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Beroe vs Polytechnica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-58
23-19 36-17 17-13 23-9
Position#9
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game99.3
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
Vs
79%
21%
■ BERO 79%■ POLY 21%
Pythia win probability
Projected 93-84
Projected total 177.9
Polytechnica
Bulgaria
Position#14
Record0-3
FormLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game96.3
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Municipal Hall
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Beroe host Polytechnica in the NBL. Pythia makes Beroe the favourite at 79% and projects 93-84, about 178 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Beroe are 0-3 this season (95.0 scored, 99.3 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Polytechnica are 0-3 this season (77.0 scored, 96.3 allowed a game), form LLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winWon
78.7%fair 1.27
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polytechnica winLost
21.3%fair 4.71
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
81-98
81
98
-17
no box
H29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 74
A04/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
83avg 74
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 74
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 74
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 74
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 74
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 74
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#6
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 74
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 74
A23/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
16-19
26-25
17-28
25-19
16-21
18-22
23-25
30-17
24-15
16-14
22-30
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
180.5Avg total
85.4Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.099.3194.3-4.30%
Season at home (1)95.098.0193.0-3.00%
Season away (2)95.0100.0195.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.495.1180.5-9.710%
Last 5 (5)86.895.4182.2-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.794.8174.5-15.112%
vs Similar (8)90.489.8180.1+0.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.683.0170.6+4.660%
This opponent (Polytechnica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolytechnicaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolytechnica
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#10
L
95-100
95
100
-5
58avg 54
A10/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
71-102
71
102
-31
61avg 54
H17/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#6
L
65-87
65
87
-22
41avg 54
A24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-23
23-26
24-26
21-28
16-25
21-25
13-24
24-22
11-22
20-18
10-25
173.3Avg total
77.0Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.096.3173.3-19.30%
Season at home (1)71.0102.0173.0-31.00%
Season away (2)80.093.5173.5-13.50%
Last 10 (3)77.096.3173.3-19.30%
Last 5 (3)77.096.3173.3-19.30%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.094.5162.5-26.50%
vs Similar (1)95.0100.0195.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
75.1%
Under 166.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5Actual: Under 171.5
Over 171.5
64.5%
Under 171.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5Actual: Under 176.5
Over 176.5
52.6%
Under 176.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Beroe total 83.5Actual: Beroe over 83.5
Over 83.5
83.8%
Under 83.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beroe total 87.5Actual: Beroe over 87.5
Over 87.5
72.3%
Under 87.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beroe total 91.5Actual: Beroe over 91.5
Over 91.5
57.7%
Under 91.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 79.5Actual: Polytechnica under 79.5
Over 79.5
67.8%
Under 79.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 83.5Actual: Polytechnica under 83.5
Over 83.5
52.8%
Under 83.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 87.5Actual: Polytechnica under 87.5
Over 87.5
37.5%
Under 87.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Beroe -3Actual: Beroe -3
BERO -3
72.2%
POLY +3
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
BERO
No market prices yet.
POLY
No market prices yet.
Spread Beroe 0Actual: Beroe 0
BERO 0
78.7%
POLY 0
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
BERO
No market prices yet.
POLY
No market prices yet.
Spread Beroe +3Actual: Beroe +3
BERO +3
84.9%
POLY -3
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
BERO
No market prices yet.
POLY
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -9.3-9.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -9.3-9.3
BeroePolytechnica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
89.8Avg total
44.0Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.587.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.641.485.0+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.947.689.5-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.889.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.889.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.546.486.9-5.918%-
vs Similar (8)44.544.088.5+0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.438.886.2+8.680%-
This opponent (Polytechnica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolytechnicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A10/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H17/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A24/10
NBL
88.3Avg total
40.0Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)40.048.388.3-8.30%-
Last 30 at home (1)37.053.090.0-16.00%-
Last 30 away (2)41.546.087.5-4.50%-
Last 10 (3)40.048.388.3-8.30%-
Last 5 (3)40.048.388.3-8.30%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.048.584.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (1)48.048.096.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.8
54.7%
55.7%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.5
25.7%
30.2%16.5
🏀 Free throws24.718.6
75.3%
70.7%18.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polytechnicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polytechnica: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀32%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
55.7%20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.710.3
41.9%
30.2%31.0
🏀 Free throws23.312.0
51.4%
70.7%12.0
They take 51.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLLLLLLWLL
Polytechnica
LLL
#9
League position
#14
-6.6
Net rating
-17.3
95.2
Offensive rating
77.9
101.8
Defensive rating
95.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
23.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.45
25.7%
3-point %
41.9%
61.7%
Assist %
85.2%
10%
Form (last 10/3)
0%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 77.9Defence101.8 · 95.2Shooting49.6% · 49.4%3-point %25.7% · 41.9%Ball care14.9% · 23.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.45Form (last 10/3)10% · 0%
■ Beroe   ■ Polytechnica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Beroe wins
0
Polytechnica wins
No previous meetings.
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
10/04/26HLevski92-76
04/04/26AMinyor82-87
29/03/26HRilski Sportist81-98
Polytechnicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALok. Plovdiv65-87
17/10/26HSpartak Pleven71-102
10/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game95.095.095.0
Allowed / game99.398.0100.0
Point differential-4.3-3.0-5.0
Avg total194.3193.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
Polytechnica
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.071.080.0
Allowed / game96.3102.093.5
Point differential-19.3-31.0-13.5
Avg total173.3173.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
2 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
3 Cherno More43175%87.269.8+17.5
4 Rilski Sportist43175%92.076.2+15.8
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Lok. Plovdiv43175%89.080.2+8.8
7 Spartak Pleven43175%85.276.8+8.5
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
10 Beroe3030%95.099.3-4.3
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Polytechnica3030%77.096.3-19.3
14 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe2336172399
Polytechnica191713958
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