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Bendigo Braves vs Casey Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 77-89
15-23 19-26 22-16 21-24
Position#16
Record8-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#10
Record9-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game85.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Casey Cavaliers
28 Jun 2025
BEND77
CASE89
18 May 2024
BEND81
CASE64
04 Jun 2023
BEND78
CASE65
17 Jul 2022
BEND85
CASE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
H17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A18/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
70-100
70
100
-30
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
109-112
109
112
-3
H31/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A06/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
59-91
59
91
-32
A21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
30-21
27-22
21-32
17-21
29-31
23-23
23-17
18-35
23-23
23-24
14-18
27-25
16-14
28-22
20-23
26-22
10-23
14-23
18-30
19-27
12-31
24-19
15-23
27-33
31-31
30-20
21-28
19-19
19-27
21-30
22-21
21-27
26-17
22-15
23-27
18-25
8-27
12-18
21-21
182.0Avg total
85.1Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.994.0179.9-8.147%
Season at home (10)88.195.5183.6-7.440%
Season away (7)82.791.9174.6-9.157%
Last 10 (10)85.196.9182.0-11.840%
Last 5 (5)82.297.2179.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)84.191.4175.5-7.339%
vs Similar (7)82.987.6170.4-4.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A11/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A17/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H24/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
H06/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
102-82
102
82
+20
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
93-109
93
109
-16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
25-26
11-25
23-23
28-16
25-8
16-16
13-21
23-23
22-28
21-30
25-12
27-27
27-26
25-18
16-19
30-17
29-19
17-25
16-22
18-15
14-25
15-13
22-16
20-30
18-17
23-15
29-18
30-21
24-30
14-24
32-28
26-16
27-24
26-18
23-24
25-22
21-36
29-28
18-23
180.1Avg total
92.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.585.0174.5+4.560%
Season at home (8)90.490.6181.0-0.225%
Season away (7)88.478.6167.0+9.9100%
Last 10 (10)92.088.1180.1+3.950%
Last 5 (5)93.291.4184.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.991.6172.5-10.619%
vs Similar (9)82.385.7168.0-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.685.8179.4+7.880%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Bendigo BravesCasey Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A18/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H31/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A06/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A21/06
NBL1 South
92.5Avg total
42.0Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.646.689.2-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.445.890.1-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)40.547.688.1-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.050.592.5-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.052.892.8-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.446.689.0-4.139%-
vs Similar (7)43.046.789.7-3.729%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A17/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H06/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H21/06
NBL1 South
92.2Avg total
48.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.188.2-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.946.288.2-4.329%-
Last 30 away (13)44.543.788.2+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)48.543.792.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.291.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.647.088.6-5.431%-
vs Similar (9)42.342.885.1-0.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)49.043.492.4+5.680%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bendigo Braves wins
1
Casey Cavaliers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25ANunawading59-91
14/06/25AEltham92-86
06/06/25AKilsyth81-97
31/05/25HBallarat109-112
25/05/25HMt Gambier70-100
24/05/25HDiamond Valley68-98
18/05/25AFrankston91-84
17/05/25HMelbourne Tigers78-100
10/05/25HRingwood101-100 OT
04/05/25HHobart Chargers102-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HRingwood93-109
14/06/25HNW Tasmania102-82
06/06/25HSandringham Sabres100-103
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder90-80
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers81-83 OT
17/05/25AFrankston92-83
11/05/25AWaverley95-90
10/05/25HMt Gambier91-93
03/05/25AKilsyth82-61
26/04/25HDiamond Valley94-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %47%40%57%
Points / game85.988.182.7
Allowed / game94.095.591.9
Point differential-8.1-7.4-9.1
Avg total179.9183.6174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%25%100%
Points / game89.590.488.4
Allowed / game85.090.678.6
Point differential+4.5-0.2+9.9
Avg total174.5181.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%12%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %13%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1714382%92.481.8+10.6
2 Mt Gambier1711665%96.685.7+10.9
3 Melbourne Tigers1610662%87.880.4+7.4
4 Casey Cavaliers159660%89.585.0+4.5
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Ballarat159660%87.192.3-5.2
7 Sandringham Sabres158753%90.890.8+0.0
8 Kilsyth179853%86.685.9+0.7
9 Ringwood168850%95.989.9+5.9
10 Frankston168850%91.687.6+4.1
11 Nunawading168850%85.986.6-0.8
12 Waverley168850%92.894.7-1.9
13 Bendigo Braves178947%85.994.0-8.1
14 Eltham157847%85.587.5-1.9
15 Geelong1771041%83.788.6-4.9
16 Keilor Thunder156940%81.788.7-7.0
17 NW Tasmania1651131%86.988.9-2.0
18 Diamond Valley1641225%84.494.9-10.4
19 Dandenong1531220%88.996.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves1519222177
Casey Cavaliers2326162489
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