belgium73-83
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24ASlovakia75-60
27/02/23HTurkey54-82
24/02/23AGreat Britain88-59
14/11/22HGreece70-72
11/11/22ATurkey52-86
10/09/22ASlovenia72-88
07/09/22ABulgaria89-80
06/09/22HTurkey63-78
04/09/22ASpain83-73
03/09/22AMontenegro70-76
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HLatvia75-79
03/09/23HCanada85-88
01/09/23HLatvia69-74
30/08/23AIran85-65
28/08/23ABrazil96-78
26/08/23HIvory Coast94-64
26/02/23HItaly68-72
23/02/23AIceland80-61
14/11/22HNetherlands84-72
11/11/22AItaly88-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game60.0-60.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total135.0-135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Spain
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Belgium110100%75.060.0+15.0
5 Slovenia110100%87.073.0+14.0
6 Sweden110100%84.070.0+14.0
7 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
10 Italy110100%87.080.0+7.0
11 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
12 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
13 Israel110100%72.070.0+2.0
14 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
15 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
16 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
17 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
18 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
19 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
20 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
21 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
22 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
23 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
24 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
31 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
32 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
33 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
34 Spain1010%75.079.0-4.0
35 Hungary1010%65.070.0-5.0
36 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
39 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
40 Montenegro1010%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium118211858
Spain1412131453
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