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Bellarmine vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 111-97
48-46 63-51
Position#279
Record11-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#49
Record21-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bellarmine v Austin Peay
28 Feb 2026
BELL111
AUST97
18 Feb 2025
BELL94
AUST68
04 Jan 2024
BELL68
AUST84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bellarmine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#361
L
114-117 OT
114
117
-3
A24/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H06/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A14/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-50
55-52
36-31
41-43
39-38
39-37
47-35
45-36
32-31
49-34
34-33
42-51
33-53
37-37
28-36
44-39
42-53
50-42
29-34
39-39
163.9Avg total
82.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.181.1160.2-2.038%
Season at home (14)82.674.1156.7+8.664%
Season away (15)75.987.7163.5-11.813%
Last 10 (10)82.081.9163.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.683.4159.0-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.285.2157.4-13.010%
vs Similar (14)78.180.1158.3-2.050%
vs Weaker (5)89.280.6169.8+8.640%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#304
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H14/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
42-33
42-36
48-46
44-35
37-43
35-38
52-38
47-26
44-36
52-50
43-37
53-33
37-37
29-43
48-33
33-28
32-33
46-44
42-49
158.7Avg total
83.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.571.7153.2+9.875%
Season at home (13)88.568.5157.0+19.992%
Season away (15)75.474.5149.9+0.960%
Last 10 (10)83.775.0158.7+8.790%
Last 5 (5)83.077.4160.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.587.0156.5-17.50%
vs Similar (5)77.679.2156.8-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.069.4152.4+13.587%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.0+4.0
BellarmineAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#361
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A24/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A14/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/02
NCAA
76.1Avg total
36.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.475.7-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.137.074.1+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)33.743.477.1-9.719%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.476.1-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.875.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.443.576.9-10.120%-
vs Similar (14)34.540.875.3-6.336%-
vs Weaker (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#304
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H26/02
NCAA
77.7Avg total
41.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.475.7+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.835.880.6+9.071%-
Last 30 away (16)36.435.171.5+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.577.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.682.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.040.575.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.334.475.7+7.074%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bellarmine wins
4
Austin Peay wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Austin Peay v Bellarmine90-70
18/02/25Bellarmine v Austin Peay94-68
31/01/25Austin Peay v Bellarmine86-77 OT
02/03/24Austin Peay v Bellarmine90-87 OT
04/01/24Bellarmine v Austin Peay68-84
20/01/23Austin Peay v Bellarmine45-56
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ANorth Alabama68-73
22/02/26HEastern Kentucky92-95
19/02/26HLipscomb72-75
14/02/26AAustin Peay70-90
12/02/26ACentral Arkansas76-84
07/02/26HFlorida Gulf Coast81-65
06/02/26HStetson92-71
31/01/26HQueens Royals78-75
29/01/26HWest Georgia77-74
24/01/26ANorth Florida114-117 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HCentral Arkansas88-93
22/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins65-61
20/02/26ANorth Florida77-76
14/02/26HBellarmine90-70
12/02/26AQueens Royals95-87
07/02/26HNorth Alabama91-62
05/02/26HLipscomb87-76
31/01/26AWest Georgia81-78
29/01/26AEastern Kentucky90-82
23/01/26HStetson73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bellarmine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%64%13%
Points / game79.182.675.9
Allowed / game81.174.187.7
Point differential-2.0+8.6-11.8
Avg total160.2156.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %75%92%60%
Points / game81.588.575.4
Allowed / game71.768.574.5
Point differential+9.8+19.9+0.9
Avg total153.2157.0149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2821775%81.571.7+9.8
2 Central Arkansas30191163%80.474.3+6.2
3 Lipscomb30181260%80.575.6+4.9
4 Queens Royals30181260%84.983.2+1.7
5 Florida Gulf Coast30141647%78.677.9+0.8
6 West Georgia29131645%76.580.2-3.7
7 Bellarmine29111838%79.181.1-2.0
8 Eastern Kentucky30111937%80.581.6-1.1
9 Stetson30102033%73.480.8-7.4
10 North Alabama2891932%70.078.0-8.0
11 North Florida3072323%80.088.1-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bellarmine4863111
Austin Peay465197
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