Bendigo W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 77-83

16-23 12-26 27-14 22-20

Position#4

Record11-9

FormLLLLW

Points / game72.1

Allowed / game69.9

Bendigo W

Townsville W 🏆

Position#6

Record12-9

FormWLWLW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game72.5

NBL WRound 17

Women2016-17

Meetings · Bendigo W v Townsville W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

86-93 OT

-7

A25/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

69-51

+18

H27/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

69-77

-8

H04/12

NBL W

Sydney W

70-55

+15

A10/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

70-60

+10

H16/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

67-108

108

-41

A07/01

NBL W

Sydney W

68-71

-3

H13/01

NBL W

Townsville W

67-87

-20

A20/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

63-77

-14

A21/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

76-69

H28/01

NBL W

24-23

25-28

20-19

15-14

21-13

8-10

19-11

21-17

24-22

20-24

11-23

14-8

18-15

13-12

13-13

26-15

20-13

19-20

12-12

19-15

14-30

16-27

15-32

22-19

14-24

18-16

19-18

17-13

12-25

22-21

21-23

12-18

24-17

13-18

19-21

7-21

26-18

17-24

18-18

15-9

145.3Avg total

70.5Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	72.1	69.9	142.0	+2.2	55%
Season at home (10)	69.6	63.8	133.4	+5.8	60%
Season away (10)	74.6	76.0	150.6	-1.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	70.5	74.8	145.3	-4.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.2	82.4	150.6	-14.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	73.1	73.4	146.6	-0.3	29%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	71.9	71.6	143.4	+0.3	56%
vs Weaker (7)	71.9	59.9	131.7	+12.0	86%

This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

73-80

-7

A02/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

72-54

+18

A03/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

93-66

+27

H10/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

74-68

A16/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

88-75

+13

H31/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

93-60

+33

H06/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

67-73

-6

A14/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

87-67

+20

H20/01

NBL W

Sydney W

75-76

-1

H28/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

92-78

+14

A04/02

NBL W

14-17

18-22

22-20

19-21

17-16

18-11

21-12

16-15

23-17

24-23

19-11

27-15

16-22

23-21

17-11

18-14

24-22

32-22

18-17

14-14

27-22

29-12

19-6

18-20

17-17

15-22

18-19

17-15

25-12

21-22

23-21

18-12

21-19

20-16

17-20

17-21

23-21

21-15

31-27

17-15

151.1Avg total

81.4Scored

69.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.2	72.5	150.7	+5.7	57%
Season at home (10)	83.7	70.8	154.5	+12.9	70%
Season away (11)	73.2	74.0	147.2	-0.8	45%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	69.7	151.1	+11.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	70.8	153.6	+12.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	77.9	75.1	153.1	+2.8	44%
vs Weaker (14)	78.0	65.7	143.7	+12.3	86%

This opponent (Bendigo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bendigo WTownsville W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.3	36.1	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	18.1	37.3	+1.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.7	15.4	34.1	+3.3	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.3	39.2	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.4	37.9	+1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.0	37.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.4	16.6	35.9	+2.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.1	14.0	30.1	+2.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.6	39.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.1	79%	-

Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

49-51

-2

A25/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

29-23

H27/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

44-46

-2

H04/12

NBL W

Sydney W

31-27

A10/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

39-33

H16/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

30-57

-27

A07/01

NBL W

Sydney W

32-40

-8

H13/01

NBL W

Townsville W

34-46

-12

A20/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-35

A21/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

43-42

H28/01

NBL W

76.8Avg total

36.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	34.4	72.1	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	32.9	71.3	+5.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	35.9	72.9	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	44.0	79.2	-8.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.6	37.7	75.3	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.1	35.1	74.2	+4.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (7)	34.9	29.4	64.3	+5.4	71%	-

This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

32-39

-7

A02/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

35-27

A03/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

47-40

H10/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

39-43

-4

A16/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

56-44

+12

H31/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

56-34

+22

H06/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

32-39

-7

A14/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

46-34

+12

H20/01

NBL W

Sydney W

41-35

H28/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

44-36

A04/02

NBL W

79.9Avg total

42.8Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	36.3	76.5	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.5	36.8	80.3	+6.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.3	35.8	73.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	37.1	79.9	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	35.6	79.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.2	38.1	78.3	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.1	34.2	74.4	+5.9	71%	-

This opponent (Bendigo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.9	35.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	17.5	34.2	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	17.9	35.4	-0.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.6	14.9	33.4	+3.7	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	17.9	37.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.6	37.3	+0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.4	16.6	35.9	+2.8	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	16.7	33.0	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.1	15.1	30.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	14.9	31.7	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	16.0	30.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	16.6	34.3	+1.1	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	15.8	17.3	33.1	-1.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.1	15.3	31.4	+0.9	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	15.5	35.1	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	16.4	33.5	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.2	34.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.0	16.9	34.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.5	14.9	33.4	+3.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.8	34.5	68.3	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.9	32.6	64.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	36.5	72.2	-0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	33.9	67.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	38.4	71.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.3	34.4	69.7	+0.9	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	32.8	36.5	69.2	-3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	34.7	30.1	64.9	+4.6	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	34.2	71.7	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	33.4	72.7	+6.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	35.0	70.8	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	32.6	71.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	35.2	74.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.1	36.6	73.8	+0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	37.9	31.5	69.4	+6.4	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bendigo W wins

Townsville W wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/17	Townsville W v Bendigo W	87-67
12/11/16	Bendigo W v Townsville W	69-71
30/10/16	Townsville W v Bendigo W	62-74
07/02/16	Bendigo W v Townsville W	63-75
04/12/15	Townsville W v Bendigo W	68-84
10/10/15	Townsville W v Bendigo W	64-72
08/03/15	Townsville W v Bendigo W	75-65
22/02/15	Townsville W v Bendigo W	82-63
01/02/15	Bendigo W v Townsville W	66-55
22/11/14	Bendigo W v Townsville W	78-75 OT

Bendigo Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/17	H	Geelong United W	76-69
21/01/17	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	63-77
20/01/17	A	Townsville W	67-87
13/01/17	H	Sydney W	68-71
07/01/17	A	Perth Lynx W	67-108
16/12/16	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	70-60
10/12/16	A	Sydney W	70-55
04/12/16	H	Dandenong W	69-77
27/11/16	H	Adelaide Lightning W	69-51
25/11/16	A	Sydney W	86-93 OT

Townsville Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/17	A	Dandenong W	92-78
28/01/17	H	Sydney W	75-76
20/01/17	H	Bendigo W	87-67
14/01/17	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	67-73
06/01/17	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	93-60
31/12/16	H	Geelong United W	88-75
16/12/16	A	Adelaide Lightning W	74-68
10/12/16	H	Geelong United W	93-66
03/12/16	A	Adelaide Lightning W	72-54
02/12/16	A	Perth Lynx W	73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W

NBL W 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	55%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	LWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	55%	60%	50%
Points / game	72.1	69.6	74.6
Allowed / game	69.9	63.8	76.0
Point differential	+2.2	+5.8	-1.4
Avg total	142.0	133.4	150.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	10%	10%

Townsville W

NBL W 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	57%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	LWWLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	57%	70%	45%
Points / game	78.2	83.7	73.2
Allowed / game	72.5	70.8	74.0
Point differential	+5.7	+12.9	-0.8
Avg total	150.7	154.5	147.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	60%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney W	21	15	6	71%	80.2	76.0	+4.2
2	Dandenong W	21	14	7	67%	77.7	72.4	+5.3
3	Perth Lynx W	20	13	7	65%	82.3	76.8	+5.5
4	Townsville W	21	12	9	57%	78.2	72.5	+5.7
5	Bendigo W	20	11	9	55%	72.1	69.9	+2.2
6	Canberra C. Acad. W	20	11	9	55%	71.2	71.9	-0.7
7	Geelong United W	20	4	16	20%	68.8	76.3	-7.5
8	Adelaide Lightning W	21	2	19	10%	63.0	77.9	-14.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bendigo W	16	12	27	22	77
Townsville W	23	26	14	20	83

← all games of the day

Bendigo W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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