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Parnu vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-73
16-18 23-18 18-16 19-21
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2026
Meetings · Parnu v BK Liepaja
26 Sep 2026
PAR76
BK L73
14 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK L69
19 Oct 2024
PAR81
BK L91
10 Feb 2024
PAR83
BK L79
10 Dec 2022
PAR90
BK L58
06 Oct 2021
PAR79
BK L68
27 Jan 2019
PAR96
BK L83
11 Jan 2017
PAR93
BK L75
25 Jan 2014
PAR59
BK L75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
98-82
98
82
+16
92avg 69
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
82avg 69
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 69
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
56avg 69
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 69
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 69
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
91avg 69
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 69
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
70avg 69
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 69
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
15-26
17-16
36-23
29-26
19-26
21-22
16-18
21-14
19-24
12-21
20-12
15-24
18-18
16-17
13-13
21-24
17-26
19-26
13-15
13-17
17-24
27-17
18-25
27-20
26-23
25-20
10-12
21-12
20-25
13-22
17-21
20-16
15-13
20-23
19-22
13-20
16-22
19-18
19-20
159.1Avg total
77.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.681.5159.1-3.930%
Last 5 (5)77.881.4159.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.584.9159.4-10.40%
vs Similar (6)72.578.7151.2-6.217%
vs Weaker (10)87.273.5160.7+13.7100%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 72
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
73avg 72
A06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 72
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
68avg 72
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
81avg 72
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
76avg 72
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
66avg 72
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 72
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 72
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
57avg 72
H23/09
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
20-25
20-12
26-27
23-22
19-20
21-26
18-27
17-31
16-16
16-25
28-15
18-21
22-25
20-18
20-19
26-26
27-13
18-24
17-25
19-20
17-19
23-29
23-21
22-17
21-24
20-19
8-16
22-27
26-24
24-13
30-19
13-17
18-30
18-24
25-15
18-21
19-29
17-12
15-30
170.3Avg total
82.6Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.687.7170.3-5.120%
Last 5 (5)79.685.2164.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.889.4166.2-12.65%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.285.1170.3+0.150%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
ParnuBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
80.9Avg total
39.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.079.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.179.7+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.780.9-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.542.379.8-4.821%-
vs Similar (6)35.337.873.2-2.533%-
vs Weaker (10)45.738.283.9+7.590%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#14
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H23/09
ENBL
86.5Avg total
41.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.385.2-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.685.7-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.745.184.8-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.286.5-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.684.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.445.182.4-7.716%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.144.390.4+1.870%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
52.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.1
29.6%
31.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.614.1
65.3%
68.3%14.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.6
54.6%
52.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.2
29.5%
31.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.6%
68.3%13.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLLWLLLWLW
BK Liepaja
LLWLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#10
-4.2
Net rating
-5.4
87.8
Offensive rating
91.6
92.0
Defensive rating
97.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.6%
3-point %
29.5%
63.2%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 91.6Defence92.0 · 97.1Shooting48.0% · 49.9%3-point %29.6% · 29.5%Ball care13.8% · 13.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Parnu wins
5
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26Parnu v BK Liepaja85-69
23/11/25BK Liepaja v Parnu83-90
11/03/25BK Liepaja v Parnu98-84
19/10/24Parnu v BK Liepaja81-91
10/02/24Parnu v BK Liepaja83-79
07/12/23BK Liepaja v Parnu75-65
11/03/23BK Liepaja v Parnu102-98 OT
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26ANeftchi IK67-80
23/03/26HTartu Ulikool88-89 OT
20/03/26ATartu Ulikool71-80
11/03/26HViimsi88-75
07/03/26ARigas Zelli75-83
04/03/26HTartu Ulikool70-91
11/02/26HVEF Riga62-72
07/02/26HLatvijas Universitate72-71
03/02/26AValmiera Glass Via85-92
31/01/26HKeila Coolbet98-82
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26HTindastoll69-92
14/03/26HVEF Riga74-86
10/03/26ALatvijas Universitate102-83
04/03/26AViimsi71-76
18/02/26HVentspils82-89
14/02/26HBC Kalev/Cramo94-97 OT
11/02/26HBK Ogre80-83
07/02/26ATartu Ulikool77-87
06/02/26AValmiera Glass Via81-95
28/01/26HKeila Coolbet96-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga110100%104.066.0+38.0
2 Tartu Ulikool110100%90.063.0+27.0
3 Rigas Zelli110100%94.071.0+23.0
4 Valmiera Glass Via220100%90.074.5+15.5
5 Rigas Juniori1010%73.082.0-9.0
6 Ventspils1010%76.098.0-22.0
7 Keila Coolbet1010%71.094.0-23.0
8 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%63.090.0-27.0
9 Latvijas Universitate1010%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1623181976
BK Liepaja1818162173
← all games of the day
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