Bilbao vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 82-53

18-17 28-14 15-9 21-13

Position#2

Record7-3

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game72.6

Bilbao 🏆

Caceres

Position#14

Record3-7

FormWLLLW

Points / game69.0

Allowed / game76.1

Primera FEBRound 11

Other2018-19

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caceres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

82-77 OT

A06/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

87-78

H10/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

75-70

A14/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

69-76

-7

H19/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

74-64

+10

A26/10

Primera FEB

Valladolid

84-77

H04/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

64-70

-6

A09/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

77-71

H18/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

73-66

A24/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

76-77

-1

H27/11

Primera FEB

18-22

22-21

20-15

12-14

20-24

24-17

21-21

22-16

19-14

12-21

19-20

25-15

26-19

14-23

17-14

12-20

12-17

18-9

19-16

25-22

26-22

16-20

25-19

17-16

14-22

20-18

10-9

20-21

15-24

16-14

22-8

24-25

14-17

16-12

19-18

24-19

23-13

17-19

20-22

16-23

148.7Avg total

76.1Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	76.1	72.6	148.7	+3.5	70%
Season at home (5)	78.6	75.8	154.4	+2.8	60%
Season away (5)	73.6	69.4	143.0	+4.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	72.6	148.7	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	72.2	147.0	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	73.5	83.8	157.3	-10.3	7%
vs Similar (9)	76.2	78.6	154.8	-2.3	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	78.1	72.9	151.0	+5.3	71%

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caceres

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

68-64

A06/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

57-70

-13

H10/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

60-84

-24

A14/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

58-69

-11

H19/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

59-86

-27

A26/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

84-80

H02/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

71-75 OT

-4

A09/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

72-77

-5

H16/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

74-82 OT

-8

A25/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

87-74

+13

H28/11

Primera FEB

24-9

20-17

6-21

18-17

14-21

16-22

16-18

11-9

21-20

16-21

16-23

7-20

21-24

13-15

16-14

8-16

16-21

17-17

15-27

11-21

11-17

21-16

27-24

25-23

18-27

18-11

12-17

17-10

19-20

14-17

19-20

20-20

18-15

24-19

13-21

16-16

22-22

25-18

20-14

20-20

145.1Avg total

69.0Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	69.0	76.1	145.1	-7.1	30%
Season at home (5)	71.6	74.0	145.6	-2.4	40%
Season away (5)	66.4	78.2	144.6	-11.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	69.0	76.1	145.1	-7.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	77.6	155.2	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	69.9	77.6	147.5	-7.7	33%
vs Similar (15)	77.5	79.8	157.3	-2.3	47%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoCaceres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.6	20.8	38.3	-3.2	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.5	39.9	-1.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	20.1	36.6	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	21.6	37.3	-5.9	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.4	34.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.4	21.3	36.7	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	16.9	17.6	34.4	-0.7	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.3	35.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

40-43

-3

A06/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

44-41

H10/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

31-35

-4

A14/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

40-42

-2

H19/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

30-26

A26/10

Primera FEB

Valladolid

42-42

H04/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

34-40

-6

A09/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

31-38

-7

H18/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

30-29

A24/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

40-32

H27/11

Primera FEB

73.0Avg total

36.2Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	39.2	74.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	39.5	75.9	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.2	38.9	73.1	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	36.8	73.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	36.2	71.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.5	40.4	74.9	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.7	40.9	76.6	-5.2	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	36.6	34.6	71.1	+2.0	71%	-

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

44-26

+18

A06/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

30-43

-13

H10/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

37-41

-4

A14/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

34-39

-5

H19/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

33-38

-5

A26/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

32-33

-1

H02/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

36-38

-2

A09/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

33-37

-4

H16/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

42-34

A25/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

47-40

H28/11

Primera FEB

73.7Avg total

36.8Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	39.1	75.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	37.7	76.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	36.9	73.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.4	74.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.7	39.3	75.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.9	37.5	77.4	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	18.5	40.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	21.8	38.5	-5.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.2	34.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.6	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.4	37.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.1	37.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	21.7	37.7	-5.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.9	35.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.2	40.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.3	20.9	41.1	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.2	34.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	17.2	32.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	53%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.7	19.7	38.5	-1.0	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	38.3	80.9	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	42.3	79.2	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.4	37.1	76.6	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	41.6	38.3	79.9	+3.3	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	39.0	74.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	38.1	75.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.7	39.9	72.6	-7.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.3	37.1	68.4	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	33.6	36.9	70.5	-3.3	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.5	41.1	77.7	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	51.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.3	35.0%	33.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.4	67.4%	73.6%	12.4

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cacerestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.4	52.3%	51.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.0	38.5%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.9	76.8%	73.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	16.9	50.5%	51.8%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.5%	33.7%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.3	71.3%	73.6%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.7	55.0%	51.8%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.7	37.3%	33.7%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.5	75.7%	73.6%	16.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Caceres wins

No previous meetings.

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/18	H	Araberri	76-77
24/11/18	A	Prat Joventut	73-66
18/11/18	H	Iberojet Palma	77-71
09/11/18	A	Real Betis	64-70
04/11/18	H	Valladolid	84-77
26/10/18	A	Leyma Coruna	74-64
19/10/18	H	Huesca	69-76
14/10/18	A	Forca Lleida	75-70
10/10/18	H	Castello	87-78
06/10/18	A	Oviedo	82-77 OT

Cacereslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/18	H	Prat Joventut	87-74
25/11/18	A	Iberojet Palma	74-82 OT
16/11/18	H	Real Betis	72-77
09/11/18	A	Valladolid	71-75 OT
02/11/18	H	Leyma Coruna	84-80
26/10/18	A	Huesca	59-86
19/10/18	H	Forca Lleida	58-69
14/10/18	A	Castello	60-84
10/10/18	H	Oviedo	57-70
06/10/18	A	Barcelona B	68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	70%
Home	WLWWL	60%
Away	WWWLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	60%	80%
Points / game	76.1	78.6	73.6
Allowed / game	72.6	75.8	69.4
Point differential	+3.5	+2.8	+4.2
Avg total	148.7	154.4	143.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

Caceres

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	30%
Home	LLWLW	40%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	30%	40%	20%
Points / game	69.0	71.6	66.4
Allowed / game	76.1	74.0	78.2
Point differential	-7.1	-2.4	-11.8
Avg total	145.1	145.6	144.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	20%	0%	40%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	10	8	2	80%	84.8	77.1	+7.7
2	Forca Lleida	10	8	2	80%	74.4	67.7	+6.7
3	Huesca	10	7	3	70%	80.1	74.9	+5.2
4	Bilbao	10	7	3	70%	76.1	72.6	+3.5
5	Palencia	10	7	3	70%	86.0	84.0	+2.0
6	Oviedo	10	6	4	60%	75.8	69.7	+6.1
7	Granada	10	6	4	60%	76.0	70.6	+5.4
8	Melilla	10	6	4	60%	75.9	77.8	-1.9
9	Iberojet Palma	10	5	5	50%	80.2	77.6	+2.6
10	Valladolid	10	5	5	50%	82.4	80.5	+1.9
11	Ourense	10	5	5	50%	73.2	71.9	+1.3
12	Real Canoe	10	5	5	50%	70.2	75.0	-4.8
13	Araberri	10	4	6	40%	82.2	86.8	-4.6
14	Barcelona B	10	3	7	30%	77.7	74.8	+2.9
15	Castello	10	3	7	30%	74.0	79.5	-5.5
16	Caceres	10	3	7	30%	69.0	76.1	-7.1
17	Leyma Coruna	10	1	9	10%	77.0	87.3	-10.3
18	Prat Joventut	10	1	9	10%	74.4	85.5	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	18	28	15	21	82
Caceres	17	14	9	13	53

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Caceres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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