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BK Ogre vs Keila Coolbet Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 101-77
22-22 26-16 28-25 25-14
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game87.7
BK Ogre 🏆
Vs
91%
■ BK O 91%■ KEIL 9%
Pythia win probability
Projected 91-75
Projected total 165.9
Position#15
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game89.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2026
Meetings · BK Ogre v Keila Coolbet
31 Oct 2026
BK O101
KEIL77
14 Jan 2026
BK O95
KEIL66
29 Dec 2024
BK O85
KEIL82
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
BK Ogre host Keila Coolbet in the Latvia-Estonian League. Pythia makes BK Ogre the favourite at 91% and projects 91-75, about 166 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. BK Ogre are 2-4 this season (84.3 scored, 87.7 allowed a game), form LWWLL; Keila Coolbet are 0-7 this season (70.1 scored, 89.6 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
90.6%fair 1.10
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila Coolbet winLost
9.4%fair 10.62
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 76
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 76
A18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
93-104
93
104
-11
85avg 76
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 76
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 76
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 76
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 76
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 76
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 76
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 76
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
21-16
21-16
17-22
23-28
20-20
22-13
18-29
24-28
27-24
23-22
19-30
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
176.3Avg total
85.9Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.387.7172.0-3.333%
Season at home (3)89.088.3177.3+0.733%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)85.990.4176.3-4.520%
Last 5 (5)86.686.8173.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.590.6174.1-7.223%
vs Similar (6)76.279.8156.0-3.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.479.7168.1+8.770%
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila CoolbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCoolbet
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
75avg 65
A06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 65
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
81avg 65
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
42avg 65
H25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
56-95
56
95
-39
39avg 65
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
58avg 65
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 65
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
L
60-81
60
81
-21
41avg 65
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
61avg 65
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 65
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
14-21
23-22
26-23
24-17
35-28
18-17
16-21
15-23
20-25
25-26
28-28
18-20
17-21
20-26
16-27
15-14
14-24
21-22
6-35
18-21
23-25
20-15
16-24
13-28
16-15
21-27
18-15
19-22
20-17
11-25
10-17
23-23
12-32
28-27
14-16
14-21
19-21
18-27
31-20
166.2Avg total
75.5Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.189.6159.7-19.40%
Season at home (3)72.088.0160.0-16.00%
Season away (4)68.890.8159.5-22.00%
Last 10 (10)75.590.7166.2-15.210%
Last 5 (5)72.887.6160.4-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.094.4169.4-19.44%
vs Similar (3)83.786.3170.0-2.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159
Over 159
66.5%
Under 159
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164Actual: Over 164
Over 164
54.4%
Under 164
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169Actual: Over 169
Over 169
41.8%
Under 169
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

BK Ogre total 79.5Actual: BK Ogre over 79.5
Over 79.5
86.7%
Under 79.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Ogre total 83.5Actual: BK Ogre over 83.5
Over 83.5
76.1%
Under 83.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Ogre total 87.5Actual: BK Ogre over 87.5
Over 87.5
62.0%
Under 87.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keila Coolbet total 76.5Actual: Keila Coolbet over 76.5
Over 76.5
44.9%
Under 76.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keila Coolbet total 80.5Actual: Keila Coolbet under 80.5
Over 80.5
30.1%
Under 80.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keila Coolbet total 84.5Actual: Keila Coolbet under 84.5
Over 84.5
18.2%
Under 84.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread BK Ogre -3Actual: BK Ogre -3
BK O -3
87.0%
KEIL +3
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
BK O
No market prices yet.
KEIL
No market prices yet.
Spread BK Ogre 0Actual: BK Ogre 0
BK O 0
90.6%
KEIL 0
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
BK O
No market prices yet.
KEIL
No market prices yet.
Spread BK Ogre +3Actual: BK Ogre +3
BK O +3
93.8%
KEIL -3
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
BK O
No market prices yet.
KEIL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -4.5-4.5
BK OgreKeila Coolbet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
90.5Avg total
43.7Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.586.2-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.787.4+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.0-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.746.890.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.889.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.547.390.8-3.831%-
vs Similar (6)39.842.282.0-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.638.081.6+5.680%-
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila CoolbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
81.6Avg total
36.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.446.184.5-7.717%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.445.284.7-5.825%-
Last 30 away (14)37.247.184.3-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)36.944.781.6-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.080.4-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.346.483.7-9.111%-
vs Similar (3)48.343.391.7+5.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.8
55.8%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
31.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.714.2
68.6%
67.8%14.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila Coolbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila Coolbet: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.021.4
46.5%
52.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
31.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.210.2
59.3%
67.8%10.2
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LLWWLLLLLL
Keila Coolbet
LLLLLLLLWL
#10
League position
#15
-5.5
Net rating
-16.7
98.0
Offensive rating
83.1
103.5
Defensive rating
99.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
46.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.7%
3-point %
30.4%
53.7%
Assist %
46.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 83.1Defence103.5 · 99.9Shooting54.8% · 46.2%3-point %35.7% · 30.4%Ball care14.9% · 13.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Keila Coolbet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BK Ogre wins
1
Keila Coolbet wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26BK Ogre v Keila Coolbet95-66
10/10/25Keila Coolbet v BK Ogre71-97
29/12/24BK Ogre v Keila Coolbet85-82
03/11/24Keila Coolbet v BK Ogre80-75
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106
10/03/26ABC Kalev/Cramo93-104
18/02/26ARigas Zelli83-90
14/02/26HTal Tech76-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ARigas Juniori82-89
24/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo77-98
20/10/26AKeila KK60-81
11/10/26HVentspils68-85
04/10/26HLatvijas Universitate77-85
29/09/26AValmiera Glass Via56-95
25/09/26HRigas Zelli71-94
13/03/26HRigas Zelli88-102
11/03/26HKeila KK93-83
06/03/26AVentspils83-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game84.389.079.7
Allowed / game87.788.387.0
Point differential-3.3+0.7-7.3
Avg total172.0177.3166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila Coolbet
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.172.068.8
Allowed / game89.688.090.8
Point differential-19.4-16.0-22.0
Avg total159.7160.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga770100%92.069.3+22.7
2 Rigas Zelli660100%94.273.7+20.5
3 Valmiera Glass Via76186%91.775.7+16.0
4 Ventspils86275%87.081.1+5.9
5 Tartu Ulikool64267%81.774.0+7.7
6 BC Kalev/Cramo64267%83.779.3+4.3
7 Tal Tech85362%74.073.5+0.5
8 Rigas Juniori63350%84.288.3-4.2
9 Keila KK73443%73.984.3-10.4
10 Parnu52340%77.478.6-1.2
11 BK Ogre62433%84.387.7-3.3
12 BK Liepaja61517%74.882.7-7.8
13 Viimsi81712%73.482.8-9.4
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet7070%70.189.6-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre22262825101
Keila Coolbet2216251477
← all games of the day
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