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Bergamo vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 99-85
17-24 27-19 30-19 25-23
Position#4
Record9-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game76.4
Bergamo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record8-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game76.8
ItalyA2 - WestRound 14
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bergamo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casale Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BergamoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#3
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A25/10
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H29/10
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A04/11
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H10/11
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H18/11
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A25/11
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A09/12
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H14/12
A2 - West
Latina
#8
L
106-109
106
109
-3
H18/12
A2 - West
Siena
#13
W
88-66
88
66
+22
A23/12
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
18-26
17-17
13-18
25-27
21-18
16-19
17-25
21-16
25-25
20-21
15-19
25-23
22-23
18-21
16-9
22-22
20-17
16-12
17-18
32-26
20-20
12-27
26-11
16-19
17-13
17-24
18-16
28-21
19-22
14-11
22-21
28-28
28-28
22-25
28-28
12-19
27-20
25-13
24-14
165.5Avg total
84.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.676.4158.0+5.269%
Season at home (7)83.477.0160.4+6.471%
Season away (6)79.575.7155.2+3.867%
Last 10 (10)84.181.4165.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)87.081.2168.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.283.7171.8+4.567%
vs Weaker (7)76.070.1146.1+5.971%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#10
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A24/10
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H28/10
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A04/11
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H11/11
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H18/11
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A25/11
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A02/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H09/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A16/12
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H22/12
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
27-30
16-19
26-16
18-14
15-11
14-19
23-11
18-13
19-23
19-19
10-19
15-17
21-21
18-23
23-21
24-16
27-21
24-29
21-16
26-15
20-27
10-10
11-18
30-22
24-17
18-26
16-19
18-22
12-12
12-11
24-11
30-27
18-21
19-35
22-18
18-19
24-12
17-24
21-16
156.4Avg total
79.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.276.8159.0+5.562%
Season at home (7)81.969.6151.4+12.386%
Season away (6)82.785.2167.8-2.533%
Last 10 (10)79.177.3156.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)78.076.4154.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.676.8148.4-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.074.3153.3+4.760%
vs Weaker (10)82.274.1156.3+8.180%
This opponent (Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
BergamoCasale Monferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BergamoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/10
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/10
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/11
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H18/11
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A25/11
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A09/12
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/12
A2 - West
Latina
#8
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H18/12
A2 - West
Siena
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A23/12
A2 - West
87.4Avg total
45.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)43.340.583.8+2.869%-
Last 30 at home (7)45.942.488.3+3.471%-
Last 30 away (6)40.338.378.7+2.067%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.487.4+2.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.288.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)47.044.291.2+2.867%-
vs Weaker (7)40.137.477.6+2.771%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A24/10
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/10
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/11
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/11
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H18/11
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A25/11
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A02/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H09/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A16/12
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H22/12
A2 - West
82.0Avg total
42.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.376.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.736.975.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.676.4+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.382.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.236.772.9-0.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.538.477.9+1.170%-
vs Weaker (10)40.436.777.1+3.750%-
This opponent (Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bergamo wins
0
Casale Monferrato wins
No previous meetings.
Bergamolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18ASiena88-66
18/12/18HLatina106-109
14/12/18HVirtus Cassino83-75
09/12/18ANPC Rieti68-72
25/11/18ATrapani90-84
18/11/18HLeonis Roma75-69
10/11/18HBiella81-76
04/11/18ACapo d'Orlando90-89 OT
29/10/18HAgrigento79-89
25/10/18ATreviglio81-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/18HLeonis Roma80-71
16/12/18AScafati89-101
09/12/18HAgrigento66-56
02/12/18ALegnano88-84
25/11/18ATreviglio67-70
18/11/18HCapo d'Orlando96-82
11/11/18HTortona77-82
04/11/18AVirtus Roma66-74
28/10/18HNPC Rieti70-55
24/10/18ATrapani92-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bergamo
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game81.683.479.5
Allowed / game76.477.075.7
Point differential+5.2+6.4+3.8
Avg total158.0160.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %15%0%33%
Casale Monferrato
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game82.281.982.7
Allowed / game76.869.685.2
Point differential+5.5+12.3-2.5
Avg total159.0151.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Roma1310377%80.277.1+3.1
2 Bergamo139469%81.676.4+5.2
3 Casale Monferrato138562%82.276.8+5.5
4 Capo d'Orlando138562%86.581.8+4.7
5 NPC Rieti138562%72.771.5+1.2
6 Latina138562%88.588.8-0.3
7 Biella137654%75.972.1+3.8
8 Agrigento137654%79.879.3+0.5
9 Leonis Roma137654%75.575.7-0.2
10 Siena137654%77.379.7-2.4
11 Trapani136746%84.284.8-0.6
12 Treviglio136746%81.283.5-2.3
13 Scafati135838%79.081.1-2.1
14 Tortona134931%71.673.0-1.4
15 Legnano1331023%73.080.2-7.2
16 Virtus Cassino131128%75.583.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bergamo1727302599
Casale Monferrato2419192385
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