NW Tasmania vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 85-92

15-26 15-24 30-15 25-27

Position#7

Record8-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game82.2

NW Tasmania

Geelong 🏆

Position#4

Record10-7

FormWWLLL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game81.5

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

84-87

-3

A29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

81-78

H06/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

107-65

107

+42

A13/05

SEABL

Dandenong

72-79

-7

H20/05

SEABL

Geelong

92-87

A26/05

SEABL

Nunawading

82-96

-14

H27/05

SEABL

Ballarat

85-78

H02/06

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

90-73

+17

A16/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

79-62

+17

A17/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

89-86

H24/06

SEABL

12-15

18-29

22-19

32-24

23-22

25-22

19-18

14-16

38-18

35-16

19-13

15-18

16-20

21-15

19-18

16-26

27-24

19-25

22-17

24-21

21-27

20-26

25-16

16-27

34-20

18-21

17-20

16-17

21-25

20-8

15-22

34-18

15-12

18-14

22-14

24-22

24-25

20-16

22-29

23-16

165.2Avg total

86.1Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.8	82.2	163.1	-1.4	50%
Season at home (9)	79.2	81.4	160.7	-2.2	44%
Season away (7)	82.9	83.3	166.1	-0.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	79.1	165.2	+7.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	79.0	164.0	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	79.4	96.0	175.4	-16.6	21%
vs Similar (9)	76.2	81.2	157.4	-5.0	44%
vs Weaker (7)	89.4	77.0	166.4	+12.4	71%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

89-59

+30

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

101-77

101

+24

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

83-77

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

87-92

-5

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

102-94

102

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

79-73

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-77

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

72-95

-23

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

94-104

104

-10

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

88-93

-5

A30/06

SEABL

23-23

23-10

19-12

24-14

16-17

28-16

35-22

22-22

32-23

21-22

16-14

14-18

24-27

25-19

17-22

21-24

29-26

34-24

17-31

22-13

18-24

22-18

14-13

25-18

29-19

21-24

15-16

17-18

14-23

13-17

26-31

19-24

27-41

21-35

19-6

27-22

18-23

12-22

31-29

27-19

171.8Avg total

87.7Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	86.5	81.5	167.9	+5.0	59%
Season at home (7)	84.3	77.4	161.7	+6.9	57%
Season away (10)	88.0	84.3	172.3	+3.7	60%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	84.1	171.8	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	88.4	171.4	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.8	93.8	179.6	-8.0	20%
vs Similar (4)	80.0	78.5	158.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	90.1	80.3	170.5	+9.8	67%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.8	42.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.1	43.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.6	24.2	44.9	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.2	44.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	22.3	45.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	24.6	47.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	26.0	47.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	29.8	50.4	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	20.5	37.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.5	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	19.1	42.6	+4.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	21.4	43.9	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	23.0	39.6	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.3	76%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

30-44

-14

A29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

48-44

H06/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

73-34

+39

A13/05

SEABL

Dandenong

37-35

H20/05

SEABL

Geelong

46-49

-3

A26/05

SEABL

Nunawading

41-53

-12

H27/05

SEABL

Ballarat

52-41

+11

H02/06

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

41-33

A16/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

33-26

A17/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

44-41

H24/06

SEABL

84.5Avg total

44.5Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.5	84.8	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	43.3	86.1	-0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	43.8	83.4	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	40.0	84.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.8	81.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.6	48.0	87.6	-8.4	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	46.0	38.1	84.1	+7.9	71%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

46-33

+13

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

44-33

+11

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

53-45

H20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

49-46

H26/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

63-50

+13

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

40-42

-2

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

50-43

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

27-40

-13

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

48-76

-28

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

30-45

-15

A30/06

SEABL

90.3Avg total

45.0Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	42.5	87.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	41.3	86.8	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.5	43.6	88.1	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	45.3	90.3	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	49.2	88.2	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	52.8	90.0	-15.6	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.2	40.0	77.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	48.3	40.5	88.8	+7.8	90%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.5	22.9	42.4	-3.4	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.6	18.8	43.4	+5.8	80%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.4	42.6	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	22.8	41.1	-4.5	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.4	23.9	43.4	-4.5	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.4	21.4	45.9	+3.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	19.7	42.4	+3.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	43.1	82.2	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	42.9	81.1	-4.8	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	43.2	83.4	-3.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	39.1	80.7	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.2	83.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.9	46.9	85.8	-7.9	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.0	40.4	76.4	-4.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.4	38.9	82.3	+4.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.8	82.9	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	40.2	82.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.2	39.5	83.7	+4.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	38.8	81.5	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.2	83.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	48.6	41.0	89.6	+7.6	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.8	38.5	81.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	41.9	39.8	81.7	+2.0	48%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
26/05/17	Geelong v NW Tasmania	87-92
06/08/16	Geelong v NW Tasmania	93-74
23/07/16	NW Tasmania v Geelong	72-104
05/07/15	Geelong v NW Tasmania	86-76
18/04/15	NW Tasmania v Geelong	81-75

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/06/17	H	Albury	89-86
17/06/17	A	Canberra	79-62
16/06/17	A	BA CoE	90-73
02/06/17	H	Ballarat	85-78
27/05/17	H	Nunawading	82-96
26/05/17	A	Geelong	92-87
20/05/17	H	Dandenong	72-79
13/05/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	107-65
06/05/17	H	Bendigo	81-78
29/04/17	A	Frankston	84-87

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	88-93
23/06/17	A	Mt Gambier	94-104
17/06/17	H	Mt Gambier	72-95
04/06/17	A	Kilsyth	82-77
03/06/17	A	Nunawading	79-73
27/05/17	A	Canberra	102-94
26/05/17	H	NW Tasmania	87-92
20/05/17	H	Bendigo	83-77
13/05/17	A	Frankston	101-77
06/05/17	H	Canberra	89-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	50%
Home	WLLWW	44%
Away	LWWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	50%	44%	57%
Points / game	80.8	79.2	82.9
Allowed / game	82.2	81.4	83.3
Point differential	-1.4	-2.2	-0.4
Avg total	163.1	160.7	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	0%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	59%
Home	LWWLL	57%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	7	10
Win %	59%	57%	60%
Points / game	86.5	84.3	88.0
Allowed / game	81.5	77.4	84.3
Point differential	+5.0	+6.9	+3.7
Avg total	167.9	161.7	172.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	43%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	15	13	2	87%	89.8	79.9	+9.9
2	Nunawading	17	13	4	76%	90.2	81.7	+8.5
3	Hobart Chargers	16	11	5	69%	97.0	82.1	+14.9
4	Ballarat	16	11	5	69%	87.3	81.9	+5.4
5	Dandenong	16	10	6	62%	80.8	78.8	+2.0
6	Geelong	17	10	7	59%	86.5	81.5	+5.0
7	Bendigo	17	9	8	53%	86.1	83.7	+2.4
8	Southern Sabres	18	9	9	50%	82.8	83.4	-0.7
9	NW Tasmania	16	8	8	50%	80.8	82.2	-1.4
10	Albury	17	8	9	47%	92.1	92.7	-0.6
11	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	77.5	80.5	-3.1
12	Frankston	17	5	12	29%	80.1	88.3	-8.2
13	Melbourne Tigers	16	3	13	19%	75.2	91.2	-16.0
14	BA CoE	11	2	9	18%	78.5	89.5	-11.0
15	Canberra	16	2	14	12%	78.5	88.6	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	15	15	30	25	85
Geelong	26	24	15	27	92

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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