Bisons Loimaa vs Lahti Basketball Result & Analysis

Bisons Loimaa host Lahti Basketball on 4 November 2026 in the Korisliiga, with the Bisons as the model favourite and a projected 56% chance of victory; the model expects a close 84-82 win for the home side. The Bisons have gone 2-6 in all eight games this season, scoring 73.1 points per game and allowing 85.5, while at home they are 1-3, averaging 78.5 points and conceding 87.8; their last five games included a 100-88 home win over UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki but otherwise four defeats, including a 73-96 loss to Kipina. Lahti, 3-5 overall, averages 80.5 points and 86.1 allowed, yet on the road they are 0-3, 74.7 points and 83.0 allowed; their recent five games feature a single win and three losses, with the most recent being a 68-73 away defeat to Karhu Basket. In the last ten meetings the Bisons lead 6-4, most recently beating Lahti 92-89 on 18 March 2026. Pythia projects a total of 166.1 points, with a 1.0 point home line and a 58% chance the Bisons will cover it, while the 166.0 over line has a 49% probability; overtime is a 5% possibility. The Bisons' recent 100-88 home victory over UU-Korihait suggests they may edge Lahti in this tightly contested fixture.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bisons Loimaa winLost

56.3%fair 1.78

Best odds2.09

Implied45.7%

Edge+10.6pp

Lahti Basketball winWon

43.7%fair 2.29

Best odds1.83

Implied54.3%

Edge-10.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bisons Loimaa Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLoimaa

Date

Competition

Kataja

89-92

-3

76avg 74

H14/03

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

92-89

86avg 74

A18/03

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

64-87

-23

46avg 74

A29/09

Korisliiga

Kataja

71-86

-15

60avg 74

H03/10

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

73-72

59avg 74

A06/10

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

56-84

-28

25avg 74

A09/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

70-81

-11

59avg 74

H17/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

100-88

100

+12

95avg 74

H21/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

78-90

-12

66avg 74

A24/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

73-96

-23

57avg 74

H31/10

Korisliiga

13-21

24-28

27-21

25-22

29-19

21-22

23-24

19-24

17-20

12-23

18-22

17-22

18-20

23-16

14-29

16-21

18-24

19-20

14-12

22-16

11-15

21-22

9-20

15-27

14-23

25-20

12-18

19-20

27-23

29-18

18-23

26-24

21-25

20-23

16-19

21-23

23-26

8-23

25-22

17-25

163.1Avg total

76.6Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	73.1	85.5	158.6	-12.4	25%
Season at home (4)	78.5	87.8	166.2	-9.2	25%
Season away (4)	67.8	83.2	151.0	-15.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	86.5	163.1	-9.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	87.8	163.2	-12.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	73.3	85.2	158.6	-11.9	22%
vs Similar (12)	84.4	85.8	170.2	-1.3	25%
vs Weaker (9)	94.0	81.3	175.3	+12.7	67%

This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lahti Basketball Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasketball

Date

Competition

Kobrat

#12

100-101

100

101

-1

87avg 76

A14/03

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

89-92

-3

73avg 76

H18/03

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

70-76

-6

59avg 76

A02/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

91-85

78avg 76

H07/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

#11

91-83

86avg 76

H14/10

Korisliiga

Honka

86-100

100

-14

71avg 76

A16/10

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

108-102 OT

108

102

95avg 76

H21/10

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

68-73

-5

62avg 76

A23/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

78-90

-12

62avg 76

H27/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

52-80

-28

38avg 76

H30/10

Korisliiga

26-30

27-19

24-31

23-21

19-29

22-21

24-23

24-19

14-23

11-21

20-16

25-16

27-23

21-22

19-23

24-17

16-11

30-30

18-21

27-21

24-16

22-30

21-26

19-28

22-18

19-19

26-24

28-34

11-29

13-19

26-10

18-15

23-27

12-18

23-16

20-29

20-17

13-26

16-22

3-15

171.5Avg total

83.3Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.5	86.1	166.6	-5.6	38%
Season at home (5)	84.0	88.0	172.0	-4.0	60%
Season away (3)	74.7	83.0	157.7	-8.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	88.2	171.5	-4.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	89.0	167.4	-10.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	86.8	92.5	179.3	-5.6	36%
vs Similar (16)	85.2	86.7	171.9	-1.4	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	105.7	99.3	205.0	+6.3	67%

This opponent (Bisons Loimaa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5

Over 160.5

62.3%

@ 1.50-0.1pp

Under 160.5

37.7%

@ 2.50+0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

Betano

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.42

Over/Under 165.75 · main lineActual: Over 165.75

Over 165.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 165.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5

Over 170.5

38.6%

@ 2.40-0.3pp

Under 170.5

61.4%

@ 1.52+0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.52

Marathon Be

1.51

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Bisons Loimaa total 79.5Actual: Bisons Loimaa over 79.5

Over 79.5

66.4%

@ 1.53+7.1pp

Under 79.5

33.6%

@ 2.30-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.48

Under

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.10

Bisons Loimaa total 83.5 · main lineActual: Bisons Loimaa over 83.5

Over 83.5

51.4%

@ 2.02+4.8pp

Under 83.5

48.6%

@ 1.83-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.02

Marathon Be

1.93

1xBet

1.90

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.76

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.58

Bisons Loimaa total 87.5Actual: Bisons Loimaa over 87.5

Over 87.5

36.2%

@ 2.70+2.7pp

Under 87.5

63.8%

@ 1.40-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.70

Betano

2.67

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.31

Lahti Basketball total 76.5Actual: Lahti Basketball over 76.5

Over 76.5

70.4%

Under 76.5

29.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Lahti Basketball total 80.5 · main lineActual: Lahti Basketball over 80.5

Over 80.5

55.8%

@ 1.83-4.1pp

Under 80.5

44.2%

@ 2.35+4.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.45

Under

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.17

Bet365

1.83

Lahti Basketball total 84.5Actual: Lahti Basketball over 84.5

Over 84.5

40.6%

@ 1.98-6.0pp

Under 84.5

59.4%

@ 1.72+6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

1xBet

1.85

Under

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.62

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bisons Loimaa -1Actual: Lahti Basketball +1

BLO -1

55.0%

@ 2.18+11.5pp

LAHT +1

45.0%

@ 1.80-11.5pp

Best 5 market prices

BLO

Pinnacle

2.18

Marathon Be

2.12

SBO

1.89

Bet365

1.86

LAHT

Bet365

1.80

SBO

1.77

Pinnacle

1.68

Marathon Be

1.63

Spread Bisons Loimaa +2 · main lineActual: Lahti Basketball -2

BLO +2

61.7%

@ 1.92+12.1pp

LAHT -2

38.3%

@ 2.05-12.1pp

Best 5 market prices

BLO

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.81

Bet365

1.68

LAHT

Bet365

2.05

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.88

1xBet

1.88

SBO

1.87

Spread Bisons Loimaa +5Actual: Bisons Loimaa +5

BLO +5

72.0%

LAHT -5

28.0%

Best 5 market prices

BLO

No market prices yet.

LAHT

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bisons LoimaaLahti Basketball

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.1	67%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.3	43.3	-1.4	33%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.8	21.6	40.3	-2.8	22%	44%
vs Similar (12)	20.8	22.5	43.2	-1.8	50%	58%
vs Weaker (9)	25.9	19.6	45.4	+6.3	78%	56%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	62%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	23.7	44.1	-3.3	29%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	23.0	21.7	44.7	+1.3	55%	64%
vs Similar (16)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	50%	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	24.7	28.3	53.0	-3.7	0%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	22.1	45.3	+1.2	60%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.3	21.4	40.8	-2.1	33%	56%
vs Similar (12)	22.8	18.8	41.7	+4.0	67%	67%
vs Weaker (9)	23.7	21.8	45.4	+1.9	44%	78%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	37%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.7	44.4	-0.9	44%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.8	42.7	-2.9	29%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.4	38.2	-6.6	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.8	23.6	44.5	-2.8	27%	64%
vs Similar (16)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	31%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	27.7	20.0	47.7	+7.7	100%	100%

Bisons LoimaaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kataja

37-49

-12

H14/03

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

50-41

A18/03

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

29-43

-14

A29/09

Korisliiga

Kataja

41-36

H03/10

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

37-44

-7

A06/10

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

32-37

-5

A09/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

39-43

-4

H17/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

56-41

+15

H21/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

41-48

-7

A24/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

31-49

-18

H31/10

Korisliiga

82.4Avg total

39.3Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	43.7	41.8	85.6	+1.9	50%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	42.4	88.1	+3.3	60%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	41.3	83.0	+0.5	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	39.3	43.1	82.4	-3.8	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.1	43.0	81.1	-4.9	22%	22%
vs Similar (12)	43.6	41.3	84.9	+2.2	58%	67%
vs Weaker (9)	49.6	41.3	90.9	+8.2	67%	89%

This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobrat

#12

53-49

A14/03

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

41-50

-9

H18/03

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

25-44

-19

A02/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

48-45

H07/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

#11

46-41

H14/10

Korisliiga

Honka

46-46

A16/10

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

41-37

H21/10

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

24-48

-24

A23/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

35-45

-10

H27/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

33-43

-10

H30/10

Korisliiga

84.0Avg total

39.2Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	42.8	45.5	88.3	-2.8	30%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	44.7	89.6	+0.2	44%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	46.5	86.9	-6.1	14%	64%
Last 10 (10)	39.2	44.8	84.0	-5.6	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	35.8	43.8	79.6	-8.0	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	43.8	45.4	89.2	-1.5	27%	64%
vs Similar (16)	40.2	45.1	85.4	-4.9	25%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	52.3	48.3	100.7	+4.0	67%	100%

This opponent (Bisons Loimaa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Lahti Basketball win

BLO win

no forecast

@ 2.04

LAHT win

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Bisons Loimaa -0.5 · main lineActual: Lahti Basketball +0.5

BLO -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

LAHT +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Over/Under 83 · main lineActual: Under 83

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

Bisons Loimaa 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Bisons Loimaa under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.98

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Lahti Basketball 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Lahti Basketball over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half: BLO + total 83.5

BLO & over

no forecast

@ 3.80

BLO & under

no forecast

@ 3.60

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: LAHT + total 83.5

LAHT & over

no forecast

@ 3.80

LAHT & under

no forecast

@ 3.60

1st half Over/Under 81.75Actual: Over 81.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Over/Under 84.25Actual: Under 84.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half Spread Bisons Loimaa -1.5Actual: Lahti Basketball +1.5

BLO -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.33

LAHT +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Bisons Loimaa +0.5Actual: Lahti Basketball -0.5

BLO +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

LAHT -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.70

1st half Spread Bisons Loimaa -2.5Actual: Lahti Basketball +2.5

BLO -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.47

LAHT +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation

BLO

no forecast

@ 2.02

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

LAHT

no forecast

@ 1.90

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.6	-1.5	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.5	40%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.6	20.9	36.4	-5.3	22%	22%
vs Similar (12)	21.3	24.1	45.4	-2.8	33%	75%
vs Weaker (9)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	56%	67%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.3	63%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	21.0	44.9	+2.9	69%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.7	57%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	45%	55%
vs Similar (16)	24.2	19.6	43.8	+4.6	75%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	27.3	25.7	53.0	+1.7	67%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	40%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.7	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.7	33%	44%
vs Similar (12)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	42%	42%
vs Weaker (9)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.4	44%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.9	45.0	-2.9	30%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	24.6	46.2	-2.9	31%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.9	29%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.2	41.8	-6.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	27.0	48.2	-5.8	18%	82%
vs Similar (16)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	31%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	26.0	25.3	51.3	+0.7	67%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	40.2	42.4	82.7	-2.2	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	44.2	85.5	-2.9	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.7	79.8	-1.5	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	43.4	80.7	-6.1	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	35.6	44.2	79.8	-8.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.2	42.2	77.4	-7.0	22%	22%
vs Similar (12)	40.8	44.4	85.2	-3.6	33%	58%
vs Weaker (9)	44.4	40.0	84.4	+4.4	67%	78%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	44.7	44.3	89.0	+0.4	47%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	45.5	45.6	91.1	-0.1	44%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	43.7	42.9	86.6	+0.9	50%	64%
Last 10 (10)	42.8	42.7	85.5	+0.1	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.8	83.8	-3.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	43.0	47.1	90.1	-4.1	36%	91%
vs Similar (16)	44.2	41.1	85.3	+3.1	56%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	53.3	51.0	104.3	+2.3	33%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BLO win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

LAHT win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BLO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: LAHT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BLO:LAHT): BLO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Bisons Loimaa +10.5	85.5%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +5.5	72.9%	1.45	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +6.5	75.9%	1.38	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +7.5	78.7%	1.31	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +9.5	83.4%	1.25	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 77.5	73.2%	1.40	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 75.5	79.2%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +8.5	81.2%	1.27	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 88.5	73.2%	1.38	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Bisons Loimaa +14.5	91.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +19.5	96.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +9.5	74.9%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +24.5	98.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +18.5	95.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +23.5	98.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 87.5	70.0%	1.40	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.39	Bet365 1.38	-	-	+6.4pp	Lost
Bisons Loimaa over 71.5	88.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 76.5	76.3%	1.29	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 63.5	97.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 65.5	96.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 72.5	86.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 64.5	95.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 64.5	97.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 62.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 66.5	95.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 69.5	91.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +21.5	95.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 67.5	94.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 102.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +26.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 70.5	86.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa under 103.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa +13.5	90.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 60.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 92.5	84.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Lahti Basketball over 66.5	93.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 89.5	76.3%	1.27	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Lahti Basketball over 68.5	90.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 68.5	93.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +20.5	94.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 63.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 62.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 73.5	84.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 70.5	90.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa under 100.5	94.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 97.5	92.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 65.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +16.5	89.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa over 74.5	81.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa under 98.5	92.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 61.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 93.5	86.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Lahti Basketball under 91.5	81.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
Lahti Basketball under 95.5	89.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Over 140.5	93.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +10.5	77.7%	1.25	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 73.5	79.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 67.5	92.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	-
Bisons Loimaa under 94.5	84.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa under 96.5	88.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Under 190.5	92.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa under 93.5	82.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Over 150.5	82.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 69.5	88.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 72.5	82.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +15.5	88.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 145.5	89.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Lahti Basketball +11.5	80.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 71.5	84.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Lahti Basketball over 75.5	73.6%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Under 185.5	87.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa under 90.5	74.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 180.5	81.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Lost
Over 155.5	73.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Bisons Loimaa under 92.5	79.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Under 175.5	72.1%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Lost
Lahti Basketball +8.5	72.0%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bisons Loimaatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bisons Loimaa: 74.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.8	21.4	50.0%	54.2%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	6.7	29.4%	32.9%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.7	76.5%	75.8%	11.7

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 82.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	21.9	49.1%	54.2%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	9.0	29.8%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.0	68.6%	75.8%	12.0

They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	22.2	58.3%	54.2%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.8	33.0%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.6	11.4	73.1%	75.8%	11.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.8	25.3	57.8%	54.2%	50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	7.6	27.5%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.8	75.9%	75.8%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	22.0	52.3%	54.2%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.6	33.9%	32.9%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.8	75.9%	75.8%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	23.5	52.6%	54.2%	46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.4	32.9%	32.9%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	17.5	11.6	66.0%	75.8%	11.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	21.4	53.1%	54.2%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.2	32.1%	32.9%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.7	73.9%	75.8%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.8	23.8	54.3%	54.2%	47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	8.9	30.4%	32.9%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.0	76.1%	75.8%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Bisons Loimaa

LLWLLWLLWL

Lahti Basketball

LLLWLWWLLL

#12

League position

-9.1

Net rating

-5.7

89.1

Offensive rating

87.4

98.2

Defensive rating

93.0

47.9%

Effective FG%

47.3%

54.6%

Opp. effective FG%

51.4%

14.1%

Turnover %

14.0%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.23

29.4%

3-point %

29.8%

44.8%

Assist %

54.4%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Bisons Loimaa ■ Lahti Basketball

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bisons Loimaa wins

Lahti Basketball wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/26	Lahti Basketball v Bisons Loimaa	89-92
18/02/26	Bisons Loimaa v Lahti Basketball	93-94
17/12/25	Bisons Loimaa v Lahti Basketball	77-80
10/10/25	Lahti Basketball v Bisons Loimaa	100-76
30/03/24	Bisons Loimaa v Lahti Basketball	98-92
06/03/24	Lahti Basketball v Bisons Loimaa	64-82
15/12/23	Lahti Basketball v Bisons Loimaa	88-101
10/10/23	Bisons Loimaa v Lahti Basketball	106-88
15/03/22	Lahti Basketball v Bisons Loimaa	86-70
05/03/22	Bisons Loimaa v Lahti Basketball	104-102 OT

Bisons Loimaalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	H	Kipina	73-96
24/10/26	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	78-90
21/10/26	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	100-88
17/10/26	H	Salon Vilpas	70-81
09/10/26	A	Helsinki Seagulls	56-84
06/10/26	A	Karhu Basket	73-72
03/10/26	H	Kataja	71-86
29/09/26	A	KTP Kotka Basket	64-87
18/03/26	A	Lahti Basketball	92-89
14/03/26	H	Kataja	89-92

Lahti Basketballlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Salon Vilpas	52-80
27/10/26	H	Kipina	78-90
23/10/26	A	Karhu Basket	68-73
21/10/26	H	Karhu Basket	108-102 OT
16/10/26	A	Honka	86-100
14/10/26	H	Kouvot Kouvola	91-83
07/10/26	H	Kataja	91-85
02/10/26	A	Helsinki Seagulls	70-76
18/03/26	H	Bisons Loimaa	89-92
14/03/26	A	Kobrat	100-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bisons Loimaa

Korisliiga 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	25%	25%	25%
Points / game	73.1	78.5	67.8
Allowed / game	85.5	87.8	83.2
Point differential	-12.4	-9.2	-15.5
Avg total	158.6	166.2	151.0
Over 165.75	38%	50%	25%
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lahti Basketball

Korisliiga 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	38%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	38%	60%	0%
Points / game	80.5	84.0	74.7
Allowed / game	86.1	88.0	83.0
Point differential	-5.6	-4.0	-8.3
Avg total	166.6	172.0	157.7
Over 165.75	62%	80%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KTP Kotka Basket	8	7	1	88%	95.0	83.4	+11.6
2	Kipina	8	7	1	88%	97.2	87.6	+9.6
3	Honka	9	7	2	78%	102.0	97.4	+4.6
4	Salon Vilpas	8	5	3	62%	87.0	79.1	+7.9
5	Pyrinto Tampere	9	5	4	56%	87.1	87.0	+0.1
6	Helsinki Seagulls	9	4	5	44%	80.1	83.4	-3.3
7	Kataja	8	3	5	38%	86.2	86.5	-0.2
8	Karhu Basket	8	3	5	38%	83.5	85.2	-1.8
9	Lahti Basketball	8	3	5	38%	80.5	86.1	-5.6
10	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	8	2	6	25%	87.8	93.6	-5.9
11	Bisons Loimaa	8	2	6	25%	73.1	85.5	-12.4
12	Kouvot Kouvola	9	2	7	22%	86.4	90.7	-4.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Bisons Loimaa	20	17	20	27	6	90
Lahti Basketball	25	20	23	16	9	93

← all games of the day

Bisons Loimaa vs Lahti Basketball Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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