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Bendigo vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jul 2017
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 73-112
21-33 19-23 22-31 11-25
Position#8
Record11-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#7
Record11-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.9
AustraliaSEABL
Other2017
Meetings · Bendigo v NW Tasmania
29 Jul 2017
BEND73
NW T112
17 Apr 2016
BEND94
NW T80
29 Aug 2015
BEND83
NW T73
10 Jul 2015
BEND75
NW T85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BendigoAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H21/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A28/05
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
105-83
105
83
+22
H03/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H16/06
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H24/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A01/07
SEABL
Canberra
#14
L
107-111 OT
107
111
-4
A08/07
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
A14/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H15/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H22/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
20-19
23-17
30-28
25-26
26-16
21-24
28-17
24-21
28-14
28-17
25-31
22-17
25-30
17-21
25-19
24-19
25-31
18-21
18-26
30-22
16-31
15-23
17-22
27-22
18-23
27-16
21-32
24-28
19-21
25-24
21-16
25-20
22-18
22-23
23-21
26-22
29-22
13-22
26-14
185.7Avg total
94.3Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.786.2173.9+1.550%
Season at home (11)91.882.4174.2+9.582%
Season away (11)83.690.0173.6-6.418%
Last 10 (10)94.391.4185.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)93.294.6187.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.284.2166.4-1.942%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.275.8163.0+11.383%
vs Weaker (12)94.185.6179.7+8.575%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
H27/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H02/06
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A16/06
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A17/06
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H24/06
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H01/07
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A07/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A08/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
H15/07
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H22/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-26
25-16
16-27
34-20
18-21
17-20
16-17
21-25
20-8
15-22
34-18
15-12
18-14
22-14
24-22
24-25
20-16
22-29
23-16
15-26
15-24
30-15
25-27
26-24
25-16
9-21
28-19
30-6
17-21
21-28
16-25
19-28
18-20
8-22
20-18
27-25
24-19
20-19
22-21
165.9Avg total
84.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.382.9164.2-1.552%
Season at home (12)79.783.1162.8-3.442%
Season away (9)83.682.6166.1+1.067%
Last 10 (10)84.081.9165.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)83.084.8167.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.594.8173.2-16.315%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.080.5160.5-0.560%
vs Weaker (7)90.377.7168.0+12.671%
This opponent (Bendigo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
BendigoNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BendigoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/05
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H03/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H16/06
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A01/07
SEABL
Canberra
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/07
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H22/07
SEABL
92.9Avg total
48.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.641.587.1+4.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.838.183.9+7.665%-
Last 30 away (13)45.545.891.3-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)48.044.992.9+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.893.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)45.843.789.5+2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.039.885.8+6.283%-
vs Weaker (12)45.240.185.3+5.258%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H02/06
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A16/06
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A17/06
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/06
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H01/07
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A07/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A08/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H15/07
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/07
SEABL
83.0Avg total
42.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.884.9-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.543.686.1-1.165%-
Last 30 away (13)41.641.883.5-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.383.0+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.885.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.648.386.9-9.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.938.881.7+4.180%-
vs Weaker (7)47.438.485.9+9.086%-
This opponent (Bendigo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bendigo wins
3
NW Tasmania wins
DateGameScore
06/05/17NW Tasmania v Bendigo81-78
16/07/16NW Tasmania v Bendigo95-100
17/04/16Bendigo v NW Tasmania94-80
29/08/15Bendigo v NW Tasmania83-73
18/07/15NW Tasmania v Bendigo115-73
10/07/15Bendigo v NW Tasmania75-85
Bendigolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/17HBallarat94-80
15/07/17HSouthern Sabres92-82
14/07/17AFrankston95-102 OT
08/07/17ACanberra107-111 OT
01/07/17ADandenong78-98
24/06/17HFrankston85-97
16/06/17HHobart Chargers89-87
03/06/17HMelbourne Tigers105-83
28/05/17AKilsyth100-83
21/05/17HNunawading98-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/17HCanberra93-84
15/07/17HHobart Chargers65-88
08/07/17AKilsyth84-80
07/07/17AAlbury88-80
01/07/17HGeelong85-92
24/06/17HAlbury89-86
17/06/17ACanberra79-62
16/06/17ABA CoE90-73
02/06/17HBallarat85-78
27/05/17HNunawading82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo
SEABL 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%82%18%
Points / game87.791.883.6
Allowed / game86.282.490.0
Point differential+1.5+9.5-6.4
Avg total173.9174.2173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
NW Tasmania
SEABL 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWLLW42%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%42%67%
Points / game81.379.783.6
Allowed / game82.983.182.6
Point differential-1.5-3.4+1.0
Avg total164.2162.8166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier2119290%92.879.0+13.8
2 Nunawading2316770%88.682.3+6.3
3 Dandenong2215768%82.679.3+3.3
4 Geelong2315865%87.381.3+5.9
5 Hobart Chargers2214864%94.381.3+13.0
6 Ballarat2113862%88.284.7+3.5
7 NW Tasmania21111052%81.382.9-1.5
8 Bendigo22111150%87.786.2+1.5
9 Kilsyth22101245%78.880.2-1.4
10 Southern Sabres23101343%82.884.2-1.3
11 Albury2291341%91.393.6-2.3
12 Frankston2271532%80.987.7-6.9
13 Melbourne Tigers2261627%75.388.0-12.7
14 BA CoE1421214%75.989.7-13.8
15 Canberra2231914%79.591.7-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo2119221173
NW Tasmania33233125112
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