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Benfica vs Penafiel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2011
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-64
Position#2
Record13-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game70.4
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#6
Record8-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game68.1
PortugalLPBRound 18
Other2010-11
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penafiel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A22/01
LPB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#13
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H25/01
EuroChallenge
Vitoria
#4
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H29/01
LPB
Norrkoping
#12
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H01/02
EuroChallenge
Lusitania
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A05/02
LPB
Ventspils
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H15/02
EuroChallenge
Barreirense
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H19/02
LPB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#13
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A22/02
EuroChallenge
Sampaense
#9
W
100-78
100
78
+22
A26/02
LPB
Norrkoping
#12
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A01/03
EuroChallenge
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
14-13
18-15
19-13
23-23
18-11
12-19
11-14
21-17
18-13
18-16
22-17
27-24
23-17
14-14
19-20
22-12
20-24
23-20
25-29
14-22
25-18
17-19
15-15
28-9
9-22
23-22
28-21
28-22
17-23
15-23
22-23
18-21
24-14
21-24
37-19
14-9
13-27
26-21
21-23
155.2Avg total
79.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.770.4151.1+10.381%
Season at home (7)85.667.4153.0+18.1100%
Season away (9)76.972.7149.6+4.267%
Last 10 (10)79.975.3155.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)83.079.4162.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.983.2157.1-9.333%
vs Similar (7)80.980.7161.6+0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.268.5148.7+11.786%
This opponent (Penafiel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenafielPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A12/12
LPB
Barreirense
#12
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A19/12
LPB
Ginasio
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H02/01
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A08/01
LPB
Academica
#3
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/01
LPB
Illiabum
#11
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H29/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A05/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H12/02
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A19/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H26/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
16-10
14-15
20-14
18-20
24-13
7-16
14-12
13-7
15-15
14-25
23-17
16-18
18-17
11-14
14-16
9-19
22-16
19-13
19-18
15-10
22-19
10-19
23-19
15-7
17-16
17-15
17-11
21-25
25-12
17-22
22-17
17-23
20-22
21-17
13-20
20-26
137.2Avg total
69.4Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.668.1134.7-1.447%
Season at home (8)65.666.5132.1-0.950%
Season away (9)67.669.4137.0-1.944%
Last 10 (10)69.467.8137.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)74.469.4143.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.377.7142.0-13.30%
vs Similar (9)65.469.0134.4-3.633%
vs Weaker (5)70.260.6130.8+9.6100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
BenficaPenafiel
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A22/01
LPB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/01
EuroChallenge
Vitoria
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H29/01
LPB
Norrkoping
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H01/02
EuroChallenge
Lusitania
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/02
LPB
Ventspils
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H15/02
EuroChallenge
Barreirense
#12
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H19/02
LPB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/02
EuroChallenge
Sampaense
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A26/02
LPB
Norrkoping
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/03
EuroChallenge
75.9Avg total
39.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)39.537.577.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.236.078.2+6.285%-
Last 30 away (12)36.539.275.7-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.675.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.043.281.2-5.225%-
vs Similar (7)44.137.781.9+6.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.432.870.2+4.680%-
This opponent (Penafiel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenafielLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#12
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A19/12
LPB
Ginasio
#7
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H02/01
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A08/01
LPB
Academica
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A22/01
LPB
Illiabum
#11
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H29/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H12/02
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/02
LPB
67.2Avg total
34.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)33.333.967.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (8)34.434.669.0-0.250%-
Last 30 away (6)31.833.064.8-1.233%-
Last 10 (9)34.332.967.2+1.467%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.272.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.039.577.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (7)31.135.166.3-4.029%-
vs Weaker (5)34.430.064.4+4.460%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Benfica wins
0
Penafiel wins
DateGameScore
04/12/10Penafiel v Benfica64-71
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/11ANorrkoping74-80
26/02/11ASampaense100-78
22/02/11AGravelines-Dunkerque82-91
19/02/11HBarreirense88-74
15/02/11HVentspils71-74
05/02/11ALusitania90-85
01/02/11HNorrkoping83-75
29/01/11HVitoria79-63
25/01/11HGravelines-Dunkerque64-67
22/01/11ACAB Madeira68-66
Penafiellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/11HFC Porto74-85
19/02/11ALusitania81-74
12/02/11HVitoria72-67
05/02/11ACAB Madeira70-64
29/01/11HIlliabum75-57
22/01/11AAcademica52-66
08/01/11AOvarense68-75
02/01/11HGinasio58-48
19/12/10ABarreirense68-59
12/12/10ASampaense76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2010-11
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %81%100%67%
Points / game80.785.676.9
Allowed / game70.467.472.7
Point differential+10.3+18.1+4.2
Avg total151.1153.0149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%86%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penafiel
LPB 2010-11
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game66.665.667.6
Allowed / game68.166.569.4
Point differential-1.4-0.9-1.9
Avg total134.7132.1137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1615194%86.869.4+17.3
2 Benfica1613381%80.770.4+10.3
3 Academica1712571%78.973.6+5.3
4 Ovarense1810856%75.173.5+1.6
5 Vitoria179853%76.375.5+0.8
6 CAB Madeira189950%76.676.0+0.6
7 Penafiel178947%66.668.1-1.4
8 Ginasio1771041%72.276.6-4.4
9 Sampaense1761135%79.785.4-5.6
10 Lusitania1861233%70.977.0-6.1
11 Illiabum1851328%71.380.1-8.8
12 Barreirense1731418%72.479.7-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No quarter scores for this game.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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