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Benfica W vs Ferrol W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 55-64
14-17 15-16 18-19 8-12
Position#49
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Benfica W
vs
Ferrol W 🏆
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroCup Women· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrol W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
67-56
67
56
+11
62avg 70
A30/03
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
73-52
73
52
+21
80avg 70
A06/04
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
81-69
81
69
+12
86avg 70
H12/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 70
A19/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
67-52
67
52
+15
64avg 70
H25/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
67-62
67
62
+5
63avg 70
H26/04
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
W
80-73
80
73
+7
81avg 70
A03/05
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
81avg 70
H11/05
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
55-67
55
67
-12
37avg 70
H27/09
Super Cup Women
SC Coimbroes W
#11
W
95-60
95
60
+35
99avg 70
A05/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
24-6
17-18
8-18
22-10
16-15
15-10
20-17
19-18
25-17
19-16
18-18
23-24
16-13
13-19
12-18
19-10
17-13
17-12
14-17
18-20
21-9
12-11
16-22
25-12
20-25
15-21
20-15
24-16
18-13
16-13
9-25
12-15
15-13
10-23
18-16
22-8
36-18
23-17
14-17
136.7Avg total
72.7Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.764.0136.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)75.067.4142.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)66.077.0143.0-11.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)78.560.4138.9+18.185%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Araski W
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 66
A19/03
Liga Femenina W
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 66
H26/03
EuroCup Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 66
A02/04
EuroCup Women
Celta W
#15
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 66
H05/04
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#6
L
68-69 OT
68
69
-1
59avg 66
A09/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
48-79
48
79
-31
33avg 66
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
52avg 66
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
49avg 66
H24/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
62-72
62
72
-10
55avg 66
A27/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
71-65
71
65
+6
66avg 66
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
21-16
21-20
17-21
25-33
19-9
16-21
15-15
18-23
12-19
20-24
20-18
28-15
13-16
17-13
14-21
13-10
11-13
14-20
21-16
13-22
14-23
7-11
14-23
12-23
22-15
17-21
9-21
10-25
23-22
12-10
15-14
19-19
14-11
11-20
18-22
22-8
18-14
21-17
10-26
139.2Avg total
65.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.873.4139.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)60.273.4133.6-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.071.6137.6-5.650%
vs Similar (11)71.871.5143.3+0.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.170.0148.1+8.164%
This opponent (Benfica W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
Benfica WFerrol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Benfica WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
42-20
42
20
+22
A30/03
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A06/04
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A19/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H25/04
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H26/04
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/05
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/05
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H27/09
Super Cup Women
SC Coimbroes W
#11
W
58-26
58
26
+32
A05/10
LFB Women
69.9Avg total
41.0Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.930.270.1+9.777%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.229.869.0+9.571%-
Last 30 away (13)40.830.771.5+10.185%-
Last 10 (10)41.028.969.9+12.190%-
Last 5 (5)42.229.872.0+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.043.577.5-9.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)41.329.370.6+12.085%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Araski W
#13
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/03
Liga Femenina W
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H26/03
EuroCup Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A02/04
EuroCup Women
Celta W
#15
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/04
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#6
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A09/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H24/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A27/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
69.0Avg total
34.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.836.471.2-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.536.071.5-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)34.036.970.9-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.069.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.469.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.836.969.6-4.138%-
vs Similar (11)34.735.870.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.336.773.0-0.545%-
This opponent (Benfica W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benfica Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica W: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.3 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.4
48.5%
47.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.4
33.5%
30.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
73.8%12.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.3 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.5
51.3%
47.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.5
39.4%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.0
72.4%
73.8%11.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica W
WLWWWWLWWW
Ferrol W
WLLLLLWLLW
#49
League position
#4
+12.1
Net rating
+12.5
97.8
Offensive rating
106.7
85.7
Defensive rating
94.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
41.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.5%
3-point %
39.4%
67.1%
Assist %
72.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 106.7Defence85.7 · 94.2Shooting49.2% · 53.9%3-point %33.5% · 39.4%Ball care21.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds27.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Benfica W   ■ Ferrol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica W wins
0
Ferrol W wins
No previous meetings.
Benfica Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ASC Coimbroes W95-60
27/09/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W55-67
11/05/25HEsgueira W78-75 OT
03/05/25AEsgueira W80-73
26/04/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W67-62
25/04/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W67-52
19/04/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W64-74
12/04/25HImortal W81-69
06/04/25AImortal W73-52
30/03/25ASanjoanense W67-56
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HValencia W71-65
27/04/25AUni Girona W62-72
24/04/25HUni Girona W60-71
19/04/25AGran Canaria W60-80
12/04/25HZaragoza W48-79
09/04/25AEstudiantes W68-69 OT
05/04/25HCelta W72-65
02/04/25AESB Villeneuve W70-84
26/03/25HESB Villeneuve W75-78
19/03/25AAraski W72-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica W
EuroCup Women 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ferrol W
EuroCup Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Campobasso W110100%96.044.0+52.0
2 Sleza Wroclaw W110100%100.063.0+37.0
3 Mechelen W110100%91.055.0+36.0
4 Gernika Bizkaia W330100%88.759.7+29.0
5 Lattes Montpellier W110100%88.060.0+28.0
6 Jairis W110100%84.062.0+22.0
7 Perfumerias Avenida W110100%92.073.0+19.0
8 Rapid Bucuresti W110100%69.051.0+18.0
9 Sosnowiec W110100%86.069.0+17.0
10 Crvena zvezda W110100%82.066.0+16.0
11 Klaipedos Neptunas W110100%81.065.0+16.0
12 Sassari W330100%72.757.0+15.7
13 Szekszard W330100%81.065.7+15.3
14 Keltern W110100%76.063.0+13.0
15 Angers W110100%86.076.0+10.0
16 Braine W110100%80.072.0+8.0
17 Emlak Konut W110100%81.073.0+8.0
18 Lublin W110100%65.057.0+8.0
19 Peja W110100%73.065.0+8.0
20 Fribourg W110100%75.068.0+7.0
21 Gorzow W110100%87.082.0+5.0
22 Student Nis W32167%78.778.3+0.3
23 Ostrava W31233%78.771.7+7.0
24 Besiktas W1010%82.087.0-5.0
25 San Giovanni W1010%73.078.0-5.0
26 ESB Villeneuve W1010%68.075.0-7.0
27 Chomutov W1010%65.073.0-8.0
28 Namur W1010%57.065.0-8.0
29 Saarlouis W1010%73.081.0-8.0
30 Zabiny Brno W1010%72.080.0-8.0
31 Estudiantes W1010%76.086.0-10.0
32 Panathlitikos W2020%59.069.0-10.0
33 Cluj Napoca W2020%75.587.0-11.5
34 Kibirkstis Vilnius W1010%63.076.0-13.0
35 Nyon W1010%65.081.0-16.0
36 TTT Riga W1010%66.082.0-16.0
37 Piestanske Cajky W1010%51.069.0-18.0
38 BBC Troistorrents W2020%64.583.5-19.0
39 Panathinaikos W1010%73.092.0-19.0
40 Brandys nad Labem W2020%62.082.5-20.5
41 Uniao Sportiva W1010%61.082.0-21.0
42 Ragusa Dubrovnik W1010%53.080.0-27.0
43 KP Brno W1010%60.088.0-28.0
44 Giannina W2020%59.092.0-33.0
45 Sepsi SIC W1010%55.091.0-36.0
46 Beroe W1010%63.0100.0-37.0
47 Tresnjevka 2009 W1010%44.096.0-52.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica W141518855
Ferrol W1716191264
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