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Estudiantes W vs Ferrol W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-68 (OT)
10-13 13-11 20-14 16-21 10-9
Position#6
Record15-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.6
Estudiantes W 🏆
Spain
vs
Ferrol W
Spain
Position#8
Record15-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game70.1
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 27· Polideportivo Antonio Magarinos
Women2024-25
Meetings · Estudiantes W v Ferrol W
05 Feb 2027
ESTU v FERR
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
ESTU83
FERR86
09 Apr 2025
ESTU69
FERR68
29 Oct 2023
ESTU71
FERR82
12 Mar 2022
ESTU80
FERR65
12 Jan 2018
ESTU59
FERR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrol W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uni Girona W
#1
L
67-87
67
87
-20
53avg 64
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
55-72
55
72
-17
45avg 64
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
80-56
80
56
+24
73avg 64
H16/02
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
L
70-72
70
72
-2
65avg 64
A23/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
62avg 64
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
66-63
66
63
+3
53avg 64
A05/03
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
66-57
66
57
+9
54avg 64
H09/03
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 64
A15/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
L
64-66
64
66
-2
58avg 64
A21/03
Spanish Cup Women
Ardoi W
#16
W
77-60
77
60
+17
72avg 64
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
21-21
10-24
19-16
20-16
4-14
7-21
24-21
17-10
23-16
30-15
10-15
16-23
14-6
22-28
18-15
13-25
22-18
20-23
18-17
19-18
17-14
16-16
14-15
12-17
25-12
14-8
15-20
29-19
21-20
10-24
21-14
16-15
23-18
14-24
11-9
16-17
23-18
23-11
15-14
139.2Avg total
69.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.769.6140.3+1.056%
Season at home (13)72.867.1139.9+5.869%
Season away (14)68.672.0140.6-3.443%
Last 10 (10)69.969.3139.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)70.864.6135.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.175.8142.9-8.638%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.872.6146.3+1.256%
vs Weaker (12)78.268.0146.2+10.267%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 67
H27/02
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
54-74
54
74
-20
40avg 67
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#10
W
93-62
93
62
+31
92avg 67
H06/03
EuroCup Women
Ardoi W
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 67
A09/03
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#10
L
63-74
63
74
-11
61avg 67
A13/03
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
80-56
80
56
+24
78avg 67
H15/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 67
A19/03
Liga Femenina W
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 67
H26/03
EuroCup Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 67
A02/04
EuroCup Women
Celta W
#15
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 67
H05/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-24
28-12
25-11
9-22
16-19
11-13
18-20
24-19
25-11
23-16
21-16
20-20
24-12
19-14
20-22
22-20
6-14
20-27
15-13
23-14
19-20
21-11
17-11
13-14
21-16
21-20
17-21
25-33
19-9
16-21
15-15
18-23
12-19
20-24
20-18
28-15
13-16
17-13
14-21
145.3Avg total
75.1Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.070.1140.0-0.156%
Season at home (14)66.663.9130.5+2.871%
Season away (13)73.576.8150.3-3.238%
Last 10 (10)75.170.2145.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)73.870.8144.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.871.8143.6+0.060%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.068.7140.7+3.358%
vs Weaker (13)78.866.6145.4+12.269%
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
Estudiantes WFerrol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estudiantes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uni Girona W
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H16/02
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A23/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A05/03
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/03
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A15/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A21/03
Spanish Cup Women
Ardoi W
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
71.1Avg total
36.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.335.973.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.634.273.8+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)35.437.472.8-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.371.1+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.673.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.139.274.4-4.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.635.270.8+0.344%-
vs Weaker (12)40.034.574.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#14
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H27/02
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H01/03
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H06/03
EuroCup Women
Ardoi W
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/03
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A13/03
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/03
Liga Femenina W
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H26/03
EuroCup Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A02/04
EuroCup Women
Celta W
#15
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/04
Liga Femenina W
73.6Avg total
37.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.371.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.234.570.7+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)35.436.171.5-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.373.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.874.0+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.037.470.4-4.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.835.371.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (13)36.934.571.4+2.554%-
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes W: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.523.6
50.8%
46.8%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.1
29.2%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
74.3%14.5
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.5
51.3%
46.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.5
39.4%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.0
72.4%
74.3%11.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes W
WLWWWLLWLL
Ferrol W
WLLWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#8
+16.6
Net rating
+12.5
104.6
Offensive rating
106.7
88.0
Defensive rating
94.2
48.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.2%
3-point %
39.4%
68.7%
Assist %
72.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 106.7Defence88.0 · 94.2Shooting48.4% · 53.9%3-point %29.2% · 39.4%Ball care17.4% · 17.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Estudiantes W   ■ Ferrol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estudiantes W wins
5
Ferrol W wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Ferrol W v Estudiantes W67-54
20/04/24Ferrol W v Estudiantes W71-63
29/10/23Estudiantes W v Ferrol W71-82
12/03/22Estudiantes W v Ferrol W80-65
21/11/21Ferrol W v Estudiantes W68-78
12/01/18Estudiantes W v Ferrol W59-75
07/10/17Ferrol W v Estudiantes W73-63
Estudiantes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25AArdoi W77-60
21/03/25APerfumerias Avenida W64-66
15/03/25AValencia W81-77
09/03/25HJairis W66-57
05/03/25AGran Canaria W66-63
01/03/25HEnsino W73-83
23/02/25ACadi La Seu W70-72
16/02/25HAraski W80-56
13/02/25APerfumerias Avenida W55-72
31/01/25HUni Girona W67-87
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HCelta W72-65
02/04/25AESB Villeneuve W70-84
26/03/25HESB Villeneuve W75-78
19/03/25AAraski W72-71
15/03/25HGernika Bizkaia W80-56
13/03/25ALyon W63-74
09/03/25AArdoi W83-68
06/03/25HLyon W93-62
01/03/25HValencia W54-74
27/02/25HSassari W89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes W
Liga Femenina W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%69%43%
Points / game70.772.868.6
Allowed / game69.667.172.0
Point differential+1.0+5.8-3.4
Avg total140.3139.9140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%71%38%
Points / game70.066.673.5
Allowed / game70.163.976.8
Point differential-0.1+2.8-3.2
Avg total140.0130.5150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uni Girona W2824486%81.466.0+15.4
2 Valencia W2923679%79.264.2+15.1
3 Perfumerias Avenida W2821775%74.065.0+9.0
4 Zaragoza W28181064%74.367.0+7.4
5 Jairis W28181064%72.866.4+6.5
6 Estudiantes W27151256%70.769.6+1.0
7 Ferrol W27151256%70.070.1-0.1
8 Joventut Badalona W28151354%72.072.4-0.4
9 Gernika Bizkaia W28131546%66.068.9-2.9
10 Ensino W28111739%69.170.4-1.2
11 Cadi La Seu W28111739%67.071.0-4.0
12 Gran Canaria W28101836%64.370.9-6.6
13 Araski W2891932%67.973.6-5.7
14 IDK Gipuzkoa W2992031%63.569.7-6.1
15 Celta W2882029%65.474.6-9.2
16 Ardoi W2842414%61.279.6-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Estudiantes W101320161069
Ferrol W13111421968
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