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Beroe vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 80-90
14-19 25-23 18-23 23-25
Position#8
Record11-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#2
Record26-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game78.0
BulgariaNBLNBL - Quarter-finals· Municipal Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Beroe v Rilski Sportist
14 Nov 2026
BERO v RSP
upcoming
02 May 2026
BERO80
RSP90
29 Mar 2026
BERO81
RSP98
08 Nov 2025
BERO74
RSP96
26 Oct 2024
BERO66
RSP111
13 Jan 2024
BERO70
RSP82
05 Apr 2023
BERO100
RSP114
21 Jan 2023
BERO92
RSP95
06 Apr 2022
BERO76
RSP125
06 Nov 2021
BERO79
RSP90
08 Feb 2021
BERO78
RSP92
28 Mar 2020
BERO v RSP
upcoming
16 Nov 2019
BERO90
RSP86
20 May 2019
BERO94
RSP78
25 Mar 2019
BERO84
RSP77
16 Jan 2019
BERO80
RSP87
30 Dec 2018
BERO83
RSP81
30 Apr 2018
BERO70
RSP80
04 Nov 2017
BERO68
RSP96
31 Mar 2017
BERO79
RSP74
19 Nov 2016
BERO88
RSP72
05 Dec 2015
BERO84
RSP77
04 May 2015
BERO65
RSP78
10 Jan 2015
BERO66
RSP73
26 Oct 2013
BERO72
RSP93
22 Feb 2013
BERO85
RSP100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
85avg 73
H13/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
83avg 73
H18/03
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 73
A22/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
79-92
79
92
-13
65avg 73
A25/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
81-98
81
98
-17
no box
H29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 73
A04/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
83avg 73
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 73
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 73
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 73
A30/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-21
29-22
19-27
20-24
29-19
18-21
26-21
18-29
24-23
15-16
26-28
23-22
19-27
12-13
25-30
22-26
16-19
26-25
17-28
25-19
16-21
18-22
23-25
30-17
24-15
16-14
22-30
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
176.4Avg total
83.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.089.2172.2-6.235%
Season at home (15)85.786.1171.8-0.560%
Season away (16)80.592.0172.5-11.512%
Last 10 (10)83.992.5176.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)81.693.0174.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.994.3174.2-14.411%
vs Similar (6)87.381.2168.5+6.267%
vs Weaker (6)86.882.2169.0+4.767%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
W
108-68
108
68
+40
108avg 83
A14/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 83
H18/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 83
A22/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
95-63
95
63
+32
95avg 83
A25/03
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
no box
A29/03
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
100-92
100
92
+8
94avg 83
H05/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 83
H08/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
A19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
109-88
109
88
+21
112avg 83
H25/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
85avg 83
H30/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
28-16
20-27
27-8
23-14
13-22
20-20
25-17
23-18
20-17
19-19
16-25
27-11
23-24
22-18
23-10
26-22
19-16
25-26
28-17
23-32
26-22
24-25
27-13
26-27
23-16
20-24
27-22
21-15
26-20
22-20
17-18
22-25
30-21
32-19
25-23
22-19
22-15
22-17
23-18
171.5Avg total
94.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)91.678.0169.6+13.684%
Season at home (16)92.178.4170.6+13.794%
Season away (15)91.077.5168.5+13.573%
Last 10 (10)94.077.5171.5+16.590%
Last 5 (5)96.082.2178.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.085.3151.3-19.30%
vs Similar (4)78.277.0155.2+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)94.278.4172.6+15.791%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +6.7+6.7
BeroeRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H13/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/03
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A25/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
89.5Avg total
43.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.886.0-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.185.1+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)40.546.486.9-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.789.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.689.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.246.487.6-5.222%-
vs Similar (6)41.840.882.7+1.067%-
vs Weaker (6)45.738.884.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
W
61-33
61
33
+28
A14/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A25/03
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A29/03
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H05/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H08/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/04
NBL
86.5Avg total
47.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.340.285.5+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.641.087.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.139.583.6+4.675%-
Last 10 (10)47.638.986.5+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.490.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.743.076.7-9.30%-
vs Similar (4)39.036.575.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.940.588.3+7.487%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.825.2
52.7%
54.5%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.0
24.9%
32.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws25.517.4
68.2%
71.3%17.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.8
59.5%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.9
39.9%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.817.6
73.9%
71.3%17.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLLWLLLLWW
Rilski Sportist
WWWWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#2
-9.8
Net rating
+18.5
93.1
Offensive rating
107.2
102.9
Defensive rating
88.7
48.2%
Effective FG%
59.7%
60.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
12.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
24.9%
3-point %
39.9%
60.9%
Assist %
61.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 107.2Defence102.9 · 88.7Shooting48.2% · 59.7%3-point %24.9% · 39.9%Ball care12.5% · 13.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Beroe   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Beroe wins
10
Rilski Sportist wins
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
10/04/26HLevski92-76
04/04/26AMinyor82-87
29/03/26HRilski Sportist81-98
25/03/26ASpartak Pleven79-92
22/03/26ALok. Plovdiv83-96
18/03/26HAcademic Plovdiv93-85
13/03/26HShumen95-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HBeroe89-69
25/04/26HSpartak Pleven109-88
19/04/26AAcademic Plovdiv86-73
08/04/26HBotev 201296-89
05/04/26HLok. Plovdiv100-92
29/03/26ABeroe98-81
25/03/26AShumen95-63
22/03/26ABalkan78-79
18/03/26HCherno More81-73
14/03/26ALevski108-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%60%12%
Points / game83.085.780.5
Allowed / game89.286.192.0
Point differential-6.2-0.5-11.5
Avg total172.2171.8172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %84%94%73%
Points / game91.692.191.0
Allowed / game78.078.477.5
Point differential+13.6+13.7+13.5
Avg total169.6170.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%56%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist3126584%91.678.0+13.6
2 Balkan3226681%91.977.4+14.5
3 Cherno More3223972%90.980.8+10.1
4 Lok. Plovdiv31201165%90.883.7+7.1
5 Spartak Pleven32171553%81.981.6+0.3
6 Botev 201231161552%81.482.7-1.4
7 Minyor32151747%86.292.3-6.1
8 Beroe31112035%83.089.2-6.2
9 Academic Plovdiv3092130%81.287.2-6.0
10 Levski3052517%76.991.0-14.1
11 Shumen3032710%79.192.6-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe1425182380
Rilski Sportist1923232590
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