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BK Liepaja vs Rigas Juniori Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-88
23-24 26-23 21-21 28-20
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#12
Record2-1
FormLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Juniori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
81avg 70
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
76avg 70
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
66avg 70
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 70
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 70
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
57avg 70
H23/09
ENBL
Parnu
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 70
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
61avg 70
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
45avg 70
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 70
H06/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
27-13
18-24
17-25
19-20
17-19
23-29
23-21
22-17
21-24
20-19
8-16
22-27
26-24
24-13
30-19
13-17
18-30
18-24
25-15
18-21
19-29
17-12
15-30
18-16
18-23
16-18
21-19
20-25
22-23
24-20
17-19
12-17
20-28
11-27
12-10
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
162.6Avg total
78.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.381.7152.0-11.30%
Season at home (1)83.087.0170.0-4.00%
Season away (2)64.079.0143.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)78.484.2162.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)72.282.2154.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.789.7165.3-14.06%
vs Similar (2)82.080.5162.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.884.4167.2-1.733%
This opponent (Rigas Juniori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas JunioriLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniori
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#8
L
56-117
56
117
-61
42avg 64
H29/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 64
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
82avg 64
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
82-81
82
81
+1
68avg 64
H07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
12-35
17-26
17-33
16-28
19-17
21-17
17-20
16-30
27-18
17-17
20-15
22-25
19-20
23-20
18-16
168.0Avg total
76.2Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.083.3166.3-0.367%
Season at home (3)83.083.3166.3-0.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)76.291.8168.0-15.550%
Last 5 (4)76.291.8168.0-15.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
vs Similar (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (1)94.087.0181.0+7.0100%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -10.5-10.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -10.5-10.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
BK LiepajaRigas Juniori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H23/09
ENBL
Parnu
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
84.2Avg total
40.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.484.5-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.985.7-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)38.345.083.3-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.184.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.882.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.345.381.6-8.911%-
vs Similar (2)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.344.189.4+1.256%-
This opponent (Rigas Juniori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas JunioriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#8
L
22-58
22
58
-36
H29/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
84.2Avg total
35.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)35.249.084.2-13.80%-
Last 30 at home (4)35.249.084.2-13.80%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (4)35.249.084.2-13.80%-
Last 5 (4)35.249.084.2-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (1)41.045.086.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (1)43.048.091.0-5.00%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.7
50.4%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.2
32.5%
31.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.113.4
66.7%
68.3%13.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Junioritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Juniori: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.5 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.023.8
50.5%
52.5%47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.85.8
30.7%
31.4%17.2
🏀 Free throws21.011.5
54.8%
68.3%11.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WLLLLLWLLL
Rigas Juniori
WWLL
#10
League position
#12
-6.3
Net rating
-16.4
88.7
Offensive rating
83.3
95.1
Defensive rating
99.7
49.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
30.7%
57.3%
Assist %
52.5%
20%
Form (last 10/4)
50%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 83.3Defence95.1 · 99.7Shooting49.7% · 49.2%3-point %32.5% · 30.7%Ball care15.5% · 18.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/4)20% · 50%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Rigas Juniori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BK Liepaja wins
0
Rigas Juniori wins
No previous meetings.
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
03/10/26AVEF Riga55-82
30/09/26HTartu Ulikool83-87
26/09/26AParnu73-76
23/09/26HTindastoll69-92
14/03/26HVEF Riga74-86
10/03/26ALatvijas Universitate102-83
04/03/26AViimsi71-76
18/02/26HVentspils82-89
14/02/26HBC Kalev/Cramo94-97 OT
Rigas Juniorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26HViimsi82-81
01/10/26HLatvijas Universitate94-87 OT
22/09/26HValmiera Glass Via73-82
29/12/25HVEF Riga56-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.383.064.0
Allowed / game81.787.079.0
Point differential-11.3-4.0-15.0
Avg total152.0170.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Juniori
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game83.383.3-
Point differential-0.3-0.3-
Avg total166.3166.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga550100%91.664.8+26.8
2 Valmiera Glass Via440100%95.271.8+23.5
3 Rigas Zelli440100%94.275.8+18.5
4 Ventspils43175%90.587.0+3.5
5 Rigas Juniori32167%83.083.3-0.3
6 Tartu Ulikool42250%84.083.0+1.0
7 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.080.0-4.0
8 Parnu31233%74.775.7-1.0
9 Tal Tech31233%76.077.7-1.7
10 BK Ogre31233%88.094.3-6.3
11 Keila KK31233%72.388.7-16.3
12 Latvijas Universitate51420%82.297.8-15.6
13 BK Liepaja3030%70.381.7-11.3
14 Viimsi3030%70.385.3-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet3030%68.091.3-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2326212898
Rigas Juniori2423212088
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