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Italy W vs Greece W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-67
21-13 20-11 17-23 19-20
Position#7
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game66.6
Italy W 🏆
vs
Position#20
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game66.9
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3
Women2021
Meetings · Italy W v Greece W
09 Nov 2023
ITAL76
GREE67
20 Jun 2021
ITAL77
GREE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H14/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A17/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
90-68
90
68
+22
A13/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H04/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
A17/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H18/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
10-17
12-11
11-18
24-18
23-20
17-13
18-21
27-15
24-16
12-17
27-20
16-19
19-13
15-15
19-16
26-13
23-11
23-19
29-12
15-14
25-21
23-16
18-15
19-19
20-18
18-15
17-22
25-17
9-10
25-17
18-17
145.8Avg total
79.1Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.166.6145.8+12.575%
Season at home (4)77.861.0138.8+16.875%
Season away (4)80.572.2152.8+8.275%
Last 10 (8)79.166.6145.8+12.575%
Last 5 (5)81.866.2148.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.963.9142.7+15.086%
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan W
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H01/10
World Championship Women
Canada W
#15
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H02/10
World Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A14/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H17/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#22
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H14/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
95-58
95
58
+37
A04/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#22
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A06/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A17/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
51-85
51
85
-34
H18/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
15-15
20-19
13-16
21-9
11-12
13-17
26-17
19-18
11-18
14-18
20-16
28-12
26-6
20-17
15-19
21-12
11-14
16-22
25-18
20-28
16-10
18-26
16-13
22-17
21-14
28-17
24-10
20-11
17-22
15-9
21-13
16-24
13-20
18-13
8-13
13-17
3-23
21-25
14-20
135.3Avg total
70.0Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.266.9138.1+4.450%
Season at home (4)70.870.5141.2+0.250%
Season away (4)71.863.2135.0+8.550%
Last 10 (10)70.065.3135.3+4.750%
Last 5 (5)68.869.0137.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.282.2143.3-21.00%
vs Similar (4)68.864.5133.2+4.250%
vs Weaker (6)75.059.5134.5+15.583%
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
Italy WGreece W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H14/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A13/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H04/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H18/06
European Championship Women
72.6Avg total
40.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)40.532.172.6+8.488%-
Last 30 at home (4)38.029.867.8+8.275%-
Last 30 away (4)43.034.577.5+8.5100%-
Last 10 (8)40.532.172.6+8.488%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.070.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.731.472.1+9.386%-
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan W
#12
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/10
World Championship Women
Canada W
#15
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H02/10
World Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A14/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
54-18
54
18
+36
H17/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#22
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H14/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A04/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#22
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A17/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
16-40
16
40
-24
H18/06
European Championship Women
65.0Avg total
33.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)32.734.567.2-1.844%-
Last 30 at home (9)32.635.468.0-2.933%-
Last 30 away (7)32.933.366.1-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)33.531.565.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.269.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.343.771.0-16.30%-
vs Similar (4)33.231.865.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker (6)37.727.264.8+10.583%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy W wins
0
Greece W wins
No previous meetings.
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/21HMontenegro W77-61
17/06/21ASerbia W81-86 OT
06/02/21HRomania W81-66
04/02/21HDenmark W101-55
15/11/20ACzech Republic W69-63
13/11/20ARomania W90-68
17/11/19ADenmark W82-72
14/11/19HCzech Republic W52-62
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/21HSerbia W51-85
17/06/21AMontenegro W55-70
06/02/21ABulgaria W73-55
04/02/21AIceland W95-58
14/11/20HSlovenia W70-77
12/11/20HBulgaria W73-66
17/11/19HIceland W89-54
14/11/19ASlovenia W64-70
02/10/10HCanada W71-55
01/10/10HJapan W59-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy W
European Championship Women 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game79.177.880.5
Allowed / game66.661.072.2
Point differential+12.5+16.8+8.2
Avg total145.8138.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Greece W
European Championship Women 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.270.871.8
Allowed / game66.970.563.2
Point differential+4.4+0.2+8.5
Avg total138.1141.2135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W220100%88.057.0+31.0
2 Serbia W880100%89.663.1+26.5
3 Belgium W98189%75.059.9+15.1
4 Slovenia W98189%77.866.8+11.0
5 Russia W87188%82.957.4+25.5
6 Bosnia & Herzegovina W97278%74.463.3+11.1
7 Italy W86275%79.166.6+12.5
8 Belarus W75271%68.356.6+11.7
9 Ukraine W64267%77.571.5+6.0
10 Czech Republic W85362%71.662.9+8.8
11 Latvia W53260%78.264.2+14.0
12 Sweden W74357%69.360.9+8.4
13 Montenegro W74357%68.767.4+1.3
14 Croatia W74357%75.777.1-1.4
15 Spain W21150%63.554.0+9.5
16 Germany W63350%76.869.5+7.3
17 Greece W84450%71.266.9+4.4
18 Hungary W42250%64.262.5+1.8
19 Great Britain W42250%67.067.2-0.2
20 Slovakia W63350%62.763.3-0.7
21 Netherlands W42250%62.066.0-4.0
22 Bulgaria W62433%68.268.5-0.3
23 Switzerland W62433%58.078.5-20.5
24 Turkey W72529%62.163.9-1.7
25 Poland W41325%57.272.0-14.8
26 Lithuania W51420%69.272.4-3.2
27 Portugal W61517%61.067.5-6.5
28 Romania W61517%64.879.5-14.7
29 Denmark W61517%66.782.5-15.8
30 Finland W61517%60.779.2-18.5
31 Estonia W6060%55.080.2-25.2
32 Israel W4040%52.279.5-27.2
33 Iceland W6060%58.588.7-30.2
34 North Macedonia W4040%50.089.2-39.2
35 Albania W2020%38.5123.5-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 35 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy W2120171977
Greece W1311232067
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