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Belgium W vs Italy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 72-64
26-22 17-17 11-15 18-10
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game53.8
vs
Position#8
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game55.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3
Women2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A24/09
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
85-55
85
55
+30
H26/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A27/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H29/09
World Cup Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
112-41
112
41
+71
H24/11
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#25
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H27/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
69-44
69
44
+25
A09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
102-43
102
43
+59
A12/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
108-59
108
59
+49
H15/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
84-41
84
41
+43
A16/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-11
19-20
18-17
19-17
17-12
20-10
25-17
23-16
14-17
14-18
17-19
10-27
16-26
21-26
11-20
21-14
34-3
23-13
24-10
31-15
27-12
26-14
20-18
27-16
22-9
12-10
15-13
20-12
28-5
18-13
23-14
33-11
28-18
33-16
24-9
23-16
20-11
19-15
25-7
20-8
142.7Avg total
85.2Scored
57.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.553.8146.2+38.888%
Season at home (4)101.053.8154.8+47.2100%
Season away (4)84.053.8137.8+30.275%
Last 10 (10)85.257.5142.7+27.780%
Last 5 (5)92.649.4142.0+43.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.181.3151.4-11.114%
vs Similar (3)71.056.7127.7+14.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.559.6145.1+25.990%
This opponent (Italy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#20
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#15
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H21/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A11/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H14/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
78-29
78
29
+49
H24/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H27/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
109-51
109
51
+58
A09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A12/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H15/06
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A16/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
20-11
17-23
19-20
11-19
9-11
17-15
9-19
23-26
10-7
10-23
26-10
23-14
17-12
18-15
24-7
25-10
26-12
19-4
8-3
19-9
23-15
24-18
15-18
24-13
25-12
25-18
35-8
19-21
17-12
20-18
23-12
17-17
16-15
17-11
8-18
30-18
17-13
20-14
21-23
134.4Avg total
76.7Scored
57.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.555.8136.2+24.888%
Season at home (4)74.849.5124.2+25.275%
Season away (4)86.262.0148.2+24.2100%
Last 10 (10)76.757.7134.4+19.080%
Last 5 (5)83.060.6143.6+22.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (17)77.660.2137.8+17.482%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.4+9.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.4+9.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
Belgium WItaly W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A24/09
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H26/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H29/09
World Cup Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
57-16
57
16
+41
H24/11
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#25
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H27/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
46-18
46
18
+28
A12/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H15/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/06
European Championship Women
70.2Avg total
42.3Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.932.673.5+8.367%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.831.375.1+12.577%-
Last 30 away (17)38.733.672.4+5.159%-
Last 10 (10)42.327.970.2+14.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.624.671.2+22.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.140.075.1-4.929%-
vs Similar (3)41.328.770.0+12.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.930.673.5+12.280%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#20
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#15
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H21/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A11/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H24/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/06
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A16/06
European Championship Women
67.2Avg total
39.2Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)39.829.869.6+9.983%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.927.765.6+10.280%-
Last 30 away (8)42.132.574.6+9.688%-
Last 10 (10)39.228.067.2+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.429.070.4+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (17)39.829.469.2+10.482%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belgium W wins
0
Italy W wins
No previous meetings.
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/23ACzech Republic W84-41
15/06/23HIsrael W108-59
12/02/23ANorth Macedonia W102-43
09/02/23AGermany W69-44
27/11/22HBosnia & Herzegovina W100-60
24/11/22HNorth Macedonia W112-41
29/09/22HAustralia W69-86
27/09/22AChina W55-81
26/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina W85-55
24/09/22APuerto Rico W68-65
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/23AIsrael W88-68
15/06/23HCzech Republic W58-61
12/02/23ASwitzerland W79-63
09/02/23ALuxembourg W109-51
27/11/22HSlovakia W81-60
24/11/22HSwitzerland W78-29
14/11/21HLuxembourg W82-48
11/11/21ASlovakia W69-66
21/06/21HSweden W46-64
20/06/21HGreece W77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium W
European Championship Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game92.5101.084.0
Allowed / game53.853.853.8
Point differential+38.8+47.2+30.2
Avg total146.2154.8137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy W
European Championship Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game80.574.886.2
Allowed / game55.849.562.0
Point differential+24.8+25.2+24.2
Avg total136.2124.2148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W660100%85.260.8+24.3
2 Russia W220100%81.060.5+20.5
3 Belarus W220100%74.566.0+8.5
4 Belgium W87188%92.553.8+38.8
5 Spain W87188%84.253.0+31.2
6 Italy W87188%80.555.8+24.8
7 France W87188%81.567.4+14.1
8 Turkey W86275%81.560.5+21.0
9 Greece W86275%70.564.9+5.6
10 Latvia W75271%70.165.9+4.3
11 Czech Republic W75271%63.762.0+1.7
12 Poland W64267%85.754.8+30.8
13 Germany W96367%67.860.1+7.7
14 Ukraine W64267%77.076.0+1.0
15 Hungary W85362%82.860.5+22.2
16 Montenegro W85362%67.467.8-0.4
17 Slovakia W84450%72.468.1+4.2
18 Portugal W63350%63.062.2+0.8
19 Lithuania W63350%68.569.0-0.5
20 Croatia W42250%75.079.0-4.0
21 Great Britain W94544%72.063.9+8.1
22 Denmark W52340%69.267.8+1.4
23 Netherlands W52340%65.667.8-2.2
24 Slovenia W83538%82.064.5+17.5
25 Israel W62433%67.077.0-10.0
26 Bosnia & Herzegovina W62433%68.783.7-15.0
27 Austria W41325%55.570.0-14.5
28 Estonia W61517%56.376.7-20.3
29 Luxembourg W61517%58.380.5-22.2
30 Switzerland W61517%48.872.5-23.7
31 Romania W61517%50.880.3-29.5
32 North Macedonia W61517%50.784.0-33.3
33 Iceland W61517%53.789.2-35.5
34 Sweden W4040%65.076.5-11.5
35 Ireland W4040%56.871.2-14.5
36 Finland W6060%61.378.3-17.0
37 Bulgaria W4040%68.589.5-21.0
38 Albania W6060%40.2125.0-84.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium W2617111872
Italy W2217151064
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